Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.65
assuming max odds 2.50
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Carolina Hurricanes (Local): 59.88%; Vegas Golden Knights (Visit): 40.12%. For Vegas Golden Knights (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.49. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.294%.
20 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%EV -3.59%E -2.23%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%EV +0.294%E +0.118%K +0.196%G +0.001% | 2.1% | 2026-06-05 00:09 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -8.38%E -5.48%K -15.81%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV +0.294%E +0.118%K +0.196%G +0.001% | 5.4% | 2026-06-05 00:09 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.93%EV -4.79%E -3.01%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.07%EV -0.509%E -0.205%K -0.344%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-06-05 00:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.10%EV -2.99%E -1.85%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.90%EV -2.11%E -0.866%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-06-04 23:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.15%EV -3.59%E -2.23%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.85%EV -2.51%E -1.03%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-06-05 00:09 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -2.99%E -1.85%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -2.92%E -1.20%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-06-04 23:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.59%E -2.23%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.72%E -1.55%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-05 00:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.59%E -2.23%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.72%E -1.55%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-05 00:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.59%E -2.23%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.72%E -1.55%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-05 00:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.19%E -2.62%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.72%E -1.55%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-04 23:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.19%E -2.62%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.72%E -1.55%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-04 23:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.79%E -3.01%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.72%E -1.55%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-05 00:09 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.79%E -3.01%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.72%E -1.55%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-05 00:09 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.98%E -3.81%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.72%E -1.55%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-05 00:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.58%E -4.22%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -3.72%E -1.55%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-05 00:09 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -2.99%E -1.85%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -4.52%E -1.90%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-04 23:09 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -3.59%E -2.23%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -4.52%E -1.90%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-04 23:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.19%E -2.62%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -4.52%E -1.90%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-05 00:09 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.19%E -2.62%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -4.52%E -1.90%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-04 23:18 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.19%E -2.62%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -4.52%E -1.90%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-04 23:18 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.40%EV -2.99%E -1.85%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.60%EV -4.92%E -2.08%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-04 23:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -4.79%E -3.01%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -4.92%E -2.08%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-05 00:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -2.99%E -1.85%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -5.32%E -2.26%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-05 00:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -2.99%E -1.85%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.72%E -2.44%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-04 23:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -2.99%E -1.85%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.72%E -2.44%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-04 23:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.59%E -2.23%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.72%E -2.44%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-04 23:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -4.79%E -3.01%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -5.72%E -2.44%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-05 00:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.39%E -3.41%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.72%E -2.44%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-05 00:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.39%E -3.41%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.72%E -2.44%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-05 00:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -4.19%E -2.62%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -6.13%E -2.62%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-05 00:10 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.33%EV -1.19%E -0.724%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.67%EV -7.33%E -3.17%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-04 23:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -2.39%E -1.47%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -7.73%E -3.36%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-04 23:59 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.19%E -2.62%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.73%E -3.36%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-05 00:09 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.53%EV -10.18%E -6.78%K -20.35%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -7.73%E -3.36%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-06-05 00:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -2.99%E -1.85%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -9.74%E -4.33%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-03 08:40 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 59.45%EV -11.37%E -7.69%K -23.70%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 40.55%EV -12.95%E -5.97%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-06-04 23:59 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.43% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.57% | 0.3% | 2026-06-05 00:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09% | 0.7% | 2026-06-05 00:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 0.9% | 2026-06-04 23:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.05% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.95% | 0.9% | 2026-06-05 00:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.05% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.95% | 0.9% | 2026-06-05 00:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.0% | 2026-06-04 23:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.19% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.81% | 1.3% | 2026-06-05 00:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.34% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.66% | 1.7% | 2026-06-05 00:10 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.29% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.71% | 2.4% | 2026-06-04 23:59 |
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.69% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.74% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.57% | 3.5% | 2026-06-04 22:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.69% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.74% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.57% | 3.5% | 2026-06-04 22:19 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.69% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.74% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.57% | 3.5% | 2026-06-04 22:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.69% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.74% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.57% | 3.5% | 2026-06-04 22:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.78% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.19% | 4.34I 23.04%NM 22.02% | 4.6% | 2026-06-04 23:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.83% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.42% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.75% | 4.7% | 2026-06-04 23:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.00% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.29% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.72% | 4.8% | 2026-06-05 00:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.57% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.69% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.75% | 5.3% | 2026-06-04 22:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.57% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.69% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.75% | 5.3% | 2026-06-04 22:19 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.57% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.69% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.75% | 5.3% | 2026-06-04 22:19 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.57% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.69% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.75% | 5.3% | 2026-06-04 22:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.88% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.25% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.87% | 6.6% | 2026-06-04 13:39 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42% | 6.7% | 2026-06-04 22:19 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.54% | 6.9% | 2026-06-05 00:08 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17% | 7.4% | 2026-06-05 00:09 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.51% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.97% | 7.5% | 2026-06-04 23:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.08% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.44% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.48% | 7.8% | 2026-06-04 20:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89% | 8.7% | 2026-06-05 00:09 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.38% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74% | 9.9% | 2026-06-05 00:09 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 47.01% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.61% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.38% | 12.6% | 2026-06-04 22:20 |