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Carolina Hurricanes v Montréal Canadiens
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Carolina Hurricanes (Local)
Prediction 64.83%1.54fair odd
EV -2.10%
Edge -1.39%
Kelly -4.12%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.51
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.96%64.75%64.89%66.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.361.481.481.5173.53%67.75%67.57%66.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Montréal Canadiens (Visit)
Prediction 35.17%2.84fair odd
EV -0.834%
Edge -0.296%
Kelly -0.458%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.82
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.81%35.25%35.11%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.702.712.8240.00%36.98%36.90%35.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Carolina Hurricanes (Local): 64.83%; Montréal Canadiens (Visit): 35.17%. For Montréal Canadiens (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.84. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.82, with an expected value of -0.834%; they did not produce positive expected value.
21 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (36 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.05%EV -2.10%E -1.39%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 34.95%EV -1.19%E -0.422%K -0.655%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-05-23 23:09 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -2.10%E -1.39%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -6.81%E -2.57%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-23 22:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.45%EV -2.75%E -1.83%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.55%EV -4.35%E -1.60%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-23 23:09 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -2.75%E -1.83%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -5.05%E -1.87%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-23 22:49 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.75%E -1.83%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.57%E -3.30%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-23 18:48 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.75%E -1.83%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -10.33%E -4.05%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-23 23:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.43%EV -3.40%E -2.28%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.57%EV -0.834%E -0.296%K -0.458%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-05-23 23:04 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.11%EV -3.40%E -2.28%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.89%EV -2.24%E -0.806%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-23 23:09 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.11%EV -3.40%E -2.28%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.89%EV -2.24%E -0.806%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-23 23:09 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%EV -3.40%E -2.28%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -3.30%E -1.20%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-23 23:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -3.40%E -2.28%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -5.05%E -1.87%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-23 23:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -3.40%E -2.28%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -5.05%E -1.87%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-23 20:20 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -3.40%E -2.28%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -7.52%E -2.86%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-23 22:47 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.04%E -2.73%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -3.30%E -1.20%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-23 22:49 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.04%E -2.73%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -3.30%E -1.20%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-22 08:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.04%E -2.73%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -3.30%E -1.20%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-23 23:07 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.04%E -2.73%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -3.30%E -1.20%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-23 22:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.04%E -2.73%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.05%E -1.87%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-23 11:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.04%E -2.73%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.05%E -1.87%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-23 11:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.04%E -2.73%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.05%E -1.87%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-23 11:58 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.04%E -2.73%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.05%E -1.87%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-23 23:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.04%E -2.73%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.57%E -3.30%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-23 11:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.04%E -2.73%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.57%E -3.30%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-23 07:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.33%EV -4.69%E -3.19%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.67%EV -2.59%E -0.936%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-23 23:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.33%EV -4.69%E -3.19%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.67%EV -2.59%E -0.936%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-23 23:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.25%EV -4.69%E -3.19%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.75%EV -2.94%E -1.07%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-23 23:09 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.69%E -3.19%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -3.30%E -1.20%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-23 20:29 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.69%E -3.19%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -3.30%E -1.20%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-23 20:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.58%EV -4.69%E -3.19%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.42%EV -5.76%E -2.15%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-23 23:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.58%EV -4.69%E -3.19%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.42%EV -5.76%E -2.15%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-23 23:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.24%EV -5.34%E -3.66%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.76%EV -3.65%E -1.33%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-23 23:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.99%E -4.13%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -3.30%E -1.20%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-23 22:49 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.99%E -4.13%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.05%E -1.87%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-23 23:09 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -5.99%E -4.13%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -12.09%E -4.83%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-23 22:49 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.29%E -5.10%K -16.94%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.54%E -0.549%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-23 23:09 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 64.77%EV -11.82%E -8.69%K -32.85%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.23%EV -12.09%E -4.83%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-05-23 21:49 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (9)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 64.53% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.47% | -0.0% | 2026-05-23 22:59 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.83% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.17% | 0.8% | 2026-05-23 23:09 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65% | 0.9% | 2026-05-23 16:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.67% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.33% | 1.1% | 2026-05-23 23:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.67% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.33% | 1.1% | 2026-05-23 23:09 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.67% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.33% | 1.1% | 2026-05-23 23:09 |
| Novig◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.45% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.55% | 1.2% | 2026-05-23 23:09 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.65% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.35% | 1.8% | 2026-05-23 23:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.80% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.20% | 2.2% | 2026-05-23 23:09 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (21)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.14% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.02% | 3.4% | 2026-05-23 23:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.14% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.02% | 3.4% | 2026-05-23 23:09 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.14% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.02% | 3.4% | 2026-05-23 23:09 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.14% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.02% | 3.4% | 2026-05-23 23:09 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.55% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.20% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.25% | 4.6% | 2026-05-23 23:08 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.93% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.30% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.77% | 4.7% | 2026-05-23 23:09 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.78% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67% | 4.43I 22.57%NM 21.55% | 4.8% | 2026-05-23 22:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.12% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.20% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.68% | 4.8% | 2026-05-23 22:58 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05% | 5.6% | 2026-05-23 23:09 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05% | 5.6% | 2026-05-23 23:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05% | 5.6% | 2026-05-23 23:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05% | 5.6% | 2026-05-23 23:09 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.24% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.09% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.67% | 6.1% | 2026-05-23 23:08 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.76% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.31% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93% | 6.2% | 2026-05-23 23:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93% | 6.2% | 2026-05-23 23:09 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.12% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82% | 6.6% | 2026-05-23 23:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.71% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.29% | 6.8% | 2026-05-23 22:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.83% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73% | 7.2% | 2026-05-23 23:09 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.75% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.15% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.10% | 7.7% | 2026-05-23 23:09 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.00% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.90% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10% | 7.7% | 2026-05-23 23:09 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 52.93% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.15% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 20.92% | 12.5% | 2026-05-23 23:09 |