默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Calgary Flames v Florida Panthers

开赛时间： 2026-03-21 01:10 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

31 家博彩公司 (11 家纳入分析 )

51%

49%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Calgary Flames (主队)

预测 51.42%1.94公平赔率

EV -1.80%

优势 -0.940%

Kelly -1.97%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.91

博彩公司预测分布

50.00%51.43%51.44%52.96%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.831.851.851.9154.64%54.02%54.05%52.36%最小值均值中位数最大值

Florida Panthers (客队)

预测 48.58%2.06公平赔率

EV +0.083%

优势 +0.040%

Kelly +0.079%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.06

博彩公司预测分布

47.04%48.57%48.56%50.00%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.901.971.982.0652.63%50.65%50.51%48.54%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Calgary Flames (主队)：51.42%；Florida Panthers (客队)：48.58%。对于“Florida Panthers (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.058。当时有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为2.060，对应+0.083%的正期望值。

有 19 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项（3 个赛果，而分析采用 2 个赛果）。由于这一差异，应谨慎看待分析结果。

博彩公司赔率 (31 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队	客队 ▼	利润率	更新时间
LowVig.ag🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.96%EV -5.91%E -3.23%K -7.12%G +0.000%	2.06I 48.54%NM 47.04%EV +0.083%E +0.040%K +0.079%G +0.000%	3.2%	2026-03-20 23:40
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.96%EV -5.91%E -3.23%K -7.12%G +0.000%	2.06I 48.54%NM 47.04%EV +0.083%E +0.040%K +0.079%G +0.000%	3.2%	2026-03-20 23:39
Pinnacle🎯	1.90I 52.63%NM 51.28%EV -2.31%E -1.22%K -2.57%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 48.72%EV -2.83%E -1.42%K -2.83%G +0.000%	2.6%	2026-03-21 01:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.88%E -2.64%K -5.74%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -2.83%E -1.42%K -2.83%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-03-20 23:50
Coral🎯	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.88%E -2.64%K -5.74%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -2.83%E -1.42%K -2.83%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-03-20 23:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.91%E -3.23%K -7.12%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.83%E -1.42%K -2.83%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-03-20 23:20
Paddy Power🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.91%E -3.23%K -7.12%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.83%E -1.42%K -2.83%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-03-20 23:39
GTbets🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.91%E -3.23%K -7.12%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.83%E -1.42%K -2.83%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-03-20 23:40
BetUS🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.91%E -3.23%K -7.12%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.83%E -1.42%K -2.83%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-03-20 23:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.91%E -3.23%K -7.12%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.83%E -1.42%K -2.83%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-03-20 23:39
BetAnything🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.91%E -3.23%K -7.12%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.83%E -1.42%K -2.83%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-03-20 23:40
Everygame🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.91%E -3.23%K -7.12%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.83%E -1.42%K -2.83%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-03-20 23:40
DraftKings🎯	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.88%E -2.64%K -5.74%G +0.000%	1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.80%E -1.92%K -3.88%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-03-21 01:00
FanDuel🎯	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.88%E -2.64%K -5.74%G +0.000%	1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.80%E -1.92%K -3.88%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-03-21 00:00
BetMGM🎯	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.88%E -2.64%K -5.74%G +0.000%	1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.80%E -1.92%K -3.88%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-03-20 23:50
SportsBet🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.91%E -3.23%K -7.12%G +0.000%	1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -3.80%E -1.92%K -3.88%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-03-21 00:00
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.88%E -2.64%K -5.74%G +0.000%	1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -4.29%E -2.18%K -4.42%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-03-20 23:40
Bet Right🎯	1.88I 53.19%NM 51.04%EV -3.34%E -1.78%K -3.79%G +0.000%	1.96I 51.02%NM 48.96%EV -4.78%E -2.44%K -4.97%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-03-21 00:30
Betsson🎯	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.88%E -2.64%K -5.74%G +0.000%	1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.78%E -2.44%K -4.97%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-03-21 00:45
NordicBet🎯	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.88%E -2.64%K -5.74%G +0.000%	1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.78%E -2.44%K -4.97%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-03-21 00:45
Fanatics🎯	1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.85%E -2.06%K -4.43%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.26%E -2.70%K -5.54%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-03-20 23:49
Caesars🎯	1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.85%E -2.06%K -4.43%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.26%E -2.70%K -5.54%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-03-21 00:59
PlayUp🎯	1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.85%E -2.06%K -4.43%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.26%E -2.70%K -5.54%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-03-21 00:45
Bovada🎯	1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.85%E -2.06%K -4.43%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.26%E -2.70%K -5.54%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-03-21 01:00
Betr (AU)🎯	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.88%E -2.64%K -5.74%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.26%E -2.70%K -5.54%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-03-20 23:39
TAB🎯	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.88%E -2.64%K -5.74%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.26%E -2.70%K -5.54%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-03-21 00:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.91%E -3.23%K -7.12%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.26%E -2.70%K -5.54%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-03-20 23:49
Neds🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.91%E -3.23%K -7.12%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.26%E -2.70%K -5.54%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-03-20 23:50
William Hill🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.80%E -0.940%K -1.97%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.20%E -3.77%K -7.92%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-03-20 07:44
BetRivers🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.80%E -0.940%K -1.97%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.20%E -3.77%K -7.92%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-03-20 19:50
Bet Victor🎯	1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -4.88%E -2.64%K -5.74%G +0.000%	1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -7.69%E -4.05%K -8.54%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-03-21 00:49

