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Calgary Flames v Toronto Maple Leafs
Resultado del partido
Calgary Flames (Local)
Predicción 41.00%2.44momio equitativo
EV -1.59%
Ventaja -0.663%
Kelly -1.14%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.15%41.35%40.95%43.15%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.172.322.352.4046.08%43.09%42.55%41.67%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Toronto Maple Leafs (Visitante)
Predicción 59.00%1.70momio equitativo
EV -0.297%
Ventaja -0.176%
Kelly -0.430%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.69
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.85%58.65%59.05%59.85%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.601.631.631.6962.50%61.22%61.35%59.17%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Calgary Flames (Local): 41.00%; Toronto Maple Leafs (Visitante): 59.00%. Para Toronto Maple Leafs (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 1.70. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 1.69, con un valor esperado de -0.297%; no producen valor esperado positivo.
19 corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para este mercado (3 vías, frente al formato de 2 vías empleado en el análisis). Esta disparidad exige interpretar los resultados con cautela.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (23 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -1.59%E -0.663%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -5.02%E -3.12%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-25 16:34 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -1.59%E -0.663%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -5.02%E -3.12%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-25 16:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.55%EV -2.00%E -0.837%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.45%EV -3.84%E -2.35%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-10-25 18:24 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.55%EV -2.00%E -0.837%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.45%EV -3.84%E -2.35%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-10-25 18:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -2.41%E -1.01%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -4.43%E -2.73%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-25 18:08 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -3.23%E -1.37%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -4.43%E -2.73%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-25 17:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.55%EV -3.23%E -1.37%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.45%EV -5.02%E -3.12%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-25 18:03 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -3.23%E -1.37%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -5.61%E -3.50%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-25 18:03 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -3.64%E -1.55%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.84%E -2.35%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-25 16:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -3.64%E -1.55%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.84%E -2.35%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-25 16:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -3.64%E -1.55%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.84%E -2.35%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-25 16:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -3.64%E -1.55%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.84%E -2.35%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-25 18:03 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.64%E -1.55%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.43%E -2.73%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-25 18:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.64%E -1.55%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.02%E -3.12%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-25 18:07 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.64%E -1.55%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.61%E -3.50%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-25 16:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -4.05%E -1.73%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -3.84%E -2.35%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-25 16:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.75%EV -4.46%E -1.91%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.25%EV -1.48%E -0.884%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-10-25 19:21 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -7.74%E -3.44%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -0.297%E -0.176%K -0.430%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-10-25 18:08 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.79%E -4.45%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.48%E -0.884%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-25 16:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.79%E -4.45%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.48%E -0.884%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-25 16:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.79%E -4.45%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.48%E -0.884%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-25 16:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.79%E -4.45%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.48%E -0.884%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-25 16:50 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.74%EV -11.02%E -5.08%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.26%EV -4.43%E -2.73%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-25 18:50 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53% | 1.1% | 2026-10-25 17:49 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47% | 1.2% | 2026-10-25 17:05 |
| Novig◎ | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.33% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.67% | 1.4% | 2026-10-25 18:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.08% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.92% | 1.6% | 2026-10-25 18:03 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.08% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.92% | 1.6% | 2026-10-25 18:03 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.86% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 57.14% | 10.1% | 2026-10-25 18:50 |
Otros corredores — no incluidos en el análisis (19)
Estos corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para el mercado y, por ello, quedan excluidos del análisis. Sus momios se muestran únicamente como referencia: las reglas de liquidación de esas apuestas pueden ser diferentes e introducen incertidumbre adicional.
| Corredor | Opción 1 | Opción 2 | Opción 3 | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.06I 32.68%NM 31.67% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.60% | 4.46I 22.42%NM 21.73% | 3.2% | 2026-10-25 19:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.20% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.84% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.96% | 3.5% | 2026-10-25 16:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.20% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.84% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.96% | 3.5% | 2026-10-25 16:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.20% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.84% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.96% | 3.5% | 2026-10-25 16:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.20% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.84% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.96% | 3.5% | 2026-10-25 16:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.65% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.63% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.72% | 4.6% | 2026-10-25 19:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.29% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.02% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.69% | 4.8% | 2026-10-25 18:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.17% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.99% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.84% | 5.2% | 2026-10-25 16:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.16% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.28% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.56% | 5.4% | 2026-10-25 18:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.09% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.12% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.79% | 5.5% | 2026-10-25 16:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.09% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.12% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.79% | 5.5% | 2026-10-25 16:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.02% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78% | 6.8% | 2026-10-25 16:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.19% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.74% | 8.3% | 2026-10-25 18:53 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.24% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.79% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96% | 8.4% | 2026-10-25 16:35 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.15% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 46.04% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81% | 9.1% | 2026-10-25 18:08 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.13% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.24% | 9.5% | 2026-10-25 18:08 |
| picklebet_au🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.61% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.65% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74% | 9.5% | 2026-10-25 18:08 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.29% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 45.64% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.07% | 14.7% | 2026-10-25 18:49 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 32.97% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 45.60% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.43% | 16.7% | 2026-10-25 18:50 |