L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Calgary Flames v Ottawa Senators
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Calgary Flames (Local)
Prévision 39.00%2.56cote équitable
EV -1.73%
Avantage -0.687%
Kelly -1.14%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.52
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.97%39.01%39.05%40.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.252.452.452.5244.44%40.87%40.82%39.68%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Ottawa Senators (Visiteur)
Prévision 61.00%1.64cote équitable
EV -2.39%
Avantage -1.50%
Kelly -3.99%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.60
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
59.95%60.99%60.95%62.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.451.571.571.6068.97%63.80%63.69%62.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
22 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.
Cotes des opérateurs (37 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.24%EV -1.73%E -0.687%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.76%EV -4.83%E -3.10%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-05 23:45 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.63%EV -2.12%E -0.845%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.37%EV -3.61%E -2.29%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-05 23:45 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.63%EV -2.12%E -0.845%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.37%EV -3.61%E -2.29%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-05 23:45 |
| BetAnything | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.48%EV -2.12%E -0.845%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.52%EV -4.22%E -2.69%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-05 23:45 |
| Pinnacle | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02%EV -2.51%E -1.00%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.98%EV -2.39%E -1.50%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-03-05 23:45 |
| Everygame | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -2.51%E -1.00%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -3.00%E -1.89%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-05 23:45 |
| theScore Bet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -2.51%E -1.00%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -4.22%E -2.69%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-05 23:45 |
| BetUS | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -2.51%E -1.00%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -4.22%E -2.69%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-05 23:45 |
| Bovada | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -2.51%E -1.00%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -4.22%E -2.69%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-05 23:45 |
| DraftKings | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.51%E -1.00%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.83%E -3.10%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-05 23:45 |
| GTbets | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.51%E -1.00%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.83%E -3.10%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-05 23:45 |
| Fliff | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -2.51%E -1.00%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -6.05%E -3.93%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-05 23:45 |
| William Hill | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.51%E -1.00%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.66%E -4.35%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-05 23:45 |
| Paddy Power | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.86%EV -3.68%E -1.49%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.14%EV -4.22%E -2.69%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-05 20:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.86%EV -3.68%E -1.49%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.14%EV -4.22%E -2.69%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-05 20:15 |
| FanDuel | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.96%EV -4.07%E -1.66%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.04%EV -4.22%E -2.69%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-05 21:05 |
| Bet Right | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -4.46%E -1.82%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -3.61%E -2.29%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-05 23:45 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.46%E -1.82%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.22%E -2.69%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-05 20:55 |
| Coral | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.46%E -1.82%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.22%E -2.69%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-05 23:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.46%E -1.82%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.22%E -2.69%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-05 23:45 |
| BetMGM | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.46%E -1.82%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.22%E -2.69%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-05 23:45 |
| Fanatics | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.46%E -1.82%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.22%E -2.69%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-05 15:49 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.46%E -1.82%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.22%E -2.69%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-05 23:44 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.46%E -1.82%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.44%E -3.51%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 00:00 |
| SportsBet | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -5.24%E -2.16%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.83%E -3.10%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 21:10 |
| MyBookie.ag | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -5.63%E -2.33%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -4.22%E -2.69%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-05 23:59 |
| betPARX | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -6.41%E -2.67%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.39%E -1.50%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-05 21:35 |
| Bally Bet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -6.41%E -2.67%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.39%E -1.50%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-05 21:35 |
| PlayUp | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -6.41%E -2.67%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.61%E -2.29%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-05 21:35 |
| BetRivers | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.41%E -2.67%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.22%E -2.69%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-05 21:35 |
| Bet Victor | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.41%E -2.67%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.22%E -2.69%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-05 20:04 |
| TAB | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.41%E -2.67%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.44%E -3.51%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-05 23:45 |
| Betsson | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.80%EV -6.80%E -2.85%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.20%EV -3.61%E -2.29%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 23:45 |
| NordicBet | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.80%EV -6.80%E -2.85%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.20%EV -3.61%E -2.29%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 23:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -8.36%E -3.56%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.22%E -2.69%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-05 23:44 |
| Neds | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -8.36%E -3.56%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.22%E -2.69%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-05 23:45 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.19%EV -12.26%E -5.45%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 60.81%EV -11.54%E -7.96%K -25.65%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-03-05 23:44 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (8)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.39% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.61% | 0.2% | 2026-03-05 23:45 |
| Novig | 2.59I 38.61%NM 38.48% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.52% | 0.3% | 2026-03-06 00:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76% | 0.6% | 2026-03-05 23:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76% | 0.6% | 2026-03-05 23:45 |
| Matchbook | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76% | 0.6% | 2026-03-05 23:45 |
| ProphetX | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.42% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.58% | 0.9% | 2026-03-05 23:45 |
| Polymarket | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39% | 1.2% | 2026-03-05 22:04 |
| Smarkets | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.13% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.87% | 1.7% | 2026-03-05 23:45 |
Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (22)
Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.
| Opérateur | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.14% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.03% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.83% | 3.1% | 2026-03-05 23:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.20% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.91% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.90% | 3.8% | 2026-03-05 21:35 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.20% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.91% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.90% | 3.8% | 2026-03-05 21:35 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.20% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.91% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.90% | 3.8% | 2026-03-05 21:35 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.20% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.91% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.90% | 3.8% | 2026-03-05 21:35 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.66% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.74% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59% | 4.1% | 2026-03-05 23:45 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.16% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.06% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.77% | 4.5% | 2026-03-05 23:45 |
| Coolbet | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.83% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.04% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.13% | 5.1% | 2026-03-06 00:00 |
| Unibet | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.22% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.83% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 21:35 |
| Casumo | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.15% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.08% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.78% | 5.6% | 2026-03-05 21:35 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.15% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.08% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.78% | 5.6% | 2026-03-05 21:35 |
| Grosvenor | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.15% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.08% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.78% | 5.6% | 2026-03-05 21:35 |
| TABtouch | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.86% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82% | 6.6% | 2026-03-05 21:35 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.31% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31% | 6.7% | 2026-03-05 18:00 |
| LeoVegas | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.13% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85% | 7.7% | 2026-03-05 21:35 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.34% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.80% | 8.3% | 2026-03-05 23:45 |
| Betway | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.21% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02% | 8.6% | 2026-03-05 18:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89% | 8.7% | 2026-03-05 23:45 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.34% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96% | 8.9% | 2026-03-05 23:45 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.18I 31.45%NM 28.83% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.25% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92% | 9.1% | 2026-03-05 23:45 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.79% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.24% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.96% | 10.3% | 2026-03-06 00:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.34% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 48.37% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.29% | 13.6% | 2026-03-05 23:45 |