L’École des cotes

Carolina Hurricanes v Tampa Bay Lightning

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-27 00:15 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

35 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Carolina Hurricanes (Local)

Prévision 57.58%1.74cote équitable
EV -1.55%
Avantage -0.904%
Kelly -2.18%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.71

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
55.84%57.64%57.68%60.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.521.661.671.7165.79%60.37%59.88%58.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Tampa Bay Lightning (Visiteur)

Prévision 42.42%2.36cote équitable
EV +0.971%
Avantage +0.408%
Kelly +0.704%
Croissance +0.007%

avec la cote maximale 2.38

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.00%42.36%42.32%44.16%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.102.262.252.3847.62%44.31%44.44%42.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

22 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.

Cotes des opérateurs (35 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
BetRivers1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -7.88%E -4.92%K -13.13%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV +0.971%E +0.408%K +0.704%G +0.007%4.5%2026-02-26 23:56
NordicBet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -9.03%E -5.72%K -15.57%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV +0.547%E +0.231%K +0.399%G +0.002%5.5%2026-02-27 00:09
Betsson1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -9.03%E -5.72%K -15.57%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV +0.547%E +0.231%K +0.399%G +0.002%5.5%2026-02-27 00:10
TAB1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -9.03%E -5.72%K -15.57%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -0.301%E -0.128%K -0.223%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-27 00:09
Bovada1.65I 60.61%NM 58.54%EV -5.00%E -3.03%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.46%EV -1.15%E -0.494%K -0.865%G +0.000%3.5%2026-02-27 00:09
Pinnacle1.69I 59.17%NM 57.75%EV -2.70%E -1.60%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.25%EV -2.00%E -0.865%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.5%2026-02-27 00:06
PointsBet (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.85%E -2.31%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.42%E -1.05%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-27 00:10
Paddy Power1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.00%E -3.03%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.42%E -1.05%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-27 00:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.00%E -3.03%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.42%E -1.05%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-27 00:09
betPARX1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.00%E -3.03%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.42%E -1.05%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-27 00:09
Bally Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.00%E -3.03%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.42%E -1.05%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-27 00:10
LowVig.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 57.68%EV -3.27%E -1.95%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.32%EV -2.85%E -1.24%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-27 00:10
BetOnline.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 57.68%EV -3.27%E -1.95%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.32%EV -2.85%E -1.24%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-27 00:10
Bet Right1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -4.43%E -2.67%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -3.27%E -1.43%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-27 00:10
FanDuel1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -5.00%E -3.03%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -3.27%E -1.43%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-27 00:10
BetUS1.68I 59.52%NM 57.36%EV -3.27%E -1.95%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.64%EV -4.12%E -1.82%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-27 00:06
SportsBet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -5.58%E -3.40%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV -4.12%E -1.82%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-27 00:10
BetAnything1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.70%E -1.60%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.54%E -2.02%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-27 00:06
Everygame1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.70%E -1.60%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.54%E -2.02%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-27 00:06
theScore Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.70%E -1.60%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.54%E -2.02%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-27 00:10
Fanatics1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.85%E -2.31%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.54%E -2.02%K -3.64%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-27 00:09
Betr (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.00%E -3.03%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.54%E -2.02%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-26 23:59
MyBookie.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.00%E -3.03%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.54%E -2.02%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-27 00:04
Fliff1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.73%E -4.15%K -10.85%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.54%E -2.02%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-27 00:09
DraftKings1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -3.27%E -1.95%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -4.97%E -2.22%K -4.01%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-27 00:09
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -2.12%E -1.25%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -6.67%E -3.03%K -5.55%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-27 00:10
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -2.12%E -1.25%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -6.67%E -3.03%K -5.55%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-27 00:09
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -2.70%E -1.60%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -6.67%E -3.03%K -5.55%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-27 00:10
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.85%E -2.31%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.67%E -3.03%K -5.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-26 23:59
Hard Rock Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.00%E -3.03%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.67%E -3.03%K -5.55%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-27 00:10
Caesars1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -1.55%E -0.904%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -7.51%E -3.45%K -6.37%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-27 00:09
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -2.12%E -1.25%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -8.79%E -4.09%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-27 00:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -3.27%E -1.95%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -8.79%E -4.09%K -7.64%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-27 00:10
Neds1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -3.27%E -1.95%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -8.79%E -4.09%K -7.64%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-27 00:10
NetBet (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 58.01%EV -12.49%E -8.21%K -24.01%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.99%EV -10.91%E -5.19%K -9.92%G +0.000%13.4%2026-02-26 23:58
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.43%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.57%1.2%2026-02-27 00:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.43%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.57%1.2%2026-02-27 00:10
Polymarket1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%2.1%2026-02-27 00:09
Novig1.67I 59.88%NM 58.15%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.85%3.0%2026-02-27 00:10
Smarkets1.58I 63.29%NM 58.42%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.58%8.3%2026-02-27 00:10
ProphetX1.58I 63.29%NM 57.30%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.70%10.5%2026-02-27 00:10

Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (22)

Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.

OpérateurOption 1Option 2Option 3Marge ▲Mise à jour
LeoVegas (SE)2.07I 48.31%NM 46.76%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.73%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.51%3.3%2026-02-27 00:10
Unibet (SE)2.07I 48.31%NM 46.76%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.73%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.51%3.3%2026-02-27 00:10
Svenska Spel2.07I 48.31%NM 46.76%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.73%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.51%3.3%2026-02-27 00:09
ATG (SE)2.07I 48.31%NM 46.76%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.73%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.51%3.3%2026-02-27 00:10
Unibet (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 46.39%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.16%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.44%3.6%2026-02-27 00:10
Marathon Bet2.11I 47.39%NM 45.26%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.27%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.47%4.7%2026-02-26 23:59
Unibet2.04I 49.02%NM 46.77%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.78%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%4.8%2026-02-27 00:10
Casumo2.04I 49.02%NM 46.77%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.78%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%4.8%2026-02-27 00:09
Grosvenor2.04I 49.02%NM 46.77%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.78%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%4.8%2026-02-27 00:10
Unibet (NL)2.04I 49.02%NM 46.77%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.78%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%4.8%2026-02-27 00:10
1xBet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.86%2.97I 33.67%NM 32.12%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.03%4.8%2026-02-26 23:59
Coolbet2.03I 49.26%NM 46.77%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.63%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.60%5.3%2026-02-27 00:05
TABtouch2.02I 49.50%NM 46.66%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.44%6.1%2026-02-27 00:10
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.81%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.83%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%6.5%2026-02-27 00:10
LeoVegas1.97I 50.76%NM 46.79%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.73%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%8.5%2026-02-27 00:10
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 46.03%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.66%8.6%2026-02-27 00:10
Codere (IT)2.01I 49.75%NM 45.55%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%9.2%2026-02-27 00:00
Parions Sport (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.54%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.06%9.8%2026-02-27 00:00
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.41%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.44%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.15%10.1%2026-02-27 00:10
Betclic (FR)2.08I 48.08%NM 43.66%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.64%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%10.1%2026-02-27 00:08
Unibet (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 45.40%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.54%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%11.2%2026-02-27 00:07
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.82%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.71%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.47%14.1%2026-02-27 00:09