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Calgary Flames v Toronto Maple Leafs

2026-10-27 00:40 UTC — NHL

Head to Head

23 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Calgary Flames (Local)

Prediction 41.07%2.43fair odd
EV -1.42%
Edge -0.592%
Kelly -1.01%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.15%41.39%40.95%43.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.172.322.352.4046.08%43.10%42.55%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Toronto Maple Leafs (Visit)

Prediction 58.93%1.70fair odd
EV -0.417%
Edge -0.247%
Kelly -0.604%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.69

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.85%58.61%59.05%59.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.601.631.631.6962.50%61.20%61.35%59.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Calgary Flames (Local): 41.07%; Toronto Maple Leafs (Visit): 58.93%. For Toronto Maple Leafs (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.70. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.69, with an expected value of -0.417%; they do not produce positive expected value.

19 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (23 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Paddy Power🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -1.42%E -0.592%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -5.13%E -3.19%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-25 16:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -1.42%E -0.592%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -5.13%E -3.19%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-25 16:35
LowVig.ag🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 40.55%EV -1.83%E -0.766%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.45%EV -3.95%E -2.42%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-25 18:24
BetOnline.ag🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 40.55%EV -1.83%E -0.766%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.45%EV -3.95%E -2.42%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-25 18:25
BetUS🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -2.24%E -0.942%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -4.54%E -2.80%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-25 18:08
DraftKings🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -3.06%E -1.30%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -4.54%E -2.80%K -7.32%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-25 17:35
FanDuel🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 40.55%EV -3.06%E -1.30%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.45%EV -5.13%E -3.19%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-25 18:03
SportsBet🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -3.06%E -1.30%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -5.72%E -3.57%K -9.53%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-25 18:03
BetRivers🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -3.47%E -1.48%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.95%E -2.42%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-25 16:35
Bally Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -3.47%E -1.48%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.95%E -2.42%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-25 16:35
betPARX🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -3.47%E -1.48%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.95%E -2.42%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-25 16:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -3.47%E -1.48%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.95%E -2.42%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-25 18:03
GTbets🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.47%E -1.48%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.54%E -2.80%K -7.32%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-25 18:25
Fanatics🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.47%E -1.48%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.13%E -3.19%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-25 18:07
Betr (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.47%E -1.48%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.72%E -3.57%K -9.53%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-25 16:50
Bet Right🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -3.88%E -1.66%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -3.95%E -2.42%K -6.27%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-25 16:55
Pinnacle🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 42.11%EV -5.12%E -2.22%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.89%EV -1.01%E -0.599%K -1.48%G +0.000%2.8%2026-10-25 16:55
theScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -7.58%E -3.37%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -0.417%E -0.247%K -0.604%G +0.000%3.6%2026-10-25 18:08
Fliff🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.64%E -4.38%K -8.03%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.60%E -0.955%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-25 16:50
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.64%E -4.38%K -8.03%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.60%E -0.955%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-25 16:50
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.64%E -4.38%K -8.03%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.60%E -0.955%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-25 16:50
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.64%E -4.38%K -8.03%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.60%E -0.955%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-25 16:50
ReBet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.74%EV -10.87%E -5.01%K -9.29%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.26%EV -4.54%E -2.80%K -7.32%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-25 18:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%1.1%2026-10-25 17:49
Polymarket◎2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%1.2%2026-10-25 17:05
Novig◎2.33I 42.92%NM 42.33%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.67%1.4%2026-10-25 18:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.34I 42.74%NM 42.08%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.92%1.6%2026-10-25 18:03
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.34I 42.74%NM 42.08%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.92%1.6%2026-10-25 18:03
Smarkets◎2.12I 47.17%NM 42.86%1.59I 62.89%NM 57.14%10.1%2026-10-25 18:50

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (19)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
1xBet🎯3.06I 32.68%NM 31.67%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.60%4.46I 22.42%NM 21.73%3.2%2026-10-25 19:10
Unibet (SE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 30.20%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.84%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.96%3.5%2026-10-25 16:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 30.20%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.84%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.96%3.5%2026-10-25 16:35
ATG (SE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 30.20%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.84%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.96%3.5%2026-10-25 16:35
Svenska Spel🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 30.20%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.84%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.96%3.5%2026-10-25 16:35
Marathon Bet🎯3.02I 33.11%NM 31.65%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.63%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.72%4.6%2026-10-25 19:10
Coolbet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.29%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.02%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.69%4.8%2026-10-25 18:55
Unibet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.17%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.99%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.84%5.2%2026-10-25 16:35
Unibet (UK)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.16%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.28%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.56%5.4%2026-10-25 18:50
Unibet (NL)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.09%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.12%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.79%5.5%2026-10-25 16:35
Casumo🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.09%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.12%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.79%5.5%2026-10-25 16:35
TABtouch🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.02%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%6.8%2026-10-25 16:35
Betclic (FR)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.19%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.74%8.3%2026-10-25 18:53
Grosvenor🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.24%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.79%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96%8.4%2026-10-25 16:35
Codere (IT)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.15%1.99I 50.25%NM 46.04%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%9.1%2026-10-25 18:08
Winamax (DE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.13%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.24%9.5%2026-10-25 18:08
picklebet_au🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.61%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.65%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%9.5%2026-10-25 18:08
Unibet (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.29%1.91I 52.36%NM 45.64%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.07%14.7%2026-10-25 18:49
Winamax (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 32.97%1.88I 53.19%NM 45.60%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.43%16.7%2026-10-25 18:50