La scuola delle quote

Carolina Hurricanes v Tampa Bay Lightning

Inizio: 2026-02-27 00:15 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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35 bookmaker (13 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Carolina Hurricanes (Casa)

Previsione 57.58%1.74quota equa
EV -1.55%
Vantaggio -0.904%
Kelly -2.18%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.71

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
55.84%57.64%57.68%60.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.521.661.671.7165.79%60.37%59.88%58.48%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Tampa Bay Lightning (Trasferta)

Previsione 42.42%2.36quota equa
EV +0.971%
Vantaggio +0.408%
Kelly +0.704%
Crescita +0.007%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.38

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
40.00%42.36%42.32%44.16%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.102.262.252.3847.62%44.31%44.44%42.02%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

22 bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.

Quote dei bookmaker (35 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
BetRivers1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -7.88%E -4.92%K -13.13%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV +0.971%E +0.408%K +0.704%G +0.007%4.5%2026-02-26 23:56
NordicBet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -9.03%E -5.72%K -15.57%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV +0.547%E +0.231%K +0.399%G +0.002%5.5%2026-02-27 00:09
Betsson1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -9.03%E -5.72%K -15.57%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV +0.547%E +0.231%K +0.399%G +0.002%5.5%2026-02-27 00:10
TAB1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -9.03%E -5.72%K -15.57%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -0.301%E -0.128%K -0.223%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-27 00:09
Bovada1.65I 60.61%NM 58.54%EV -5.00%E -3.03%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.46%EV -1.15%E -0.494%K -0.865%G +0.000%3.5%2026-02-27 00:09
Pinnacle1.69I 59.17%NM 57.75%EV -2.70%E -1.60%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.25%EV -2.00%E -0.865%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.5%2026-02-27 00:06
PointsBet (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.85%E -2.31%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.42%E -1.05%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-27 00:10
Paddy Power1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.00%E -3.03%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.42%E -1.05%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-27 00:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.00%E -3.03%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.42%E -1.05%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-27 00:09
betPARX1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.00%E -3.03%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.42%E -1.05%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-27 00:09
Bally Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.00%E -3.03%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.42%E -1.05%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-27 00:10
LowVig.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 57.68%EV -3.27%E -1.95%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.32%EV -2.85%E -1.24%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-27 00:10
BetOnline.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 57.68%EV -3.27%E -1.95%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.32%EV -2.85%E -1.24%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-27 00:10
Bet Right1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -4.43%E -2.67%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -3.27%E -1.43%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-27 00:10
FanDuel1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -5.00%E -3.03%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -3.27%E -1.43%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-27 00:10
BetUS1.68I 59.52%NM 57.36%EV -3.27%E -1.95%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.64%EV -4.12%E -1.82%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-27 00:06
SportsBet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -5.58%E -3.40%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV -4.12%E -1.82%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-27 00:10
BetAnything1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.70%E -1.60%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.54%E -2.02%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-27 00:06
Everygame1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.70%E -1.60%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.54%E -2.02%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-27 00:06
theScore Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.70%E -1.60%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.54%E -2.02%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-27 00:10
Fanatics1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.85%E -2.31%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.54%E -2.02%K -3.64%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-27 00:09
Betr (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.00%E -3.03%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.54%E -2.02%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-26 23:59
MyBookie.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.00%E -3.03%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.54%E -2.02%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-27 00:04
Fliff1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.73%E -4.15%K -10.85%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.54%E -2.02%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-27 00:09
DraftKings1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -3.27%E -1.95%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -4.97%E -2.22%K -4.01%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-27 00:09
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -2.12%E -1.25%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -6.67%E -3.03%K -5.55%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-27 00:10
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -2.12%E -1.25%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -6.67%E -3.03%K -5.55%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-27 00:09
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -2.70%E -1.60%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -6.67%E -3.03%K -5.55%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-27 00:10
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.85%E -2.31%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.67%E -3.03%K -5.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-26 23:59
Hard Rock Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.00%E -3.03%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.67%E -3.03%K -5.55%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-27 00:10
Caesars1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -1.55%E -0.904%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -7.51%E -3.45%K -6.37%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-27 00:09
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -2.12%E -1.25%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -8.79%E -4.09%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-27 00:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -3.27%E -1.95%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -8.79%E -4.09%K -7.64%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-27 00:10
Neds1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -3.27%E -1.95%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -8.79%E -4.09%K -7.64%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-27 00:10
NetBet (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 58.01%EV -12.49%E -8.21%K -24.01%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.99%EV -10.91%E -5.19%K -9.92%G +0.000%13.4%2026-02-26 23:58
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.43%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.57%1.2%2026-02-27 00:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.43%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.57%1.2%2026-02-27 00:10
Polymarket1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%2.1%2026-02-27 00:09
Novig1.67I 59.88%NM 58.15%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.85%3.0%2026-02-27 00:10
Smarkets1.58I 63.29%NM 58.42%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.58%8.3%2026-02-27 00:10
ProphetX1.58I 63.29%NM 57.30%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.70%10.5%2026-02-27 00:10

Altri bookmaker — esclusi dall’analisi (22)

Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.

BookmakerOpzione 1Opzione 2Opzione 3Margine ▲Aggiornamento
LeoVegas (SE)2.07I 48.31%NM 46.76%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.73%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.51%3.3%2026-02-27 00:10
Unibet (SE)2.07I 48.31%NM 46.76%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.73%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.51%3.3%2026-02-27 00:10
Svenska Spel2.07I 48.31%NM 46.76%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.73%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.51%3.3%2026-02-27 00:09
ATG (SE)2.07I 48.31%NM 46.76%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.73%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.51%3.3%2026-02-27 00:10
Unibet (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 46.39%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.16%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.44%3.6%2026-02-27 00:10
Marathon Bet2.11I 47.39%NM 45.26%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.27%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.47%4.7%2026-02-26 23:59
Unibet2.04I 49.02%NM 46.77%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.78%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%4.8%2026-02-27 00:10
Casumo2.04I 49.02%NM 46.77%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.78%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%4.8%2026-02-27 00:09
Grosvenor2.04I 49.02%NM 46.77%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.78%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%4.8%2026-02-27 00:10
Unibet (NL)2.04I 49.02%NM 46.77%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.78%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%4.8%2026-02-27 00:10
1xBet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.86%2.97I 33.67%NM 32.12%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.03%4.8%2026-02-26 23:59
Coolbet2.03I 49.26%NM 46.77%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.63%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.60%5.3%2026-02-27 00:05
TABtouch2.02I 49.50%NM 46.66%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.44%6.1%2026-02-27 00:10
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.81%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.83%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%6.5%2026-02-27 00:10
LeoVegas1.97I 50.76%NM 46.79%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.73%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%8.5%2026-02-27 00:10
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 46.03%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.66%8.6%2026-02-27 00:10
Codere (IT)2.01I 49.75%NM 45.55%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%9.2%2026-02-27 00:00
Parions Sport (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.54%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.06%9.8%2026-02-27 00:00
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.41%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.44%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.15%10.1%2026-02-27 00:10
Betclic (FR)2.08I 48.08%NM 43.66%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.64%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%10.1%2026-02-27 00:08
Unibet (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 45.40%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.54%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%11.2%2026-02-27 00:07
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.82%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.71%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.47%14.1%2026-02-27 00:09