A Escola das Odds

Carolina Hurricanes v St Louis Blues

Início: 2026-03-12 23:15 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

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37 casas de apostas (13 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Carolina Hurricanes (Local)

Previsão 71.30%1.40odd justa
EV -2.31%
Vantagem -1.69%
Kelly -6.26%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.37

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
69.51%71.30%71.26%71.97%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.231.341.341.3781.30%74.54%74.63%72.99%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

St Louis Blues (Visitante)

Previsão 28.70%3.48odd justa
EV -2.43%
Vantagem -0.715%
Kelly -1.01%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.03%28.70%28.74%30.49%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.053.293.303.4032.79%30.36%30.30%29.41%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

22 casas de apostas oferecem um número de opções diferente neste mercado (3 opções, em vez das 2 opções usadas na análise). Os resultados da análise devem ser interpretados com prudência devido a esta disparidade.

Odds das casas de apostas (37 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Pinnacle1.37I 72.99%NM 70.91%EV -2.31%E -1.69%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 29.09%EV -4.15%E -1.24%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-12 23:06
BetUS1.37I 72.99%NM 70.35%EV -2.31%E -1.69%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.65%EV -6.74%E -2.07%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-12 23:06
BetOnline.ag1.36I 73.53%NM 71.19%EV -3.03%E -2.23%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.81%EV -3.58%E -1.07%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-12 23:07
LowVig.ag1.36I 73.53%NM 71.19%EV -3.03%E -2.23%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.81%EV -3.58%E -1.07%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-12 23:07
Everygame1.36I 73.53%NM 71.13%EV -3.03%E -2.23%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.87%EV -3.87%E -1.15%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-12 23:06
BetAnything1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.03%E -2.23%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -5.30%E -1.61%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-12 23:06
PlayUp1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.03%E -2.23%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -8.17%E -2.55%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-12 23:04
William Hill1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.03%E -2.23%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -11.04%E -3.56%K -5.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-12 23:10
Bovada1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -3.74%E -2.77%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -3.87%E -1.15%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-12 23:09
FanDuel1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -3.74%E -2.77%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -5.30%E -1.61%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-12 23:09
Ladbrokes (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -3.74%E -2.77%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -5.30%E -1.61%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-12 23:10
Coral1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -3.74%E -2.77%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -5.30%E -1.61%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-12 23:10
Fanatics1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -3.74%E -2.77%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -5.30%E -1.61%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-12 23:10
MyBookie.ag1.35I 74.07%NM 70.46%EV -3.74%E -2.77%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.54%EV -7.60%E -2.36%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-12 23:00
Betr (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.74%E -2.77%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -8.17%E -2.55%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-12 23:08
Neds1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -3.74%E -2.77%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -9.61%E -3.05%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-12 23:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -3.74%E -2.77%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -9.61%E -3.05%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-12 23:09
betPARX1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -4.45%E -3.32%K -13.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -2.43%E -0.715%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-12 23:10
Bally Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -4.45%E -3.32%K -13.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -2.43%E -0.715%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-12 23:10
theScore Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -4.45%E -3.32%K -13.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -2.43%E -0.715%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-12 23:10
ReBet1.34I 74.63%NM 71.49%EV -4.45%E -3.32%K -13.10%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.51%EV -3.58%E -1.07%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-12 22:59
Paddy Power1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -4.45%E -3.32%K -13.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -3.87%E -1.15%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-12 23:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -4.45%E -3.32%K -13.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -3.87%E -1.15%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-12 23:10
DraftKings1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -4.45%E -3.32%K -13.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -3.87%E -1.15%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-12 23:10
GTbets1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -4.45%E -3.32%K -13.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -3.87%E -1.15%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-12 23:07
Caesars1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -4.45%E -3.32%K -13.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -3.87%E -1.15%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-12 23:10
SportsBet1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.45%E -3.32%K -13.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -5.30%E -1.61%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-12 23:10
BetMGM1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.45%E -3.32%K -13.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -5.30%E -1.61%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-12 23:10
Fliff1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.45%E -3.32%K -13.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -5.30%E -1.61%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-12 23:10
BetRivers1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.17%E -3.88%K -15.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -2.43%E -0.715%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-12 22:57
PointsBet (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.17%E -3.88%K -15.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -2.43%E -0.715%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-12 23:10
Bet Victor1.33I 75.19%NM 70.11%EV -5.17%E -3.88%K -15.66%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.89%EV -10.47%E -3.35%K -4.94%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-12 23:10
Hard Rock Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.17%E -3.88%K -15.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -11.04%E -3.56%K -5.26%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-12 23:10
Betsson1.32I 75.76%NM 71.97%EV -5.88%E -4.45%K -18.37%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.03%EV -2.72%E -0.802%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-12 23:10
NordicBet1.32I 75.76%NM 71.97%EV -5.88%E -4.45%K -18.37%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.03%EV -2.72%E -0.802%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-12 23:10
TAB1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.88%E -4.45%K -18.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -5.30%E -1.61%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-12 23:10
NetBet (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 71.26%EV -12.30%E -10.00%K -53.46%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.74%EV -12.48%E -4.09%K -6.09%G +0.000%14.1%2026-03-12 22:58
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (9)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Polymarket1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%0.9%2026-03-12 23:10
BetOpenly1.38I 72.46%NM 71.78%3.51I 28.49%NM 28.22%1.0%2026-03-12 22:59
Kalshi1.37I 72.99%NM 71.58%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42%2.0%2026-03-12 23:10
Smarkets1.38I 72.46%NM 70.51%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.49%2.8%2026-03-12 23:10
ProphetX1.38I 72.46%NM 70.51%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.49%2.8%2026-03-12 23:10
Novig1.34I 74.63%NM 69.96%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.04%6.7%2026-03-12 23:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.45%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%9.2%2026-03-12 23:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.45%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%9.2%2026-03-12 23:10
Matchbook1.29I 77.52%NM 70.28%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.72%10.3%2026-03-12 23:10

