The School of Odds
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Carolina Hurricanes v St Louis Blues

Kickoff: 2026-03-12 23:15 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

37 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Carolina Hurricanes (Local)

Prediction 71.30%1.40fair odd
EV -2.31%
Edge -1.69%
Kelly -6.26%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.37

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
69.51%71.30%71.26%71.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.231.341.341.3781.30%74.54%74.63%72.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

St Louis Blues (Visit)

Prediction 28.70%3.48fair odd
EV -2.43%
Edge -0.715%
Kelly -1.01%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.03%28.70%28.74%30.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.053.293.303.4032.79%30.36%30.30%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Carolina Hurricanes (Local): 71.30%; St Louis Blues (Visit): 28.70%. For Carolina Hurricanes (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.40. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.37, with an expected value of -2.31%; they did not produce positive expected value.

22 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (37 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.91%EV -2.31%E -1.69%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 29.09%EV -4.15%E -1.24%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-12 23:06
BetUS🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.35%EV -2.31%E -1.69%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.65%EV -6.74%E -2.07%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-12 23:06
BetOnline.ag🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 71.19%EV -3.03%E -2.23%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.81%EV -3.58%E -1.07%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-12 23:07
LowVig.ag🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 71.19%EV -3.03%E -2.23%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.81%EV -3.58%E -1.07%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-12 23:07
Everygame🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 71.13%EV -3.03%E -2.23%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.87%EV -3.87%E -1.15%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-12 23:06
BetAnything🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.03%E -2.23%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -5.30%E -1.61%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-12 23:06
PlayUp🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.03%E -2.23%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -8.17%E -2.55%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-12 23:04
William Hill🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.03%E -2.23%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -11.04%E -3.56%K -5.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-12 23:10
Bovada🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -3.74%E -2.77%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -3.87%E -1.15%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-12 23:09
FanDuel🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -3.74%E -2.77%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -5.30%E -1.61%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-12 23:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -3.74%E -2.77%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -5.30%E -1.61%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-12 23:10
Coral🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -3.74%E -2.77%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -5.30%E -1.61%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-12 23:10
Fanatics🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -3.74%E -2.77%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -5.30%E -1.61%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-12 23:10
MyBookie.ag🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.46%EV -3.74%E -2.77%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.54%EV -7.60%E -2.36%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-12 23:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.74%E -2.77%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -8.17%E -2.55%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-12 23:08
Neds🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -3.74%E -2.77%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -9.61%E -3.05%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-12 23:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -3.74%E -2.77%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -9.61%E -3.05%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-12 23:09
betPARX🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -4.45%E -3.32%K -13.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -2.43%E -0.715%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-12 23:10
Bally Bet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -4.45%E -3.32%K -13.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -2.43%E -0.715%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-12 23:10
theScore Bet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -4.45%E -3.32%K -13.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -2.43%E -0.715%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-12 23:10
ReBet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.49%EV -4.45%E -3.32%K -13.10%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.51%EV -3.58%E -1.07%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-12 22:59
Paddy Power🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -4.45%E -3.32%K -13.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -3.87%E -1.15%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-12 23:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -4.45%E -3.32%K -13.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -3.87%E -1.15%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-12 23:10
DraftKings🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -4.45%E -3.32%K -13.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -3.87%E -1.15%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-12 23:10
GTbets🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -4.45%E -3.32%K -13.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -3.87%E -1.15%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-12 23:07
Caesars🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -4.45%E -3.32%K -13.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -3.87%E -1.15%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-12 23:10
SportsBet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.45%E -3.32%K -13.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -5.30%E -1.61%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-12 23:10
BetMGM🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.45%E -3.32%K -13.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -5.30%E -1.61%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-12 23:10
Fliff🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.45%E -3.32%K -13.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -5.30%E -1.61%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-12 23:10
BetRivers🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.17%E -3.88%K -15.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -2.43%E -0.715%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-12 22:57
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.17%E -3.88%K -15.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -2.43%E -0.715%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-12 23:10
Bet Victor🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.11%EV -5.17%E -3.88%K -15.66%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.89%EV -10.47%E -3.35%K -4.94%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-12 23:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.17%E -3.88%K -15.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -11.04%E -3.56%K -5.26%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-12 23:10
Betsson🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.97%EV -5.88%E -4.45%K -18.37%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.03%EV -2.72%E -0.802%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-12 23:10
NordicBet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.97%EV -5.88%E -4.45%K -18.37%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.03%EV -2.72%E -0.802%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-12 23:10
TAB🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.88%E -4.45%K -18.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -5.30%E -1.61%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-12 23:10
NetBet (FR)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 71.26%EV -12.30%E -10.00%K -53.46%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.74%EV -12.48%E -4.09%K -6.09%G +0.000%14.1%2026-03-12 22:58
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (9)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Polymarket◎1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%0.9%2026-03-12 23:10
BetOpenly◎1.38I 72.46%NM 71.78%3.51I 28.49%NM 28.22%1.0%2026-03-12 22:59
Kalshi◎1.37I 72.99%NM 71.58%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42%2.0%2026-03-12 23:10
Smarkets◎1.38I 72.46%NM 70.51%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.49%2.8%2026-03-12 23:10
ProphetX◎1.38I 72.46%NM 70.51%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.49%2.8%2026-03-12 23:10
Novig◎1.34I 74.63%NM 69.96%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.04%6.7%2026-03-12 23:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.30I 76.92%NM 70.45%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%9.2%2026-03-12 23:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.30I 76.92%NM 70.45%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%9.2%2026-03-12 23:10
Matchbook◎1.29I 77.52%NM 70.28%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.72%10.3%2026-03-12 23:10

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (22)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.01%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.74%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.25%3.4%2026-03-12 23:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.01%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.74%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.25%3.4%2026-03-12 23:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.01%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.74%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.25%3.4%2026-03-12 23:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.01%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.74%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.25%3.4%2026-03-12 23:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.96%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.86%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.19%4.2%2026-03-12 23:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.93%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.75%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.31%4.7%2026-03-12 22:59
1xBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.54%4.71I 21.23%NM 20.23%4.71I 21.23%NM 20.23%5.0%2026-03-12 22:59
Unibet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.10%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.80%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%5.2%2026-03-12 23:10
Casumo🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.10%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.80%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%5.2%2026-03-12 23:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.10%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.80%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%5.2%2026-03-12 23:10
Grosvenor🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.10%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.80%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%5.2%2026-03-12 23:10
TABtouch🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.31%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.09%6.3%2026-03-12 23:10
Coolbet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.77%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.09%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.15%6.6%2026-03-12 23:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.51%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.95%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.54%6.6%2026-03-12 23:00
LeoVegas🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.12%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.62%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.27%7.3%2026-03-12 23:10
Betway🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.97%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%8.0%2026-03-12 23:10
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.34%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.99%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.67%8.7%2026-03-12 22:59
Codere (IT)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.20%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.95%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.85%9.0%2026-03-12 23:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.49%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.70%9.2%2026-03-12 23:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.79%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.35%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.86%10.2%2026-03-12 23:09
Unibet (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.84%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.23%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.93%11.1%2026-03-12 23:08
Winamax (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 58.62%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.26%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.12%13.7%2026-03-12 23:10