Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Carolina Hurricanes v Vegas Golden Knights

Kickoff: 2026-06-12 00:20 UTC

Final: Carolina Hurricanes 4–2 Vegas Golden Knights

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

36 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Carolina Hurricanes (Local)

Prediction 58.27%1.72fair odd
EV -2.69%
Edge -1.61%
Kelly -4.02%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.67

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.14%58.38%58.23%59.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.521.641.651.6765.79%61.01%60.61%59.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Vegas Golden Knights (Visit)

Prediction 41.73%2.40fair odd
EV +0.578%
Edge +0.240%
Kelly +0.410%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 2.41

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.30%41.62%41.77%42.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.302.302.4147.62%43.56%43.48%41.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Carolina Hurricanes (Local): 58.27%; Vegas Golden Knights (Visit): 41.73%. For Vegas Golden Knights (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.40. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.41, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.578%.

21 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (36 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
theScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.36%EV -3.86%E -2.34%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 40.64%EV +0.578%E +0.240%K +0.410%G +0.002%2.1%2026-06-12 00:00
BetAnything🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -5.61%E -3.46%K -9.05%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV +0.160%E +0.067%K +0.115%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-11 23:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.45%EV -5.03%E -3.08%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.55%EV -0.257%E -0.108%K -0.185%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-12 00:09
BetOnline.ag🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.45%EV -5.03%E -3.08%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.55%EV -0.257%E -0.108%K -0.185%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-12 00:09
Pinnacle🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%EV -3.86%E -2.34%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%EV -0.674%E -0.283%K -0.489%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-12 00:00
BetUS🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -5.61%E -3.46%K -9.05%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -0.674%E -0.283%K -0.489%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-11 23:40
GTbets🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.61%E -3.46%K -9.05%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -1.93%E -0.820%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-11 02:10
Bovada🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.61%E -3.46%K -9.05%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -1.93%E -0.820%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-12 00:10
MyBookie.ag🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -5.03%E -3.08%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -2.34%E -1.00%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-11 23:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.69%E -1.61%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.01%E -1.74%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-11 20:09
Paddy Power🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.86%E -2.34%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.01%E -1.74%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-11 20:40
Bet Right🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.86%E -2.34%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.01%E -1.74%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-12 00:09
DraftKings🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.86%E -2.34%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.01%E -1.74%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-11 21:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.86%E -2.34%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.01%E -1.74%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-11 19:20
Fanatics🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.86%E -2.34%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.01%E -1.74%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-11 23:30
BetMGM🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.86%E -2.34%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.01%E -1.74%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-11 19:18
Coral🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.86%E -2.34%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.01%E -1.74%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-11 19:18
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.86%E -2.34%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.01%E -1.74%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-11 20:40
Caesars🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.86%E -2.34%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.01%E -1.74%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-11 15:36
FanDuel🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -4.44%E -2.71%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -4.01%E -1.74%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-11 22:20
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.61%E -3.46%K -9.05%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.01%E -1.74%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-11 22:39
SportsBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -5.03%E -3.08%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -4.43%E -1.93%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-11 23:59
ReBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -3.28%E -1.97%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -4.85%E -2.13%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-11 23:59
betPARX🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -3.28%E -1.97%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -4.85%E -2.13%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-12 00:00
Bally Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -3.28%E -1.97%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -4.85%E -2.13%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-12 00:00
Betsson🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.03%E -3.08%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.85%E -2.13%K -3.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-11 12:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.86%E -2.34%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.10%E -2.71%K -4.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-12 00:00
NordicBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.86%E -2.34%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.10%E -2.71%K -4.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-11 23:20
PlayUp🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.86%E -2.34%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.10%E -2.71%K -4.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-11 23:19
Fliff🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.86%E -2.34%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.10%E -2.71%K -4.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-11 23:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.44%E -2.71%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.10%E -2.71%K -4.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-11 19:19
Neds🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.44%E -2.71%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.10%E -2.71%K -4.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-11 19:20
TAB🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.61%E -3.46%K -9.05%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.10%E -2.71%K -4.88%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-11 20:40
Bet Victor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -3.86%E -2.34%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -8.19%E -3.72%K -6.82%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-11 23:49
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -3.86%E -2.34%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -8.19%E -3.72%K -6.82%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-12 00:10
NetBet (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 58.01%EV -11.43%E -7.52%K -21.99%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.99%EV -12.36%E -5.89%K -11.24%G +0.000%13.4%2026-06-11 23:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (9)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.68I 59.52%NM 59.32%2.45I 40.82%NM 40.68%0.3%2026-06-12 00:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%0.5%2026-06-12 00:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%0.8%2026-06-12 00:10
ProphetX1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%0.8%2026-06-12 00:10
Matchbook1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%0.8%2026-06-12 00:10
Polymarket1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-06-12 00:00
BetOpenly1.68I 59.52%NM 58.52%2.37I 42.19%NM 41.48%1.7%2026-06-11 23:59
Kalshi1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%1.9%2026-06-12 00:10
Smarkets1.66I 60.24%NM 59.11%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.89%1.9%2026-06-11 23:40

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (21)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
Unibet (SE)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.99%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.87%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.14%2.9%2026-06-12 00:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.99%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.87%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.14%2.9%2026-06-12 00:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.99%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.87%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.14%2.9%2026-06-12 00:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.99%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.87%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.14%2.9%2026-06-11 23:59
Unibet (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.58%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.90%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.52%4.5%2026-06-12 00:09
1xBet🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 45.71%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.28%4.34I 23.04%NM 22.01%4.7%2026-06-11 23:59
Marathon Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.91%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.62%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.47%4.7%2026-06-11 23:58
Coolbet🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 45.19%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.26%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.54%4.9%2026-06-12 00:09
Casumo🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.97%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.78%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.25%4.9%2026-06-12 00:00
Grosvenor🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.97%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.78%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.25%4.9%2026-06-12 00:00
Unibet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.97%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.78%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.25%4.9%2026-06-12 00:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.97%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.78%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.25%4.9%2026-06-11 23:59
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.93%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.69%6.2%2026-06-11 23:10
TABtouch🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.20%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%6.4%2026-06-12 00:00
Winamax (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.81%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.83%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%6.5%2026-06-12 00:10
Tipico (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.91%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%6.6%2026-06-11 23:09
Betclic (FR)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.20%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.32%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.49%7.2%2026-06-12 00:10
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.03%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.66%7.7%2026-06-12 00:10
LeoVegas🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 44.82%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.99%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%7.8%2026-06-12 00:00
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.81%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%8.9%2026-06-12 00:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 45.14%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.76%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.10%12.4%2026-06-12 00:00