L’École des cotes

Carolina Hurricanes v Pittsburgh Penguins

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-10 23:10 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

37 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Carolina Hurricanes (Local)

Prévision 64.43%1.55cote équitable
EV -1.42%
Avantage -0.929%
Kelly -2.68%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.53

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
63.41%64.43%64.44%65.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.361.481.491.5373.53%67.36%67.11%65.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Pittsburgh Penguins (Visiteur)

Prévision 35.57%2.81cote équitable
EV -2.18%
Avantage -0.794%
Kelly -1.25%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.52%35.57%35.56%36.59%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.502.682.702.7540.00%37.31%37.04%36.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

22 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.

Cotes des opérateurs (37 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%EV -1.42%E -0.929%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%EV -3.96%E -1.47%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.4%2026-03-10 23:00
LowVig.ag1.51I 66.23%NM 64.22%EV -2.71%E -1.80%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 35.78%EV -3.61%E -1.33%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-10 22:24
BetOnline.ag1.51I 66.23%NM 64.22%EV -2.71%E -1.80%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 35.78%EV -3.61%E -1.33%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-10 22:25
Bovada1.51I 66.23%NM 63.96%EV -2.71%E -1.80%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.04%EV -4.67%E -1.74%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-10 22:10
BetUS1.51I 66.23%NM 63.88%EV -2.71%E -1.80%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 36.12%EV -5.03%E -1.88%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-10 22:23
GTbets1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.35%E -2.24%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.96%E -1.47%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-10 15:34
theScore Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.35%E -2.24%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.96%E -1.47%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-10 22:20
BetAnything1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.35%E -2.24%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.96%E -1.47%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-10 15:35
Everygame1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.35%E -2.24%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.96%E -1.47%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-10 14:29
Bet Right1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.35%E -2.24%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.74%E -2.17%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-10 22:09
Fanatics1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.35%E -2.24%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.74%E -2.17%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-10 22:00
PlayUp1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.35%E -2.24%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.52%E -2.89%K -4.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-10 22:10
ReBet1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -4.00%E -2.68%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV -3.25%E -1.19%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-10 22:56
Paddy Power1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.00%E -2.68%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -3.96%E -1.47%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-10 22:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.00%E -2.68%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -3.96%E -1.47%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-10 22:20
DraftKings1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.00%E -2.68%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -3.96%E -1.47%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-10 14:14
Caesars1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.00%E -2.68%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -3.96%E -1.47%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-10 15:35
FanDuel1.49I 67.11%NM 64.27%EV -4.00%E -2.68%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.73%EV -4.67%E -1.74%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-10 22:29
MyBookie.ag1.49I 67.11%NM 64.10%EV -4.00%E -2.68%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.90%EV -5.38%E -2.02%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-10 22:59
NordicBet1.49I 67.11%NM 63.66%EV -4.00%E -2.68%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 36.34%EV -7.16%E -2.74%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-10 22:20
Betsson1.49I 67.11%NM 63.66%EV -4.00%E -2.68%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 36.34%EV -7.16%E -2.74%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-10 22:20
PointsBet (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.64%E -3.14%K -9.67%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -2.18%E -0.794%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-10 14:25
Bally Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.64%E -3.14%K -9.67%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -2.18%E -0.794%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-10 22:00
betPARX1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.64%E -3.14%K -9.67%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -2.18%E -0.794%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-10 22:00
Fliff1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.64%E -3.14%K -9.67%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.96%E -1.47%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-10 22:20
Coral1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.64%E -3.14%K -9.67%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.96%E -1.47%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-10 14:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.64%E -3.14%K -9.67%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.96%E -1.47%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-10 14:15
BetMGM1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.64%E -3.14%K -9.67%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.96%E -1.47%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-10 14:15
SportsBet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.25%EV -4.64%E -3.14%K -9.67%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.75%EV -5.38%E -2.02%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-10 23:00
TAB1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.64%E -3.14%K -9.67%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.52%E -2.89%K -4.70%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-10 12:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.64%E -3.14%K -9.67%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.52%E -2.89%K -4.70%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-10 14:15
Neds1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.64%E -3.14%K -9.67%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.52%E -2.89%K -4.70%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-10 14:15
BetRivers1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -5.29%E -3.60%K -11.25%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -2.18%E -0.794%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-10 22:00
Betr (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.58%E -4.54%K -14.61%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -2.18%E -0.794%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-10 23:00
Bet Victor1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.58%E -4.54%K -14.61%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.96%E -1.47%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-10 22:09
Hard Rock Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -7.22%E -5.01%K -16.41%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -3.96%E -1.47%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-10 23:00
NetBet (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 64.77%EV -12.38%E -9.10%K -34.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.23%EV -11.08%E -4.43%K -7.38%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-10 22:19
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (9)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
ProphetX1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%0.6%2026-03-10 23:00
Polymarket1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-03-10 22:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-03-10 23:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-03-10 23:00
Novig1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-03-10 23:00
Matchbook1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-03-10 23:00
Smarkets1.55I 64.52%NM 63.36%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.64%1.8%2026-03-10 23:00
BetOpenly1.51I 66.23%NM 64.97%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.03%1.9%2026-03-10 22:59
Kalshi1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32%2.0%2026-03-10 22:20

Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (22)

Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.

OpérateurOption 1Option 2Option 3Marge ▲Mise à jour
LeoVegas (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 54.11%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.83%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.06%3.2%2026-03-10 22:00
Unibet (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 54.11%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.83%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.06%3.2%2026-03-10 22:00
ATG (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 54.11%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.83%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.06%3.2%2026-03-10 22:00
Svenska Spel1.79I 55.87%NM 54.11%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.83%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.06%3.2%2026-03-10 22:00
TABtouch1.78I 56.18%NM 54.00%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.64%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.36%4.0%2026-03-10 23:00
Unibet (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.28%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.35%4.1%2026-03-10 22:00
Marathon Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.53%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.98%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.49%4.6%2026-03-10 22:10
1xBet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.72%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.11%4.73I 21.14%NM 20.17%4.8%2026-03-10 22:59
Coolbet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.01%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.79%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.20%4.8%2026-03-10 22:23
Grosvenor1.76I 56.82%NM 54.11%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.73%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16%5.0%2026-03-10 22:00
Unibet (NL)1.76I 56.82%NM 54.11%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.73%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16%5.0%2026-03-10 22:00
Unibet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.11%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.73%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16%5.0%2026-03-10 22:00
Casumo1.76I 56.82%NM 54.11%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.73%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16%5.0%2026-03-10 22:00
Betway1.77I 56.50%NM 52.95%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.05%6.7%2026-03-10 23:00
Tipico (DE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.46%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26%6.9%2026-03-10 23:00
LeoVegas1.72I 58.14%NM 54.07%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.80%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%7.5%2026-03-10 22:00
Winamax (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.51%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%8.6%2026-03-10 23:00
Winamax (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.35%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%9.0%2026-03-10 23:00
Parions Sport (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.37%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.82%9.1%2026-03-10 23:00
Codere (IT)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.37%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.82%9.1%2026-03-10 22:30
Unibet (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 52.37%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.67%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.96%9.7%2026-03-10 22:59
Betclic (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.49%3.43I 29.15%NM 26.27%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.25%11.0%2026-03-10 22:54