Outras casas de apostas — não incluídas na análise (22)

Estas casas oferecem um número de opções diferente neste mercado e são excluídas da análise. As respetivas odds são apresentadas apenas como referência — as regras de liquidação das apostas podem ser diferentes e implicar incerteza adicional.

Casa de apostasOpção 1Opção 2Opção 3Margem ▲Atualização
LeoVegas (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 62.01%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.74%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.25%3.4%2026-03-12 23:10
Unibet (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 62.01%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.74%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.25%3.4%2026-03-12 23:10
ATG (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 62.01%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.74%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.25%3.4%2026-03-12 23:10
Svenska Spel1.56I 64.10%NM 62.01%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.74%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.25%3.4%2026-03-12 23:10
Unibet (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.96%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.86%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.19%4.2%2026-03-12 23:10
Marathon Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.93%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.75%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.31%4.7%2026-03-12 22:59
1xBet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.54%4.71I 21.23%NM 20.23%4.71I 21.23%NM 20.23%5.0%2026-03-12 22:59
Unibet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.10%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.80%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%5.2%2026-03-12 23:10
Casumo1.53I 65.36%NM 62.10%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.80%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%5.2%2026-03-12 23:10
Unibet (NL)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.10%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.80%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%5.2%2026-03-12 23:10
Grosvenor1.53I 65.36%NM 62.10%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.80%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%5.2%2026-03-12 23:10
TABtouch1.51I 66.23%NM 62.31%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.09%6.3%2026-03-12 23:10
Coolbet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.77%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.09%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.15%6.6%2026-03-12 23:10
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.51%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.95%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.54%6.6%2026-03-12 23:00
LeoVegas1.50I 66.67%NM 62.12%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.62%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.27%7.3%2026-03-12 23:10
Betway1.57I 63.69%NM 58.97%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%8.0%2026-03-12 23:10
Parions Sport (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.34%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.99%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.67%8.7%2026-03-12 22:59
Codere (IT)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.20%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.95%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.85%9.0%2026-03-12 23:10
Winamax (DE)1.54I 64.94%NM 59.49%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.70%9.2%2026-03-12 23:10
Betclic (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 57.79%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.35%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.86%10.2%2026-03-12 23:09
Unibet (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 58.84%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.23%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.93%11.1%2026-03-12 23:08
Winamax (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 58.62%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.26%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.12%13.7%2026-03-12 23:10