La scuola delle quoteQuote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.78
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.53
21 bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.59%EV -0.346%E -0.125%K -0.195%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.41%EV -5.69%E -3.87%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-14 00:25 |
| Everygame | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -1.42%E -0.517%K -0.813%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%EV -4.41%E -2.96%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-13 23:05 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -1.42%E -0.517%K -0.813%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -5.05%E -3.41%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-14 00:30 |
| Bet Right | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -1.42%E -0.517%K -0.813%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -5.05%E -3.41%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-13 23:20 |
| Bally Bet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -1.42%E -0.517%K -0.813%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -5.05%E -3.41%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-13 17:00 |
| betPARX | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -1.42%E -0.517%K -0.813%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -5.05%E -3.41%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-13 17:00 |
| BetRivers | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -1.42%E -0.517%K -0.813%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -5.69%E -3.87%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-13 17:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -1.42%E -0.517%K -0.813%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.98%E -4.81%K -15.51%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-13 22:55 |
| MyBookie.ag | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -1.42%E -0.517%K -0.813%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.98%E -4.81%K -15.51%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 00:00 |
| Bovada | 2.73I 36.63%NM 35.31%EV -2.14%E -0.783%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.69%EV -4.41%E -2.96%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-14 00:27 |
| GTbets | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.21%E -1.19%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.77%E -2.51%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-14 00:25 |
| theScore Bet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.21%E -1.19%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.77%E -2.51%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-13 20:19 |
| BetUS | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.21%E -1.19%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.77%E -2.51%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-13 23:15 |
| BetAnything | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.21%E -1.19%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.77%E -2.51%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-14 00:00 |
| DraftKings | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -3.21%E -1.19%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.41%E -2.96%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-14 00:25 |
| Fliff | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.21%E -1.19%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.05%E -3.41%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-14 00:30 |
| Pinnacle | 2.69I 37.17%NM 36.26%EV -3.57%E -1.33%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.74%EV -1.85%E -1.21%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-04-14 00:30 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.69I 37.17%NM 36.10%EV -3.57%E -1.33%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.90%EV -2.49%E -1.64%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-14 00:25 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.69I 37.17%NM 36.10%EV -3.57%E -1.33%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.90%EV -2.49%E -1.64%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-14 00:25 |
| ReBet | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.89%EV -3.93%E -1.47%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.11%EV -3.77%E -2.51%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-14 00:29 |
| Paddy Power | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.97%EV -4.29%E -1.61%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.03%EV -3.77%E -2.51%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-14 00:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.97%EV -4.29%E -1.61%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.03%EV -3.77%E -2.51%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-14 00:25 |
| Fanatics | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.01%E -1.89%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.77%E -2.51%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-14 00:25 |
| BetMGM | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.01%E -1.89%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.77%E -2.51%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-13 15:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.01%E -1.89%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.77%E -2.51%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-13 00:55 |
| PlayUp | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.01%E -1.89%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.05%E -3.41%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-13 21:20 |
| FanDuel | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.23%EV -5.37%E -2.03%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.77%EV -3.77%E -2.51%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-14 00:29 |
| SportsBet | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.08%EV -5.37%E -2.03%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.92%EV -4.41%E -2.96%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-14 00:30 |
| NordicBet | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.92%EV -5.37%E -2.03%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.08%EV -5.05%E -3.41%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-14 00:24 |
| Betsson | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.92%EV -5.37%E -2.03%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.08%EV -5.05%E -3.41%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-14 00:25 |
| Coral | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -6.08%E -2.32%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -3.77%E -2.51%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-13 14:58 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -6.08%E -2.32%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -3.77%E -2.51%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-13 15:00 |
| William Hill | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.80%E -2.61%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.77%E -2.51%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-12 17:19 |
| TAB | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.80%E -2.61%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.05%E -3.41%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-12 22:38 |
| Bet Victor | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.80%E -2.61%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.98%E -4.81%K -15.51%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-14 00:22 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -8.59%E -3.37%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.77%E -2.51%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-13 15:00 |
| Neds | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -8.59%E -3.37%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.77%E -2.51%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-13 15:00 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.47I 40.49%NM 35.68%EV -11.46%E -4.64%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 64.32%EV -12.11%E -8.84%K -32.73%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-04-14 00:30 |
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.47% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 64.53% | -0.0% | 2026-04-14 00:25 |
| ProphetX | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20% | 0.5% | 2026-04-14 00:30 |
| Novig | 2.77I 36.10%NM 35.88% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 64.12% | 0.6% | 2026-04-14 00:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.48% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.52% | 0.6% | 2026-04-14 00:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.96% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 64.04% | 0.7% | 2026-04-14 00:30 |
| Matchbook | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.96% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 64.04% | 0.7% | 2026-04-14 00:30 |
| Polymarket | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38% | 1.1% | 2026-04-14 00:15 |
| Smarkets | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.66% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.34% | 1.6% | 2026-04-14 00:25 |
| Kalshi | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68% | 2.0% | 2026-04-14 00:30 |
Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.
| Bookmaker | Opzione 1 | Opzione 2 | Opzione 3 | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.91% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.97% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.12% | 2.9% | 2026-04-13 17:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.91% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.97% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.12% | 2.9% | 2026-04-13 16:59 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.91% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.97% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.12% | 2.9% | 2026-04-13 20:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.91% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.97% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.12% | 2.9% | 2026-04-13 16:59 |
| Coolbet | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.53% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.19% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.28% | 4.4% | 2026-04-14 00:29 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.54I 28.25%NM 27.03% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.71% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.26% | 4.5% | 2026-04-14 00:25 |
| 1xBet | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.48% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.82% | 4.62I 21.65%NM 20.69% | 4.6% | 2026-04-14 00:24 |
| Casumo | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.73% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.11% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16% | 5.0% | 2026-04-13 17:00 |
| Unibet | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.73% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.11% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16% | 5.0% | 2026-04-13 17:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.73% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.11% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16% | 5.0% | 2026-04-13 17:00 |
| Grosvenor | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.73% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.11% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16% | 5.0% | 2026-04-13 16:59 |
| TABtouch | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.71% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.96% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34% | 6.5% | 2026-04-13 16:59 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.46% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26% | 6.9% | 2026-04-14 00:20 |
| Betway | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.66% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.71% | 7.3% | 2026-04-14 00:29 |
| LeoVegas | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.80% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.07% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14% | 7.5% | 2026-04-13 17:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.38% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.16% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.47% | 8.3% | 2026-04-14 00:29 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.35% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94% | 8.5% | 2026-04-14 00:30 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.30% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.30% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.41% | 8.6% | 2026-04-14 00:30 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.41% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.97% | 8.9% | 2026-04-14 00:30 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.43I 29.15%NM 26.48% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.90% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62% | 10.1% | 2026-04-14 00:29 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.76% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.02% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22% | 12.2% | 2026-04-13 16:59 |