L’École des cotes

Carolina Hurricanes v Montréal Canadiens

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-23 23:20 UTC

Score final : Carolina Hurricanes 3–2 Montréal Canadiens

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

36 opérateurs (12 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Carolina Hurricanes (Local)

Prévision 64.83%1.54cote équitable
EV -2.10%
Avantage -1.39%
Kelly -4.12%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.51

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
62.96%64.75%64.89%66.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.361.481.481.5173.53%67.75%67.57%66.23%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Montréal Canadiens (Visiteur)

Prévision 35.17%2.84cote équitable
EV -0.834%
Avantage -0.296%
Kelly -0.458%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.82

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.81%35.25%35.11%37.04%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.502.702.712.8240.00%36.98%36.90%35.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

21 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.

Cotes des opérateurs (36 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
theScore Bet1.51I 66.23%NM 65.05%EV -2.10%E -1.39%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 34.95%EV -1.19%E -0.422%K -0.655%G +0.000%1.8%2026-05-23 23:09
ReBet1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -2.10%E -1.39%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -6.81%E -2.57%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-23 22:59
BetUS1.50I 66.67%NM 64.45%EV -2.75%E -1.83%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.55%EV -4.35%E -1.60%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-23 23:09
GTbets1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -2.75%E -1.83%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -5.05%E -1.87%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-23 22:49
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.75%E -1.83%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.57%E -3.30%K -5.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-23 18:48
Hard Rock Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.75%E -1.83%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -10.33%E -4.05%K -6.66%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-23 23:00
Pinnacle1.49I 67.11%NM 65.43%EV -3.40%E -2.28%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.57%EV -0.834%E -0.296%K -0.458%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-23 23:04
LowVig.ag1.49I 67.11%NM 65.11%EV -3.40%E -2.28%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.89%EV -2.24%E -0.806%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-23 23:09
BetOnline.ag1.49I 67.11%NM 65.11%EV -3.40%E -2.28%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.89%EV -2.24%E -0.806%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-23 23:09
BetAnything1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%EV -3.40%E -2.28%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -3.30%E -1.20%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-23 23:09
Fanatics1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -3.40%E -2.28%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -5.05%E -1.87%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-23 23:09
DraftKings1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -3.40%E -2.28%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -5.05%E -1.87%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-23 20:20
MyBookie.ag1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -3.40%E -2.28%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -7.52%E -2.86%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-23 22:47
Bet Right1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.04%E -2.73%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -3.30%E -1.20%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-23 22:49
PointsBet (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.04%E -2.73%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -3.30%E -1.20%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-22 08:30
Caesars1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.04%E -2.73%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -3.30%E -1.20%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-23 23:07
Bovada1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.04%E -2.73%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -3.30%E -1.20%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-23 22:59
BetMGM1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.04%E -2.73%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.05%E -1.87%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-23 11:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.04%E -2.73%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.05%E -1.87%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-23 11:59
Coral1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.04%E -2.73%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.05%E -1.87%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-23 11:58
PlayUp1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.04%E -2.73%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.05%E -1.87%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-23 23:09
Neds1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.04%E -2.73%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.57%E -3.30%K -5.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-23 11:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.04%E -2.73%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.57%E -3.30%K -5.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-23 07:09
Paddy Power1.47I 68.03%NM 65.33%EV -4.69%E -3.19%K -9.98%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.67%EV -2.59%E -0.936%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-23 23:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.47I 68.03%NM 65.33%EV -4.69%E -3.19%K -9.98%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.67%EV -2.59%E -0.936%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-23 23:09
FanDuel1.47I 68.03%NM 65.25%EV -4.69%E -3.19%K -9.98%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.75%EV -2.94%E -1.07%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-23 23:09
Bally Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.69%E -3.19%K -9.98%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -3.30%E -1.20%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-23 20:29
betPARX1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.69%E -3.19%K -9.98%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -3.30%E -1.20%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-23 20:29
NordicBet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.58%EV -4.69%E -3.19%K -9.98%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.42%EV -5.76%E -2.15%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-23 23:09
Betsson1.47I 68.03%NM 64.58%EV -4.69%E -3.19%K -9.98%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.42%EV -5.76%E -2.15%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-23 23:09
SportsBet1.46I 68.49%NM 65.24%EV -5.34%E -3.66%K -11.61%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.76%EV -3.65%E -1.33%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-23 23:09
Betr (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.99%E -4.13%K -13.31%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -3.30%E -1.20%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-23 22:49
TAB1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.99%E -4.13%K -13.31%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.05%E -1.87%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-23 23:09
Bet Victor1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -5.99%E -4.13%K -13.31%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -12.09%E -4.83%K -8.06%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-23 22:49
Fliff1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.29%E -5.10%K -16.94%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.54%E -0.549%K -0.854%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-23 23:09
NetBet (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 64.77%EV -11.82%E -8.69%K -32.85%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.23%EV -12.09%E -4.83%K -8.06%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-23 21:49
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (9)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.55I 64.52%NM 64.53%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.47%-0.0%2026-05-23 22:59
ProphetX1.53I 65.36%NM 64.83%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.17%0.8%2026-05-23 23:09
Polymarket1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%0.9%2026-05-23 16:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 64.67%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.33%1.1%2026-05-23 23:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 64.67%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.33%1.1%2026-05-23 23:09
Matchbook1.53I 65.36%NM 64.67%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.33%1.1%2026-05-23 23:09
Novig1.51I 66.23%NM 65.45%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.55%1.2%2026-05-23 23:09
Kalshi1.52I 65.79%NM 64.65%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.35%1.8%2026-05-23 23:00
Smarkets1.51I 66.23%NM 64.80%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.20%2.2%2026-05-23 23:09

Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (21)

Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.

OpérateurOption 1Option 2Option 3Marge ▲Mise à jour
LeoVegas (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.14%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.02%3.4%2026-05-23 23:09
Svenska Spel1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.14%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.02%3.4%2026-05-23 23:09
Unibet (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.14%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.02%3.4%2026-05-23 23:09
ATG (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.14%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.02%3.4%2026-05-23 23:09
Coolbet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.55%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.20%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.25%4.6%2026-05-23 23:08
Unibet (UK)1.84I 54.35%NM 51.93%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.30%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.77%4.7%2026-05-23 23:09
1xBet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.78%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%4.43I 22.57%NM 21.55%4.8%2026-05-23 22:59
Marathon Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.12%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.20%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.68%4.8%2026-05-23 22:58
Unibet (NL)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%5.6%2026-05-23 23:09
Casumo1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%5.6%2026-05-23 23:09
Grosvenor1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%5.6%2026-05-23 23:09
Unibet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%5.6%2026-05-23 23:09
Betclic (FR)1.84I 54.35%NM 51.24%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.09%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.67%6.1%2026-05-23 23:08
Winamax (DE)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.76%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.31%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%6.2%2026-05-23 23:09
TABtouch1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%6.2%2026-05-23 23:09
Tipico (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.12%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%6.6%2026-05-23 23:00
Unibet (FR)1.81I 55.25%NM 51.71%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.29%6.8%2026-05-23 22:49
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 51.83%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%7.2%2026-05-23 23:09
LeoVegas1.76I 56.82%NM 52.75%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.15%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.10%7.7%2026-05-23 23:09
Winamax (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.00%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.90%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%7.7%2026-05-23 23:09
PMU (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 52.93%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.15%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.92%12.5%2026-05-23 23:09