L’École des cotes

Carolina Hurricanes v Montréal Canadiens

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-30 00:20 UTC

Score final : Carolina Hurricanes 6–1 Montréal Canadiens

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

36 opérateurs (12 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Carolina Hurricanes (Local)

Prévision 69.06%1.45cote équitable
EV -2.62%
Avantage -1.86%
Kelly -6.39%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.41

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
67.31%68.94%69.07%70.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.271.381.401.4178.74%72.22%71.68%70.92%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Montréal Canadiens (Visiteur)

Prévision 30.94%3.23cote équitable
EV +0.541%
Avantage +0.166%
Kelly +0.240%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 3.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.50%31.06%30.93%32.69%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.803.063.093.2535.71%32.67%32.36%30.77%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

21 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.

Cotes des opérateurs (36 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Bet Right1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -6.07%E -4.46%K -16.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV +0.541%E +0.166%K +0.240%G +0.001%4.3%2026-05-30 00:10
Bally Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -6.07%E -4.46%K -16.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV +0.541%E +0.166%K +0.240%G +0.001%4.3%2026-05-30 00:10
betPARX1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -6.07%E -4.46%K -16.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV +0.541%E +0.166%K +0.240%G +0.001%4.3%2026-05-30 00:09
theScore Bet1.41I 70.92%NM 69.61%EV -2.62%E -1.86%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.39%EV -0.078%E -0.024%K -0.035%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-30 00:09
BetOnline.ag1.39I 71.94%NM 69.78%EV -4.00%E -2.88%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 30.22%EV -0.697%E -0.217%K -0.315%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-29 23:49
LowVig.ag1.39I 71.94%NM 69.78%EV -4.00%E -2.88%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 30.22%EV -0.697%E -0.217%K -0.315%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-29 23:49
PointsBet (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -6.07%E -4.46%K -16.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -1.01%E -0.314%K -0.457%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-29 23:49
Fliff1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -6.07%E -4.46%K -16.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -1.01%E -0.314%K -0.457%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-29 23:49
DraftKings1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.69%E -3.40%K -12.34%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -2.55%E -0.810%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-30 00:09
GTbets1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.69%E -3.40%K -12.34%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -2.55%E -0.810%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-30 00:09
MyBookie.ag1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -6.07%E -4.46%K -16.87%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -2.55%E -0.810%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-29 23:59
Pinnacle1.41I 70.92%NM 68.94%EV -2.62%E -1.86%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 31.06%EV -3.17%E -1.01%K -1.49%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-30 00:09
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -3.31%E -2.36%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -4.10%E -1.32%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-29 23:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -3.31%E -2.36%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -4.10%E -1.32%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-29 23:49
Bovada1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -3.31%E -2.36%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -4.10%E -1.32%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-29 23:49
BetUS1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -3.31%E -2.36%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -4.10%E -1.32%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-29 21:39
Caesars1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.69%E -3.40%K -12.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.10%E -1.32%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-29 21:58
BetAnything1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.69%E -3.40%K -12.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.10%E -1.32%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-29 23:49
ReBet1.40I 71.43%NM 68.75%EV -3.31%E -2.36%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.25%EV -4.72%E -1.53%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-29 23:59
FanDuel1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -4.00%E -2.88%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -5.65%E -1.85%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-29 23:49
Fanatics1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -4.00%E -2.88%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -5.65%E -1.85%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-30 00:08
SportsBet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.69%E -3.40%K -12.34%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.65%E -1.85%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-29 23:49
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.31%E -2.36%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -7.19%E -2.40%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-29 02:39
BetMGM1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.31%E -2.36%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -7.19%E -2.40%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-29 02:38
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.31%E -2.36%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -7.19%E -2.40%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-29 02:38
PlayUp1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.31%E -2.36%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -7.19%E -2.40%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-29 23:49
Betr (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -3.31%E -2.36%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -8.74%E -2.96%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-30 00:09
NordicBet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -3.31%E -2.36%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -8.74%E -2.96%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-29 23:49
Betsson1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -3.31%E -2.36%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -8.74%E -2.96%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-30 00:09
Neds1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.31%E -2.36%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -10.29%E -3.55%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-29 02:39
Ladbrokes (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.31%E -2.36%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -10.29%E -3.55%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-29 02:39
TAB1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.31%E -2.36%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -10.29%E -3.55%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-30 00:09
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.31%E -2.36%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -10.29%E -3.55%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-29 09:38
NetBet (FR)1.27I 78.74%NM 69.32%EV -12.29%E -9.68%K -45.51%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 30.68%EV -11.21%E -3.91%K -6.00%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-29 23:49
Hard Rock Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -4.69%E -3.40%K -12.34%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -11.83%E -4.15%K -6.40%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-30 00:10
Bet Victor1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -6.07%E -4.46%K -16.87%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -13.38%E -4.78%K -7.43%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-30 00:09
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (9)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
ProphetX1.43I 69.93%NM 69.77%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.23%0.2%2026-05-30 00:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%0.7%2026-05-30 00:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%0.7%2026-05-30 00:09
Matchbook1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%0.7%2026-05-30 00:09
Kalshi1.41I 70.92%NM 70.25%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.75%1.0%2026-05-29 23:49
Polymarket1.41I 70.92%NM 70.25%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.75%1.0%2026-05-29 23:39
Novig1.41I 70.92%NM 70.25%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.75%1.0%2026-05-30 00:09
Smarkets1.40I 71.43%NM 69.89%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.11%2.2%2026-05-30 00:09
BetOpenly1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%4.3%2026-05-29 23:49

Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (21)

Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.

OpérateurOption 1Option 2Option 3Marge ▲Mise à jour
Unibet (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.98%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.26%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.76%3.3%2026-05-30 00:09
LeoVegas (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.98%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.26%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.76%3.3%2026-05-30 00:09
ATG (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.98%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.26%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.76%3.3%2026-05-30 00:09
Svenska Spel1.67I 59.88%NM 57.98%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.26%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.76%3.3%2026-05-30 00:09
1xBet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.63%4.13I 24.21%NM 23.17%4.74I 21.10%NM 20.19%4.5%2026-05-29 23:59
Marathon Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.25%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.73%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.01%4.6%2026-05-29 23:59
Unibet (UK)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.69%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.67%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.64%5.0%2026-05-30 00:09
Casumo1.64I 60.98%NM 58.04%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.13%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.83%5.1%2026-05-30 00:09
Grosvenor1.64I 60.98%NM 58.04%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.13%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.83%5.1%2026-05-30 00:09
Unibet (NL)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.04%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.13%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.83%5.1%2026-05-30 00:10
Unibet1.64I 60.98%NM 58.04%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.13%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.83%5.1%2026-05-30 00:09
Coolbet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.64%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.12%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.24%5.1%2026-05-29 23:39
Winamax (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.52%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.02%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.45%5.9%2026-05-30 00:09
TABtouch1.62I 61.73%NM 58.06%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.80%6.3%2026-05-30 00:09
Betclic (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.83%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.60%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.56%6.6%2026-05-30 00:09
Tipico (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%6.7%2026-05-29 21:39
Unibet (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.70%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.28%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.02%6.9%2026-05-29 23:58
LeoVegas1.60I 62.50%NM 58.09%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.13%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%7.6%2026-05-30 00:09
Winamax (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.23%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%7.8%2026-05-30 00:09
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 55.24%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.06%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.70%8.4%2026-05-30 00:10
PMU (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 58.06%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.21%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.74%12.6%2026-05-30 00:09