L’École des cotes

Carolina Hurricanes v Vegas Golden Knights

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-12 00:20 UTC

Score final : Carolina Hurricanes 4–2 Vegas Golden Knights

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

36 opérateurs (12 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Carolina Hurricanes (Local)

Prévision 58.27%1.72cote équitable
EV -2.69%
Avantage -1.61%
Kelly -4.02%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.67

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
57.14%58.38%58.23%59.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.521.641.651.6765.79%61.01%60.61%59.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Vegas Golden Knights (Visiteur)

Prévision 41.73%2.40cote équitable
EV +0.578%
Avantage +0.240%
Kelly +0.410%
Croissance +0.002%

avec la cote maximale 2.41

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.30%41.62%41.77%42.86%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.102.302.302.4147.62%43.56%43.48%41.49%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

21 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.

Cotes des opérateurs (36 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
theScore Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 59.36%EV -3.86%E -2.34%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 40.64%EV +0.578%E +0.240%K +0.410%G +0.002%2.1%2026-06-12 00:00
BetAnything1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -5.61%E -3.46%K -9.05%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV +0.160%E +0.067%K +0.115%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-11 23:40
LowVig.ag1.63I 61.35%NM 59.45%EV -5.03%E -3.08%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.55%EV -0.257%E -0.108%K -0.185%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-12 00:09
BetOnline.ag1.63I 61.35%NM 59.45%EV -5.03%E -3.08%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.55%EV -0.257%E -0.108%K -0.185%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-12 00:09
Pinnacle1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%EV -3.86%E -2.34%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%EV -0.674%E -0.283%K -0.489%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-12 00:00
BetUS1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -5.61%E -3.46%K -9.05%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -0.674%E -0.283%K -0.489%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-11 23:40
GTbets1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.61%E -3.46%K -9.05%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -1.93%E -0.820%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-11 02:10
Bovada1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.61%E -3.46%K -9.05%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -1.93%E -0.820%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-12 00:10
MyBookie.ag1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -5.03%E -3.08%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -2.34%E -1.00%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-11 23:59
PointsBet (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.69%E -1.61%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.01%E -1.74%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-11 20:09
Paddy Power1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.86%E -2.34%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.01%E -1.74%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-11 20:40
Bet Right1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.86%E -2.34%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.01%E -1.74%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-12 00:09
DraftKings1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.86%E -2.34%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.01%E -1.74%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-11 21:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.86%E -2.34%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.01%E -1.74%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-11 19:20
Fanatics1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.86%E -2.34%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.01%E -1.74%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-11 23:30
BetMGM1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.86%E -2.34%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.01%E -1.74%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-11 19:18
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.86%E -2.34%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.01%E -1.74%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-11 19:18
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.86%E -2.34%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.01%E -1.74%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-11 20:40
Caesars1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.86%E -2.34%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.01%E -1.74%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-11 15:36
FanDuel1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -4.44%E -2.71%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -4.01%E -1.74%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-11 22:20
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.61%E -3.46%K -9.05%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.01%E -1.74%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-11 22:39
SportsBet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -5.03%E -3.08%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -4.43%E -1.93%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-11 23:59
ReBet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -3.28%E -1.97%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -4.85%E -2.13%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-11 23:59
betPARX1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -3.28%E -1.97%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -4.85%E -2.13%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-12 00:00
Bally Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -3.28%E -1.97%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -4.85%E -2.13%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-12 00:00
Betsson1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.03%E -3.08%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.85%E -2.13%K -3.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-11 12:30
Betr (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.86%E -2.34%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.10%E -2.71%K -4.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-12 00:00
NordicBet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.86%E -2.34%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.10%E -2.71%K -4.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-11 23:20
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.86%E -2.34%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.10%E -2.71%K -4.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-11 23:19
Fliff1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.86%E -2.34%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.10%E -2.71%K -4.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-11 23:49
Ladbrokes (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.44%E -2.71%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.10%E -2.71%K -4.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-11 19:19
Neds1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.44%E -2.71%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.10%E -2.71%K -4.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-11 19:20
TAB1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.61%E -3.46%K -9.05%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.10%E -2.71%K -4.88%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-11 20:40
Bet Victor1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -3.86%E -2.34%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -8.19%E -3.72%K -6.82%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-11 23:49
Hard Rock Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -3.86%E -2.34%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -8.19%E -3.72%K -6.82%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-12 00:10
NetBet (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 58.01%EV -11.43%E -7.52%K -21.99%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.99%EV -12.36%E -5.89%K -11.24%G +0.000%13.4%2026-06-11 23:59
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (9)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Novig1.68I 59.52%NM 59.32%2.45I 40.82%NM 40.68%0.3%2026-06-12 00:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%0.5%2026-06-12 00:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%0.8%2026-06-12 00:10
ProphetX1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%0.8%2026-06-12 00:10
Matchbook1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%0.8%2026-06-12 00:10
Polymarket1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-06-12 00:00
BetOpenly1.68I 59.52%NM 58.52%2.37I 42.19%NM 41.48%1.7%2026-06-11 23:59
Kalshi1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%1.9%2026-06-12 00:10
Smarkets1.66I 60.24%NM 59.11%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.89%1.9%2026-06-11 23:40

Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (21)

Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.

OpérateurOption 1Option 2Option 3Marge ▲Mise à jour
Unibet (SE)2.16I 46.30%NM 44.99%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.87%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.14%2.9%2026-06-12 00:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.16I 46.30%NM 44.99%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.87%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.14%2.9%2026-06-12 00:00
ATG (SE)2.16I 46.30%NM 44.99%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.87%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.14%2.9%2026-06-12 00:00
Svenska Spel2.16I 46.30%NM 44.99%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.87%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.14%2.9%2026-06-11 23:59
Unibet (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.58%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.90%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.52%4.5%2026-06-12 00:09
1xBet2.09I 47.85%NM 45.71%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.28%4.34I 23.04%NM 22.01%4.7%2026-06-11 23:59
Marathon Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.91%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.62%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.47%4.7%2026-06-11 23:58
Coolbet2.11I 47.39%NM 45.19%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.26%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.54%4.9%2026-06-12 00:09
Casumo2.12I 47.17%NM 44.97%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.78%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.25%4.9%2026-06-12 00:00
Grosvenor2.12I 47.17%NM 44.97%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.78%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.25%4.9%2026-06-12 00:00
Unibet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.97%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.78%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.25%4.9%2026-06-12 00:00
Unibet (NL)2.12I 47.17%NM 44.97%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.78%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.25%4.9%2026-06-11 23:59
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.93%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.69%6.2%2026-06-11 23:10
TABtouch2.08I 48.08%NM 45.20%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%6.4%2026-06-12 00:00
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.81%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.83%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%6.5%2026-06-12 00:10
Tipico (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.91%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%6.6%2026-06-11 23:09
Betclic (FR)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.20%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.32%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.49%7.2%2026-06-12 00:10
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.03%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.66%7.7%2026-06-12 00:10
LeoVegas2.07I 48.31%NM 44.82%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.99%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%7.8%2026-06-12 00:00
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 44.81%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%8.9%2026-06-12 00:00
PMU (FR)1.97I 50.76%NM 45.14%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.76%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.10%12.4%2026-06-12 00:00