L’École des cotes

Carolina Hurricanes v Vegas Golden Knights

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-05 00:20 UTC

Score final : Carolina Hurricanes 4–3 Vegas Golden Knights

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

36 opérateurs (12 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Carolina Hurricanes (Local)

Prévision 59.88%1.67cote équitable
EV -1.19%
Avantage -0.724%
Kelly -1.84%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.65

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
58.14%59.95%59.95%62.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.481.601.601.6567.57%62.65%62.50%60.61%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Vegas Golden Knights (Visiteur)

Prévision 40.12%2.49cote équitable
EV +0.294%
Avantage +0.118%
Kelly +0.196%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 2.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.97%40.05%40.05%41.86%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.172.372.382.5046.08%42.13%42.02%40.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

20 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.

Cotes des opérateurs (36 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
theScore Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%EV -3.59%E -2.23%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%EV +0.294%E +0.118%K +0.196%G +0.001%2.1%2026-06-05 00:09
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -8.38%E -5.48%K -15.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV +0.294%E +0.118%K +0.196%G +0.001%5.4%2026-06-05 00:09
BetOnline.ag1.59I 62.89%NM 60.93%EV -4.79%E -3.01%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.07%EV -0.509%E -0.205%K -0.344%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-05 00:10
Pinnacle1.62I 61.73%NM 60.10%EV -2.99%E -1.85%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.90%EV -2.11%E -0.866%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.7%2026-06-04 23:59
LowVig.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 60.15%EV -3.59%E -2.23%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.85%EV -2.51%E -1.03%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-05 00:09
BetAnything1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -2.99%E -1.85%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -2.92%E -1.20%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.1%2026-06-04 23:59
Paddy Power1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.59%E -2.23%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.72%E -1.55%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-05 00:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.59%E -2.23%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.72%E -1.55%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-05 00:09
Bovada1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.59%E -2.23%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.72%E -1.55%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-05 00:10
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.19%E -2.62%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.72%E -1.55%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-04 23:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.19%E -2.62%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.72%E -1.55%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-04 23:10
PointsBet (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.79%E -3.01%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.72%E -1.55%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-05 00:09
BetMGM1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.79%E -3.01%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.72%E -1.55%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-05 00:09
Fliff1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.98%E -3.81%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.72%E -1.55%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-05 00:10
Hard Rock Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.58%E -4.22%K -11.76%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -3.72%E -1.55%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-05 00:09
BetUS1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -2.99%E -1.85%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -4.52%E -1.90%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-04 23:09
Bet Right1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -3.59%E -2.23%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -4.52%E -1.90%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-04 23:50
FanDuel1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.19%E -2.62%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -4.52%E -1.90%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-05 00:09
Bally Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.19%E -2.62%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -4.52%E -1.90%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-04 23:18
betPARX1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.19%E -2.62%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -4.52%E -1.90%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-04 23:18
MyBookie.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 59.40%EV -2.99%E -1.85%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.60%EV -4.92%E -2.08%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-04 23:59
SportsBet1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -4.79%E -3.01%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -4.92%E -2.08%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-05 00:09
DraftKings1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -2.99%E -1.85%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -5.32%E -2.26%K -3.91%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-05 00:00
Caesars1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -2.99%E -1.85%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.72%E -2.44%K -4.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-04 23:59
GTbets1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -2.99%E -1.85%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.72%E -2.44%K -4.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-04 23:59
Fanatics1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.59%E -2.23%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.72%E -2.44%K -4.24%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-04 23:50
Betsson1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -4.79%E -3.01%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -5.72%E -2.44%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-05 00:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.39%E -3.41%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.72%E -2.44%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-05 00:10
Neds1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.39%E -3.41%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.72%E -2.44%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-05 00:10
NordicBet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -4.19%E -2.62%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -6.13%E -2.62%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-05 00:10
ReBet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.33%EV -1.19%E -0.724%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.67%EV -7.33%E -3.17%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-04 23:59
PlayUp1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -2.39%E -1.47%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -7.73%E -3.36%K -5.95%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-04 23:59
TAB1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.19%E -2.62%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.73%E -3.36%K -5.95%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-05 00:09
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 60.53%EV -10.18%E -6.78%K -20.35%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -7.73%E -3.36%K -5.95%G +0.000%10.1%2026-06-05 00:09
Betr (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -2.99%E -1.85%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -9.74%E -4.33%K -7.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-03 08:40
NetBet (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 59.45%EV -11.37%E -7.69%K -23.70%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 40.55%EV -12.95%E -5.97%K -11.06%G +0.000%13.7%2026-06-04 23:59
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (9)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
ProphetX1.65I 60.61%NM 60.43%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.57%0.3%2026-06-05 00:10
Novig1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09%0.7%2026-06-05 00:10
Polymarket1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-06-04 23:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 60.05%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.95%0.9%2026-06-05 00:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 60.05%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.95%0.9%2026-06-05 00:00
Kalshi1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-06-04 23:50
Matchbook1.64I 60.98%NM 60.19%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.81%1.3%2026-06-05 00:10
Smarkets1.63I 61.35%NM 60.34%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.66%1.7%2026-06-05 00:10
BetOpenly1.62I 61.73%NM 60.29%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.71%2.4%2026-06-04 23:59

Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (20)

Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.

OpérateurOption 1Option 2Option 3Marge ▲Mise à jour
Unibet (SE)2.07I 48.31%NM 46.69%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.74%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.57%3.5%2026-06-04 22:19
LeoVegas (SE)2.07I 48.31%NM 46.69%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.74%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.57%3.5%2026-06-04 22:19
ATG (SE)2.07I 48.31%NM 46.69%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.74%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.57%3.5%2026-06-04 22:19
Svenska Spel2.07I 48.31%NM 46.69%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.74%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.57%3.5%2026-06-04 22:20
1xBet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.78%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.19%4.34I 23.04%NM 22.02%4.6%2026-06-04 23:59
Marathon Bet2.04I 49.02%NM 46.83%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.42%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.75%4.7%2026-06-04 23:59
Coolbet2.03I 49.26%NM 47.00%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.29%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.72%4.8%2026-06-05 00:09
Unibet (NL)2.04I 49.02%NM 46.57%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.69%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.75%5.3%2026-06-04 22:20
Casumo2.04I 49.02%NM 46.57%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.69%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.75%5.3%2026-06-04 22:19
Unibet2.04I 49.02%NM 46.57%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.69%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.75%5.3%2026-06-04 22:19
Grosvenor2.04I 49.02%NM 46.57%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.69%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.75%5.3%2026-06-04 22:19
Tipico (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.88%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.25%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.87%6.6%2026-06-04 13:39
TABtouch2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%6.7%2026-06-04 22:19
Betclic (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.54%6.9%2026-06-05 00:08
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%7.4%2026-06-05 00:09
Unibet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.51%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.97%7.5%2026-06-04 23:00
LeoVegas1.97I 50.76%NM 47.08%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.44%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.48%7.8%2026-06-04 20:20
Winamax (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%8.7%2026-06-05 00:09
Winamax (DE)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.38%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%9.9%2026-06-05 00:09
PMU (FR)1.89I 52.91%NM 47.01%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.61%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.38%12.6%2026-06-04 22:20