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Calgary Flames v Florida Panthers
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Calgary Flames (Local)
Prediction 51.42%1.94fair odd
EV -1.80%
Edge -0.940%
Kelly -1.97%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.91
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%51.43%51.44%52.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.851.851.9154.64%54.02%54.05%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Florida Panthers (Visit)
Prediction 48.58%2.06fair odd
EV +0.083%
Edge +0.040%
Kelly +0.079%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.06
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.04%48.57%48.56%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.901.971.982.0652.63%50.65%50.51%48.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Calgary Flames (Local): 51.42%; Florida Panthers (Visit): 48.58%. For Florida Panthers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.058. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.060, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.083%.
19 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (31 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.96%EV -5.91%E -3.23%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.04%EV +0.083%E +0.040%K +0.079%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-20 23:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.96%EV -5.91%E -3.23%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.04%EV +0.083%E +0.040%K +0.079%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-20 23:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.28%EV -2.31%E -1.22%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.72%EV -2.83%E -1.42%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-03-21 01:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.88%E -2.64%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -2.83%E -1.42%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-20 23:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.88%E -2.64%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -2.83%E -1.42%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-20 23:49 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.91%E -3.23%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.83%E -1.42%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-20 23:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.91%E -3.23%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.83%E -1.42%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-20 23:39 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.91%E -3.23%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.83%E -1.42%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-20 23:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.91%E -3.23%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.83%E -1.42%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-20 23:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.91%E -3.23%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.83%E -1.42%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-20 23:39 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.91%E -3.23%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.83%E -1.42%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-20 23:40 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.91%E -3.23%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.83%E -1.42%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-20 23:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.88%E -2.64%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.80%E -1.92%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-21 01:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.88%E -2.64%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.80%E -1.92%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-21 00:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.88%E -2.64%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.80%E -1.92%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-20 23:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.91%E -3.23%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -3.80%E -1.92%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 00:00 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.88%E -2.64%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -4.29%E -2.18%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-20 23:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.04%EV -3.34%E -1.78%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.96%EV -4.78%E -2.44%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-21 00:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.88%E -2.64%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.78%E -2.44%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 00:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.88%E -2.64%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.78%E -2.44%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 00:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.85%E -2.06%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.26%E -2.70%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-20 23:49 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.85%E -2.06%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.26%E -2.70%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-21 00:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.85%E -2.06%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.26%E -2.70%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-21 00:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.85%E -2.06%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.26%E -2.70%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-21 01:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.88%E -2.64%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.26%E -2.70%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-20 23:39 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.88%E -2.64%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.26%E -2.70%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 00:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.91%E -3.23%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.26%E -2.70%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-20 23:49 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.91%E -3.23%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.26%E -2.70%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-20 23:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.80%E -0.940%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.20%E -3.77%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-20 07:44 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.80%E -0.940%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.20%E -3.77%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-20 19:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -4.88%E -2.64%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -7.69%E -4.05%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-21 00:49 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.53% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.47% | 1.3% | 2026-03-21 01:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.53% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.47% | 1.3% | 2026-03-21 01:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.53% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.47% | 1.3% | 2026-03-21 01:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58% | 2.0% | 2026-03-21 01:00 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (19)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.64% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.64% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.73% | 3.5% | 2026-03-20 19:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.64% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.64% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.73% | 3.5% | 2026-03-20 19:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.09% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.26% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.65% | 4.4% | 2026-03-21 00:44 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.49% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.48% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.03% | 4.6% | 2026-03-21 00:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.49% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.92% | 4.23I 23.64%NM 22.59% | 4.6% | 2026-03-21 00:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.21% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.68% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.11% | 5.5% | 2026-03-20 19:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.21% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.68% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.11% | 5.5% | 2026-03-20 19:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.21% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.68% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.11% | 5.5% | 2026-03-20 19:49 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.21% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.68% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.11% | 5.5% | 2026-03-20 19:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.57% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.80% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63% | 5.8% | 2026-03-21 01:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.38% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.69% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93% | 6.4% | 2026-03-20 19:49 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.39% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.86% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75% | 7.2% | 2026-03-20 19:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.27% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.66% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.07% | 8.4% | 2026-03-21 01:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 38.71% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.76% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53% | 9.0% | 2026-03-21 00:00 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.04% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.44% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.52% | 9.0% | 2026-03-21 00:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70% | 10.1% | 2026-03-21 01:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 38.77% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.64% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 23.59% | 10.7% | 2026-03-21 00:43 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 38.64% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 37.67% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.69% | 11.1% | 2026-03-21 01:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.13% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.50% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.37% | 11.1% | 2026-03-20 23:59 |