La scuola delle quote

Calgary Flames v Dallas Stars

Inizio: 2026-03-04 02:10 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

36 bookmaker (13 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Calgary Flames (Casa)

Previsione 45.42%2.20quota equa
EV -2.34%
Vantaggio -1.09%
Kelly -2.03%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.15

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
44.16%45.44%45.74%46.75%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.922.102.102.1552.08%47.53%47.62%46.51%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Dallas Stars (Trasferta)

Previsione 54.58%1.83quota equa
EV -1.22%
Vantaggio -0.673%
Kelly -1.50%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.81

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
53.25%54.56%54.26%55.84%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.621.751.741.8161.73%57.21%57.47%55.25%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

21 bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.

Quote dei bookmaker (36 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Bally Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.34%E -1.09%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.04%E -2.90%K -6.81%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-03 20:10
betPARX2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.34%E -1.09%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.04%E -2.90%K -6.81%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-03 20:10
PointsBet (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.34%E -1.09%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.04%E -2.90%K -6.81%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-04 02:00
Caesars2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.34%E -1.09%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.04%E -2.90%K -6.81%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-04 01:57
theScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.34%E -1.09%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.04%E -2.90%K -6.81%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-03 17:35
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.34%E -1.09%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.04%E -2.90%K -6.81%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-03 19:45
Everygame2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.34%E -1.09%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.04%E -2.90%K -6.81%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-03 14:50
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -2.34%E -1.09%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -5.58%E -3.23%K -7.65%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-03 14:50
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -2.34%E -1.09%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -5.58%E -3.23%K -7.65%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-03 14:50
Fliff2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -2.34%E -1.09%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.68%E -3.90%K -9.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 02:05
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -2.34%E -1.09%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.22%E -4.25%K -10.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-03 19:55
BetRivers2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -2.79%E -1.30%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -5.58%E -3.23%K -7.65%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-03 20:10
Pinnacle2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -3.70%E -1.75%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -1.22%E -0.673%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.4%2026-03-04 02:00
Bet Right2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -3.70%E -1.75%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -3.95%E -2.24%K -5.19%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-04 02:00
FanDuel2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -3.70%E -1.75%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -4.49%E -2.57%K -5.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-04 02:05
MyBookie.ag2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -3.70%E -1.75%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.58%E -3.23%K -7.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 01:59
BetOnline.ag2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -4.61%E -2.20%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -1.76%E -0.980%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-04 02:00
LowVig.ag2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -4.61%E -2.20%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -1.76%E -0.980%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-04 02:00
DraftKings2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.61%E -2.20%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.40%E -1.92%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-04 02:00
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.61%E -2.20%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.40%E -1.92%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-04 02:00
GTbets2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.61%E -2.20%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.40%E -1.92%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-04 02:00
Bovada2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.61%E -2.20%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.40%E -1.92%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-04 02:00
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.61%E -2.20%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.40%E -1.92%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-04 02:00
BetUS2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.61%E -2.20%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.40%E -1.92%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-04 02:00
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.61%E -2.20%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.04%E -2.90%K -6.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 02:05
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.61%E -2.20%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.58%E -3.23%K -7.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 00:00
Neds2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.61%E -2.20%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.13%E -3.56%K -8.51%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-03 19:45
Ladbrokes (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.61%E -2.20%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.13%E -3.56%K -8.51%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-03 19:45
BetAnything2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.88%E -3.36%K -6.55%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -1.76%E -0.980%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-04 02:00
NordicBet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.88%E -3.36%K -6.55%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.40%E -1.92%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 02:00
Betsson2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.88%E -3.36%K -6.55%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.40%E -1.92%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 02:00
PlayUp2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.88%E -3.36%K -6.55%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.40%E -1.92%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 02:00
TAB2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.88%E -3.36%K -6.55%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.49%E -2.57%K -5.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-04 02:00
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.88%E -3.36%K -6.55%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.49%E -2.57%K -5.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-04 01:59
Hard Rock Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.88%E -3.36%K -6.55%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.04%E -2.90%K -6.81%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-04 02:04
NetBet (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 45.76%EV -12.79%E -6.66%K -13.90%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 54.24%EV -11.59%E -7.15%K -18.69%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-04 01:58
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (8)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
BetOpenly2.17I 46.08%NM 46.02%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.98%0.1%2026-03-04 01:59
Matchbook2.22I 45.05%NM 44.91%1.81I 55.25%NM 55.09%0.3%2026-03-04 02:05
Polymarket2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-03-04 02:05
Novig2.21I 45.25%NM 44.75%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.25%1.1%2026-03-04 02:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.16I 46.30%NM 45.59%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.41%1.5%2026-03-04 02:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.16I 46.30%NM 45.59%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.41%1.5%2026-03-04 02:05
ProphetX2.16I 46.30%NM 45.59%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.41%1.5%2026-03-04 02:05
Smarkets2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55%1.9%2026-03-04 02:05

Altri bookmaker — esclusi dall’analisi (21)

Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.

BookmakerOpzione 1Opzione 2Opzione 3Margine ▲Aggiornamento
Unibet (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 33.57%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.95%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.48%3.4%2026-03-03 20:10
LeoVegas (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 33.57%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.95%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.48%3.4%2026-03-03 20:10
Svenska Spel2.88I 34.72%NM 33.57%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.95%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.48%3.4%2026-03-03 20:10
ATG (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 33.57%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.95%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.48%3.4%2026-03-03 21:00
Unibet (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 34.48%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.97%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.55%3.6%2026-03-04 01:59
Marathon Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.76%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.93%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.31%4.6%2026-03-04 01:59
Coolbet2.80I 35.71%NM 34.13%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.28%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.59%4.7%2026-03-04 02:00
1xBet2.72I 36.76%NM 35.10%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.06%4.18I 23.92%NM 22.84%4.7%2026-03-04 01:59
Unibet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.84%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.87%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.29%5.5%2026-03-03 20:10
Casumo2.80I 35.71%NM 33.84%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.87%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.29%5.5%2026-03-03 20:10
Grosvenor2.80I 35.71%NM 33.84%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.87%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.29%5.5%2026-03-03 20:10
Unibet (NL)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.84%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.87%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.29%5.5%2026-03-03 20:10
TABtouch2.80I 35.71%NM 33.61%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.41%6.3%2026-03-03 20:10
Tipico (DE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.01%6.8%2026-03-04 02:00
LeoVegas2.75I 36.36%NM 33.69%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.71%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%7.9%2026-03-03 20:10
Betway2.65I 37.74%NM 34.88%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%8.2%2026-03-04 02:00
Codere (IT)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.79%9.2%2026-03-04 02:00
Betclic (FR)2.58I 38.76%NM 35.25%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.72%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.03%9.9%2026-03-04 02:05
Winamax (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.97%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.29%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%10.0%2026-03-04 02:00
Unibet (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.00%2.13I 46.95%NM 42.30%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.71%11.0%2026-03-04 02:03
Winamax (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.56%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.79%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%11.3%2026-03-04 02:00