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (4)

博彩公司	主队	客队	利润率 ▲	更新时间
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎	1.88I 53.19%NM 52.53%	2.08I 48.08%NM 47.47%	1.3%	2026-03-21 01:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎	1.88I 53.19%NM 52.53%	2.08I 48.08%NM 47.47%	1.3%	2026-03-21 01:00
Matchbook◎	1.88I 53.19%NM 52.53%	2.08I 48.08%NM 47.47%	1.3%	2026-03-21 01:00
Smarkets◎	1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42%	2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58%	2.0%	2026-03-21 01:00

其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (19)

这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同，因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同，并带来额外的不确定性。

博彩公司	选项 1	选项 2	选项 3	利润率 ▲	更新时间
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 38.64%	2.50I 40.00%NM 38.64%	4.25I 23.53%NM 22.73%	3.5%	2026-03-20 19:10
Unibet (SE)🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 38.64%	2.50I 40.00%NM 38.64%	4.25I 23.53%NM 22.73%	3.5%	2026-03-20 19:10
Coolbet🎯	2.45I 40.82%NM 39.09%	2.57I 38.91%NM 37.26%	4.05I 24.69%NM 23.65%	4.4%	2026-03-21 00:44
Marathon Bet🎯	2.42I 41.32%NM 39.49%	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.48%	4.15I 24.10%NM 23.03%	4.6%	2026-03-21 00:45
1xBet🎯	2.42I 41.32%NM 39.49%	2.52I 39.68%NM 37.92%	4.23I 23.64%NM 22.59%	4.6%	2026-03-21 00:59
Grosvenor🎯	2.48I 40.32%NM 38.21%	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.68%	4.10I 24.39%NM 23.11%	5.5%	2026-03-20 19:50
Unibet🎯	2.48I 40.32%NM 38.21%	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.68%	4.10I 24.39%NM 23.11%	5.5%	2026-03-20 19:50
Unibet (NL)🎯	2.48I 40.32%NM 38.21%	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.68%	4.10I 24.39%NM 23.11%	5.5%	2026-03-20 19:49
Casumo🎯	2.48I 40.32%NM 38.21%	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.68%	4.10I 24.39%NM 23.11%	5.5%	2026-03-20 19:50
Tipico (DE)🎯	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.57%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.80%	4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%	5.8%	2026-03-21 01:00
TABtouch🎯	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.38%	2.43I 41.15%NM 38.69%	4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%	6.4%	2026-03-20 19:49
LeoVegas🎯	2.43I 41.15%NM 38.39%	2.40I 41.67%NM 38.86%	4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%	7.2%	2026-03-20 19:50
Betway🎯	2.35I 42.55%NM 39.27%	2.45I 40.82%NM 37.66%	4.00I 25.00%NM 23.07%	8.4%	2026-03-21 01:00
Codere (IT)🎯	2.37I 42.19%NM 38.71%	2.43I 41.15%NM 37.76%	3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%	9.0%	2026-03-21 00:00
Parions Sport (FR)🎯	2.35I 42.55%NM 39.04%	2.45I 40.82%NM 37.44%	3.90I 25.64%NM 23.52%	9.0%	2026-03-21 00:45
Winamax (DE)🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%	2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%	4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%	10.1%	2026-03-21 01:00
Betclic (FR)🎯	2.33I 42.92%NM 38.77%	2.40I 41.67%NM 37.64%	3.83I 26.11%NM 23.59%	10.7%	2026-03-21 00:43
Unibet (FR)🎯	2.33I 42.92%NM 38.64%	2.39I 41.84%NM 37.67%	3.80I 26.32%NM 23.69%	11.1%	2026-03-21 01:00
Winamax (FR)🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 39.13%	2.40I 41.67%NM 37.50%	3.85I 25.97%NM 23.37%	11.1%	2026-03-20 23:59