默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Calgary Flames v Ottawa Senators

开赛时间: 2026-03-06 02:10 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

37 家博彩公司 (13 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Calgary Flames (主队)

预测 39.00%2.56公平赔率
EV -1.73%
优势 -0.687%
Kelly -1.14%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.52

博彩公司预测分布
37.97%39.01%39.05%40.05%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.252.452.452.5244.44%40.87%40.82%39.68%最小值均值中位数最大值

Ottawa Senators (客队)

预测 61.00%1.64公平赔率
EV -2.39%
优势 -1.50%
Kelly -3.99%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.60

博彩公司预测分布
59.95%60.99%60.95%62.03%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.451.571.571.6068.97%63.80%63.69%62.50%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Calgary Flames (主队):39.00%;Ottawa Senators (客队):61.00%。 对于“Calgary Flames (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.56。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率:最佳赔率为2.52,期望值为-1.73%,未产生正期望值。

有 22 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项(3 个赛果,而分析采用 2 个赛果)。由于这一差异,应谨慎看待分析结果。

博彩公司赔率 (37 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
Caesars🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 38.24%EV -1.73%E -0.687%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.76%EV -4.83%E -3.10%K -8.63%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-05 23:45
LowVig.ag🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 38.63%EV -2.12%E -0.845%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 61.37%EV -3.61%E -2.29%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-05 23:45
BetOnline.ag🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 38.63%EV -2.12%E -0.845%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 61.37%EV -3.61%E -2.29%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-05 23:45
BetAnything🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 38.48%EV -2.12%E -0.845%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.52%EV -4.22%E -2.69%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-05 23:45
Pinnacle🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02%EV -2.51%E -1.00%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.98%EV -2.39%E -1.50%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.5%2026-03-05 23:45
Everygame🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -2.51%E -1.00%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -3.00%E -1.89%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-05 23:45
theScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -2.51%E -1.00%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -4.22%E -2.69%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-05 23:45
BetUS🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -2.51%E -1.00%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -4.22%E -2.69%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-05 23:45
Bovada🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -2.51%E -1.00%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -4.22%E -2.69%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-05 23:45
DraftKings🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.51%E -1.00%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.83%E -3.10%K -8.63%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-05 23:45
GTbets🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.51%E -1.00%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.83%E -3.10%K -8.63%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-05 23:45
Fliff🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -2.51%E -1.00%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -6.05%E -3.93%K -11.21%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-05 23:45
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.51%E -1.00%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.66%E -4.35%K -12.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-05 23:45
Paddy Power🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 38.86%EV -3.68%E -1.49%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.14%EV -4.22%E -2.69%K -7.41%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-05 20:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 38.86%EV -3.68%E -1.49%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.14%EV -4.22%E -2.69%K -7.41%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-05 20:15
FanDuel🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 38.96%EV -4.07%E -1.66%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.04%EV -4.22%E -2.69%K -7.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-05 21:05
Bet Right🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -4.46%E -1.82%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -3.61%E -2.29%K -6.23%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-05 23:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.46%E -1.82%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.22%E -2.69%K -7.41%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-05 20:55
Coral🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.46%E -1.82%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.22%E -2.69%K -7.41%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-05 23:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.46%E -1.82%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.22%E -2.69%K -7.41%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-05 23:45
BetMGM🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.46%E -1.82%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.22%E -2.69%K -7.41%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-05 23:45
Fanatics🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.46%E -1.82%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.22%E -2.69%K -7.41%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-05 15:49
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.46%E -1.82%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.22%E -2.69%K -7.41%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-05 23:44
Betr (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.46%E -1.82%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.44%E -3.51%K -9.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 00:00
SportsBet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -5.24%E -2.16%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.83%E -3.10%K -8.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 21:10
MyBookie.ag🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -5.63%E -2.33%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -4.22%E -2.69%K -7.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 23:59
betPARX🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -6.41%E -2.67%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.39%E -1.50%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-05 21:35
Bally Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -6.41%E -2.67%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.39%E -1.50%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-05 21:35
PlayUp🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -6.41%E -2.67%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.61%E -2.29%K -6.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 21:35
BetRivers🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.41%E -2.67%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.22%E -2.69%K -7.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-05 21:35
Bet Victor🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.41%E -2.67%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.22%E -2.69%K -7.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-05 20:04
TAB🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.41%E -2.67%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.44%E -3.51%K -9.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-05 23:45
Betsson🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 39.80%EV -6.80%E -2.85%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.20%EV -3.61%E -2.29%K -6.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 23:45
NordicBet🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 39.80%EV -6.80%E -2.85%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.20%EV -3.61%E -2.29%K -6.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 23:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -8.36%E -3.56%K -6.19%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.22%E -2.69%K -7.41%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-05 23:44
Neds🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -8.36%E -3.56%K -6.19%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.22%E -2.69%K -7.41%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-05 23:45
NetBet (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.19%EV -12.26%E -5.45%K -9.81%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 60.81%EV -11.54%E -7.96%K -25.65%G +0.000%13.4%2026-03-05 23:44
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (8)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
BetOpenly2.60I 38.46%NM 38.39%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.61%0.2%2026-03-05 23:45
Novig2.59I 38.61%NM 38.48%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.52%0.3%2026-03-06 00:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76%0.6%2026-03-05 23:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76%0.6%2026-03-05 23:45
Matchbook2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76%0.6%2026-03-05 23:45
ProphetX2.58I 38.76%NM 38.42%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.58%0.9%2026-03-05 23:45
Polymarket2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%1.2%2026-03-05 22:04
Smarkets2.58I 38.76%NM 38.13%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.87%1.7%2026-03-05 23:45

其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (22)

这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同,因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同,并带来额外的不确定性。

博彩公司选项 1选项 2选项 3利润率 ▲更新时间
1xBet🎯3.33I 30.03%NM 29.14%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.03%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.83%3.1%2026-03-05 23:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 29.20%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.91%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.90%3.8%2026-03-05 21:35
Unibet (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 29.20%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.91%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.90%3.8%2026-03-05 21:35
Svenska Spel🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 29.20%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.91%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.90%3.8%2026-03-05 21:35
ATG (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 29.20%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.91%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.90%3.8%2026-03-05 21:35
Unibet (UK)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.66%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.74%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%4.1%2026-03-05 23:45
Marathon Bet🎯3.28I 30.49%NM 29.16%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.06%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.77%4.5%2026-03-05 23:45
Coolbet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.83%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.04%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.13%5.1%2026-03-06 00:00
Unibet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.22%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.83%5.3%2026-03-05 21:35
Casumo🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.15%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.08%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.78%5.6%2026-03-05 21:35
Unibet (NL)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.15%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.08%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.78%5.6%2026-03-05 21:35
Grosvenor🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.15%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.08%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.78%5.6%2026-03-05 21:35
TABtouch🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.86%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%6.6%2026-03-05 21:35
Tipico (DE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.31%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%6.7%2026-03-05 18:00
LeoVegas🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.13%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%7.7%2026-03-05 21:35
Parions Sport (FR)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.34%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.80%8.3%2026-03-05 23:45
Betway🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.21%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%8.6%2026-03-05 18:00
Winamax (DE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%8.7%2026-03-05 23:45
Codere (IT)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.34%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%8.9%2026-03-05 23:45
Betclic (FR)🎯3.18I 31.45%NM 28.83%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.25%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%9.1%2026-03-05 23:45
Unibet (FR)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.79%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.24%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.96%10.3%2026-03-06 00:00
Winamax (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.34%1.82I 54.95%NM 48.37%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.29%13.6%2026-03-05 23:45