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Carolina Hurricanes v Pittsburgh Penguins
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Carolina Hurricanes (Local)
Prediction 64.43%1.55fair odd
EV -1.42%
Edge -0.929%
Kelly -2.68%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.53
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.41%64.43%64.44%65.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.361.481.491.5373.53%67.36%67.11%65.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Pittsburgh Penguins (Visit)
Prediction 35.57%2.81fair odd
EV -2.18%
Edge -0.794%
Kelly -1.25%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.52%35.57%35.56%36.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.682.702.7540.00%37.31%37.04%36.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Carolina Hurricanes (Local): 64.43%; Pittsburgh Penguins (Visit): 35.57%. For Carolina Hurricanes (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.55. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.53, with an expected value of -1.42%; they did not produce positive expected value.
22 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (37 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%EV -1.42%E -0.929%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%EV -3.96%E -1.47%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-03-10 23:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.22%EV -2.71%E -1.80%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.71I 36.90%NM 35.78%EV -3.61%E -1.33%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-10 22:24 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.22%EV -2.71%E -1.80%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.71I 36.90%NM 35.78%EV -3.61%E -1.33%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-10 22:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.96%EV -2.71%E -1.80%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.04%EV -4.67%E -1.74%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-10 22:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.88%EV -2.71%E -1.80%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 36.12%EV -5.03%E -1.88%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-10 22:23 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.35%E -2.24%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.96%E -1.47%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-10 15:34 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.35%E -2.24%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.96%E -1.47%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-10 22:20 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.35%E -2.24%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.96%E -1.47%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-10 15:35 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.35%E -2.24%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.96%E -1.47%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-10 14:29 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.35%E -2.24%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.74%E -2.17%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-10 22:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.35%E -2.24%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.74%E -2.17%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-10 22:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.35%E -2.24%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.52%E -2.89%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-10 22:10 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -4.00%E -2.68%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV -3.25%E -1.19%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-10 22:56 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.00%E -2.68%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -3.96%E -1.47%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-10 22:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.00%E -2.68%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -3.96%E -1.47%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-10 22:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.00%E -2.68%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -3.96%E -1.47%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-10 14:14 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.00%E -2.68%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -3.96%E -1.47%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-10 15:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.27%EV -4.00%E -2.68%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.73%EV -4.67%E -1.74%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-10 22:29 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.10%EV -4.00%E -2.68%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.90%EV -5.38%E -2.02%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-10 22:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.66%EV -4.00%E -2.68%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 36.34%EV -7.16%E -2.74%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-10 22:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.66%EV -4.00%E -2.68%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 36.34%EV -7.16%E -2.74%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-10 22:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.64%E -3.14%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -2.18%E -0.794%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-10 14:25 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.64%E -3.14%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -2.18%E -0.794%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-10 22:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.64%E -3.14%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -2.18%E -0.794%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-10 22:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.64%E -3.14%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.96%E -1.47%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-10 22:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.64%E -3.14%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.96%E -1.47%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-10 14:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.64%E -3.14%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.96%E -1.47%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-10 14:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.64%E -3.14%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.96%E -1.47%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-10 14:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.25%EV -4.64%E -3.14%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.75%EV -5.38%E -2.02%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-10 23:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.64%E -3.14%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.52%E -2.89%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-10 12:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.64%E -3.14%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.52%E -2.89%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-10 14:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.64%E -3.14%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.52%E -2.89%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-10 14:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -5.29%E -3.60%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -2.18%E -0.794%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-10 22:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.58%E -4.54%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -2.18%E -0.794%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-10 23:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.58%E -4.54%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.96%E -1.47%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-10 22:09 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -7.22%E -5.01%K -16.41%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -3.96%E -1.47%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-10 23:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 64.77%EV -12.38%E -9.10%K -34.38%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.23%EV -11.08%E -4.43%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-03-10 22:19 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (9)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28% | 0.6% | 2026-03-10 23:00 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62% | 1.1% | 2026-03-10 22:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62% | 1.1% | 2026-03-10 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62% | 1.1% | 2026-03-10 23:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62% | 1.1% | 2026-03-10 23:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62% | 1.1% | 2026-03-10 23:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.36% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.64% | 1.8% | 2026-03-10 23:00 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.97% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.03% | 1.9% | 2026-03-10 22:59 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32% | 2.0% | 2026-03-10 22:20 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (22)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.11% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.83% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.06% | 3.2% | 2026-03-10 22:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.11% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.83% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.06% | 3.2% | 2026-03-10 22:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.11% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.83% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.06% | 3.2% | 2026-03-10 22:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.11% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.83% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.06% | 3.2% | 2026-03-10 22:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.00% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.64% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.36% | 4.0% | 2026-03-10 23:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.28% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.35% | 4.1% | 2026-03-10 22:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.53% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.98% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.49% | 4.6% | 2026-03-10 22:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.72% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.11% | 4.73I 21.14%NM 20.17% | 4.8% | 2026-03-10 22:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.01% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.79% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.20% | 4.8% | 2026-03-10 22:23 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.11% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.73% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16% | 5.0% | 2026-03-10 22:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.11% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.73% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16% | 5.0% | 2026-03-10 22:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.11% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.73% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16% | 5.0% | 2026-03-10 22:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.11% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.73% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16% | 5.0% | 2026-03-10 22:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.95% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.05% | 6.7% | 2026-03-10 23:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.46% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26% | 6.9% | 2026-03-10 23:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.07% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.80% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14% | 7.5% | 2026-03-10 22:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.51% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92% | 8.6% | 2026-03-10 23:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.35% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85% | 9.0% | 2026-03-10 23:00 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.37% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.82% | 9.1% | 2026-03-10 23:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.37% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.82% | 9.1% | 2026-03-10 22:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.37% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.67% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 21.96% | 9.7% | 2026-03-10 22:59 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.49% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 26.27% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.25% | 11.0% | 2026-03-10 22:54 |