Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.41
assuming max odds 3.25
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Carolina Hurricanes (Local): 69.06%; Montréal Canadiens (Visit): 30.94%. For Montréal Canadiens (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.23. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.541%.
21 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -6.07%E -4.46%K -16.87%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV +0.541%E +0.166%K +0.240%G +0.001% | 4.3% | 2026-05-30 00:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -6.07%E -4.46%K -16.87%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV +0.541%E +0.166%K +0.240%G +0.001% | 4.3% | 2026-05-30 00:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -6.07%E -4.46%K -16.87%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV +0.541%E +0.166%K +0.240%G +0.001% | 4.3% | 2026-05-30 00:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.61%EV -2.62%E -1.86%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.39%EV -0.078%E -0.024%K -0.035%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-05-30 00:09 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.78%EV -4.00%E -2.88%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 30.22%EV -0.697%E -0.217%K -0.315%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-29 23:49 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.78%EV -4.00%E -2.88%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 30.22%EV -0.697%E -0.217%K -0.315%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-29 23:49 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -6.07%E -4.46%K -16.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -1.01%E -0.314%K -0.457%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-29 23:49 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -6.07%E -4.46%K -16.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -1.01%E -0.314%K -0.457%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-29 23:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.69%E -3.40%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -2.55%E -0.810%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-30 00:09 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.69%E -3.40%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -2.55%E -0.810%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-30 00:09 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -6.07%E -4.46%K -16.87%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -2.55%E -0.810%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-29 23:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.94%EV -2.62%E -1.86%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 31.06%EV -3.17%E -1.01%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-05-30 00:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -3.31%E -2.36%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -4.10%E -1.32%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-29 23:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -3.31%E -2.36%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -4.10%E -1.32%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-29 23:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -3.31%E -2.36%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -4.10%E -1.32%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-29 23:49 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -3.31%E -2.36%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -4.10%E -1.32%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-29 21:39 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.69%E -3.40%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.10%E -1.32%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-29 21:58 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.69%E -3.40%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.10%E -1.32%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-29 23:49 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.75%EV -3.31%E -2.36%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.25%EV -4.72%E -1.53%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-29 23:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -4.00%E -2.88%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -5.65%E -1.85%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-29 23:49 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -4.00%E -2.88%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -5.65%E -1.85%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-30 00:08 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.69%E -3.40%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.65%E -1.85%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-29 23:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.31%E -2.36%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -7.19%E -2.40%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-29 02:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.31%E -2.36%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -7.19%E -2.40%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-29 02:38 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.31%E -2.36%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -7.19%E -2.40%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-29 02:38 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.31%E -2.36%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -7.19%E -2.40%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-29 23:49 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -3.31%E -2.36%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -8.74%E -2.96%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-30 00:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -3.31%E -2.36%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -8.74%E -2.96%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-29 23:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -3.31%E -2.36%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -8.74%E -2.96%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-30 00:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.31%E -2.36%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -10.29%E -3.55%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-29 02:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.31%E -2.36%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -10.29%E -3.55%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-29 02:39 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.31%E -2.36%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -10.29%E -3.55%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-30 00:09 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.31%E -2.36%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -10.29%E -3.55%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-29 09:38 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 69.32%EV -12.29%E -9.68%K -45.51%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 30.68%EV -11.21%E -3.91%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-05-29 23:49 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -4.69%E -3.40%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -11.83%E -4.15%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-30 00:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -6.07%E -4.46%K -16.87%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -13.38%E -4.78%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-30 00:09 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.77% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.23% | 0.2% | 2026-05-30 00:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 0.7% | 2026-05-30 00:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 0.7% | 2026-05-30 00:09 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 0.7% | 2026-05-30 00:09 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.25% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.75% | 1.0% | 2026-05-29 23:49 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.25% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.75% | 1.0% | 2026-05-29 23:39 |
| Novig◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.25% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.75% | 1.0% | 2026-05-30 00:09 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.89% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.11% | 2.2% | 2026-05-30 00:09 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97% | 4.3% | 2026-05-29 23:49 |
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.98% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.26% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.76% | 3.3% | 2026-05-30 00:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.98% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.26% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.76% | 3.3% | 2026-05-30 00:09 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.98% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.26% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.76% | 3.3% | 2026-05-30 00:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.98% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.26% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.76% | 3.3% | 2026-05-30 00:09 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.63% | 4.13I 24.21%NM 23.17% | 4.74I 21.10%NM 20.19% | 4.5% | 2026-05-29 23:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.25% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.73% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.01% | 4.6% | 2026-05-29 23:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.69% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.67% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.64% | 5.0% | 2026-05-30 00:09 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.04% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.13% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.83% | 5.1% | 2026-05-30 00:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.04% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.13% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.83% | 5.1% | 2026-05-30 00:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.04% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.13% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.83% | 5.1% | 2026-05-30 00:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.04% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.13% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.83% | 5.1% | 2026-05-30 00:09 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.64% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.12% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.24% | 5.1% | 2026-05-29 23:39 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.52% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.02% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.45% | 5.9% | 2026-05-30 00:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.06% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.80% | 6.3% | 2026-05-30 00:09 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.83% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.60% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.56% | 6.6% | 2026-05-30 00:09 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37% | 6.7% | 2026-05-29 21:39 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.70% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.28% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.02% | 6.9% | 2026-05-29 23:58 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.09% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.13% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78% | 7.6% | 2026-05-30 00:09 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.23% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58% | 7.8% | 2026-05-30 00:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.24% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.06% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.70% | 8.4% | 2026-05-30 00:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.06% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.21% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.74% | 12.6% | 2026-05-30 00:09 |