Language:English
Carolina Hurricanes v Ottawa Senators
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Carolina Hurricanes (Local)
Prediction 57.47%1.74fair odd
EV -1.73%
Edge -1.01%
Kelly -2.43%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.71
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.00%57.63%57.40%59.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.511.661.671.7166.23%60.16%59.88%58.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Ottawa Senators (Visit)
Prediction 42.53%2.35fair odd
EV +2.07%
Edge +0.863%
Kelly +1.48%
Growth +0.031%
assuming max odds 2.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.15%42.37%42.60%44.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.242.252.4047.62%44.59%44.44%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Carolina Hurricanes (Local): 57.47%; Ottawa Senators (Visit): 42.53%. For Ottawa Senators (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.35. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.07%.
21 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -7.47%E -4.64%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV +2.07%E +0.863%K +1.48%G +0.031% | 3.8% | 2026-04-20 23:34 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.31%EV -3.45%E -2.05%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.69%EV -0.055%E -0.024%K -0.041%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-04-20 23:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -6.90%E -4.26%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -0.055%E -0.024%K -0.041%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-20 23:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -6.90%E -4.26%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -0.055%E -0.024%K -0.041%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-20 23:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -7.47%E -4.64%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -0.055%E -0.024%K -0.041%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-20 23:12 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.04%EV -4.02%E -2.41%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.96%EV -1.76%E -0.760%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-20 23:34 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.04%EV -4.02%E -2.41%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.96%EV -1.76%E -0.760%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-20 23:35 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.90%E -4.26%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.18%E -0.949%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-20 23:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -4.60%E -2.77%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -3.03%E -1.33%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-20 23:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -1.73%E -1.01%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -3.46%E -1.52%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-04-20 23:20 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -3.45%E -2.05%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV -3.46%E -1.52%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-20 21:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -3.45%E -2.05%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV -3.46%E -1.52%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-20 23:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.88%E -1.70%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.31%E -1.91%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-19 10:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.88%E -1.70%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.31%E -1.91%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-20 23:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.88%E -1.70%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.31%E -1.91%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-20 23:29 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.02%E -2.41%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.31%E -1.91%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-20 23:19 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.02%E -2.41%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.31%E -1.91%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-19 03:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.17%E -3.14%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.31%E -1.91%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-18 23:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -3.45%E -2.05%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -4.73%E -2.11%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-20 22:59 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.89%EV -2.88%E -1.70%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.11%EV -5.16%E -2.31%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-20 23:20 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.60%E -2.77%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.16%E -2.31%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-20 23:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -3.45%E -2.05%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -5.58%E -2.52%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-20 22:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -2.88%E -1.70%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -6.43%E -2.92%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-20 22:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -2.88%E -1.70%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -6.43%E -2.92%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-20 22:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.45%E -2.05%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.43%E -2.92%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-20 23:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.45%E -2.05%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.43%E -2.92%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-20 22:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.02%E -2.41%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.43%E -2.92%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-18 23:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.17%E -3.14%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.43%E -2.92%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-19 03:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.17%E -3.14%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.43%E -2.92%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-19 03:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.45%E -2.05%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -7.29%E -3.34%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-20 23:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.45%E -2.05%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -7.29%E -3.34%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-20 23:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -3.45%E -2.05%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -8.56%E -3.98%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-20 23:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.02%E -2.41%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -8.56%E -3.98%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-20 23:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -5.17%E -3.14%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -10.69%E -5.09%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-20 23:19 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 58.17%EV -13.22%E -8.75%K -25.92%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.83%EV -10.69%E -5.09%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-04-20 23:29 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (9)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.60% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 42.40% | 0.4% | 2026-04-20 23:35 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12% | 0.5% | 2026-04-20 23:35 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.88% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 42.12% | 1.0% | 2026-04-20 23:25 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.2% | 2026-04-20 23:29 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.2% | 2026-04-20 23:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.13% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.87% | 1.2% | 2026-04-20 23:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.27% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.73% | 1.5% | 2026-04-20 23:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.27% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.73% | 1.5% | 2026-04-20 23:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.06% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.94% | 1.9% | 2026-04-20 23:35 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (21)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.77% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.23% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.00% | 3.3% | 2026-04-20 23:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.77% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.23% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.00% | 3.3% | 2026-04-20 23:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.77% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.23% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.00% | 3.3% | 2026-04-20 23:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.77% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.23% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.00% | 3.3% | 2026-04-20 23:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.29% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 31.96% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.75% | 4.6% | 2026-04-20 23:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.79% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.92% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.29% | 4.7% | 2026-04-20 23:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.33% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 32.13% | 4.43I 22.57%NM 21.54% | 4.8% | 2026-04-20 23:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.57% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.75% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.68% | 5.0% | 2026-04-20 21:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.90% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.06% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.03% | 5.5% | 2026-04-20 23:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.90% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.06% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.03% | 5.5% | 2026-04-20 23:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.90% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.06% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.03% | 5.5% | 2026-04-20 23:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.90% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.06% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.03% | 5.5% | 2026-04-20 23:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.88% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.53% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59% | 6.0% | 2026-04-20 23:29 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.03% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13% | 6.3% | 2026-04-20 23:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.81% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.83% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36% | 6.5% | 2026-04-20 23:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.29% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.12% | 6.8% | 2026-04-20 23:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.04% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.89% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07% | 7.9% | 2026-04-20 23:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.96% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.97% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08% | 8.3% | 2026-04-20 23:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.83% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.87% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30% | 8.6% | 2026-04-20 23:33 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.69% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.37% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94% | 9.0% | 2026-04-20 23:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 46.98% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.83% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20% | 12.6% | 2026-04-20 23:35 |