L’École des cotes

Carolina Hurricanes v Ottawa Senators

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-20 23:40 UTC

Score final : Carolina Hurricanes 3–2 Ottawa Senators

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

35 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Carolina Hurricanes (Local)

Prévision 57.47%1.74cote équitable
EV -1.73%
Avantage -1.01%
Kelly -2.43%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.71

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
56.00%57.63%57.40%59.85%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.511.661.671.7166.23%60.16%59.88%58.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Ottawa Senators (Visiteur)

Prévision 42.53%2.35cote équitable
EV +2.07%
Avantage +0.863%
Kelly +1.48%
Croissance +0.031%

avec la cote maximale 2.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.15%42.37%42.60%44.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.102.242.252.4047.62%44.59%44.44%41.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

21 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.

Cotes des opérateurs (35 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Caesars1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -7.47%E -4.64%K -12.25%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV +2.07%E +0.863%K +1.48%G +0.031%3.8%2026-04-20 23:34
theScore Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 58.31%EV -3.45%E -2.05%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.69%EV -0.055%E -0.024%K -0.041%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-20 23:35
Bally Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -6.90%E -4.26%K -11.13%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -0.055%E -0.024%K -0.041%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-20 23:35
betPARX1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -6.90%E -4.26%K -11.13%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -0.055%E -0.024%K -0.041%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-20 23:35
BetRivers1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -7.47%E -4.64%K -12.25%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -0.055%E -0.024%K -0.041%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-20 23:12
BetOnline.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 58.04%EV -4.02%E -2.41%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.96%EV -1.76%E -0.760%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-20 23:34
LowVig.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 58.04%EV -4.02%E -2.41%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.96%EV -1.76%E -0.760%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-20 23:35
Fliff1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.90%E -4.26%K -11.13%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.18%E -0.949%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-20 23:30
Bet Right1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -4.60%E -2.77%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -3.03%E -1.33%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-20 23:30
Pinnacle1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -1.73%E -1.01%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -3.46%E -1.52%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-20 23:20
BetAnything1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -3.45%E -2.05%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV -3.46%E -1.52%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-20 21:20
Bovada1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -3.45%E -2.05%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV -3.46%E -1.52%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-20 23:15
PointsBet (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.88%E -1.70%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.31%E -1.91%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-19 10:00
GTbets1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.88%E -1.70%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.31%E -1.91%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-20 23:00
BetUS1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.88%E -1.70%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.31%E -1.91%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-20 23:29
Fanatics1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.02%E -2.41%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.31%E -1.91%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-20 23:19
BetMGM1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.02%E -2.41%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.31%E -1.91%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-19 03:20
Betr (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.17%E -3.14%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.31%E -1.91%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-18 23:40
DraftKings1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -3.45%E -2.05%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -4.73%E -2.11%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-20 22:59
ReBet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.89%EV -2.88%E -1.70%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.11%EV -5.16%E -2.31%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-20 23:20
MyBookie.ag1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.60%E -2.77%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.16%E -2.31%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-20 23:24
FanDuel1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -3.45%E -2.05%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -5.58%E -2.52%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-20 22:29
Paddy Power1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -2.88%E -1.70%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -6.43%E -2.92%K -5.36%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-20 22:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -2.88%E -1.70%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -6.43%E -2.92%K -5.36%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-20 22:35
SportsBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.45%E -2.05%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.43%E -2.92%K -5.36%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-20 23:20
PlayUp1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.45%E -2.05%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.43%E -2.92%K -5.36%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-20 22:10
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.02%E -2.41%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.43%E -2.92%K -5.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 23:35
Ladbrokes (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.17%E -3.14%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.43%E -2.92%K -5.36%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-19 03:20
Neds1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.17%E -3.14%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.43%E -2.92%K -5.36%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-19 03:20
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.45%E -2.05%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -7.29%E -3.34%K -6.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-20 23:19
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.45%E -2.05%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -7.29%E -3.34%K -6.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-20 23:20
TAB1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -3.45%E -2.05%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -8.56%E -3.98%K -7.44%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-20 23:20
Hard Rock Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.02%E -2.41%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -8.56%E -3.98%K -7.44%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-20 23:35
Bet Victor1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -5.17%E -3.14%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -10.69%E -5.09%K -9.72%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-20 23:19
NetBet (FR)1.51I 66.23%NM 58.17%EV -13.22%E -8.75%K -25.92%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.83%EV -10.69%E -5.09%K -9.72%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-20 23:29
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (9)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Novig1.73I 57.80%NM 57.60%2.35I 42.55%NM 42.40%0.4%2026-04-20 23:35
ProphetX1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%0.5%2026-04-20 23:35
BetOpenly1.71I 58.48%NM 57.88%2.35I 42.55%NM 42.12%1.0%2026-04-20 23:25
Polymarket1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-04-20 23:29
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-04-20 23:10
Matchbook1.70I 58.82%NM 58.13%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.87%1.2%2026-04-20 23:34
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.27%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.73%1.5%2026-04-20 23:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.27%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.73%1.5%2026-04-20 23:35
Smarkets1.69I 59.17%NM 58.06%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.94%1.9%2026-04-20 23:35

Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (21)

Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.

OpérateurOption 1Option 2Option 3Marge ▲Mise à jour
Unibet (SE)2.07I 48.31%NM 46.77%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.23%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.00%3.3%2026-04-20 23:35
LeoVegas (SE)2.07I 48.31%NM 46.77%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.23%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.00%3.3%2026-04-20 23:35
Svenska Spel2.07I 48.31%NM 46.77%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.23%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.00%3.3%2026-04-20 23:35
ATG (SE)2.07I 48.31%NM 46.77%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.23%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.00%3.3%2026-04-20 23:35
Marathon Bet2.11I 47.39%NM 45.29%2.99I 33.44%NM 31.96%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.75%4.6%2026-04-20 23:25
Unibet (UK)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.79%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.92%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.29%4.7%2026-04-20 23:30
1xBet2.06I 48.54%NM 46.33%2.97I 33.67%NM 32.13%4.43I 22.57%NM 21.54%4.8%2026-04-20 23:20
Coolbet2.09I 47.85%NM 45.57%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.75%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.68%5.0%2026-04-20 21:50
Unibet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.90%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.06%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.03%5.5%2026-04-20 23:35
Unibet (NL)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.90%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.06%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.03%5.5%2026-04-20 23:35
Casumo2.02I 49.50%NM 46.90%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.06%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.03%5.5%2026-04-20 23:35
Grosvenor2.02I 49.50%NM 46.90%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.06%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.03%5.5%2026-04-20 23:35
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.88%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.53%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%6.0%2026-04-20 23:29
TABtouch2.00I 50.00%NM 47.03%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%6.3%2026-04-20 23:35
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.81%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.83%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%6.5%2026-04-20 23:25
Unibet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.29%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.12%6.8%2026-04-20 23:20
LeoVegas1.97I 50.76%NM 47.04%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.89%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%7.9%2026-04-20 23:35
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.96%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.97%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%8.3%2026-04-20 23:30
Betclic (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.83%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.87%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%8.6%2026-04-20 23:33
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 43.69%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.37%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%9.0%2026-04-20 23:30
PMU (FR)1.89I 52.91%NM 46.98%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.83%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%12.6%2026-04-20 23:35