L’École des cotes

Calgary Flames v Dallas Stars

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-04 02:10 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

36 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Calgary Flames (Local)

Prévision 45.42%2.20cote équitable
EV -2.34%
Avantage -1.09%
Kelly -2.03%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.15

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.16%45.44%45.74%46.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.922.102.102.1552.08%47.53%47.62%46.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Dallas Stars (Visiteur)

Prévision 54.58%1.83cote équitable
EV -1.22%
Avantage -0.673%
Kelly -1.50%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.81

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
53.25%54.56%54.26%55.84%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.621.751.741.8161.73%57.21%57.47%55.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

21 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.

Cotes des opérateurs (36 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Bally Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.34%E -1.09%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.04%E -2.90%K -6.81%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-03 20:10
betPARX2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.34%E -1.09%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.04%E -2.90%K -6.81%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-03 20:10
PointsBet (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.34%E -1.09%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.04%E -2.90%K -6.81%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-04 02:00
Caesars2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.34%E -1.09%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.04%E -2.90%K -6.81%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-04 01:57
theScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.34%E -1.09%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.04%E -2.90%K -6.81%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-03 17:35
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.34%E -1.09%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.04%E -2.90%K -6.81%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-03 19:45
Everygame2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.34%E -1.09%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.04%E -2.90%K -6.81%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-03 14:50
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -2.34%E -1.09%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -5.58%E -3.23%K -7.65%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-03 14:50
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -2.34%E -1.09%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -5.58%E -3.23%K -7.65%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-03 14:50
Fliff2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -2.34%E -1.09%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.68%E -3.90%K -9.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 02:05
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -2.34%E -1.09%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.22%E -4.25%K -10.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-03 19:55
BetRivers2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -2.79%E -1.30%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -5.58%E -3.23%K -7.65%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-03 20:10
Pinnacle2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -3.70%E -1.75%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -1.22%E -0.673%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.4%2026-03-04 02:00
Bet Right2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -3.70%E -1.75%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -3.95%E -2.24%K -5.19%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-04 02:00
FanDuel2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -3.70%E -1.75%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -4.49%E -2.57%K -5.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-04 02:05
MyBookie.ag2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -3.70%E -1.75%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.58%E -3.23%K -7.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 01:59
BetOnline.ag2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -4.61%E -2.20%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -1.76%E -0.980%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-04 02:00
LowVig.ag2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -4.61%E -2.20%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -1.76%E -0.980%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-04 02:00
DraftKings2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.61%E -2.20%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.40%E -1.92%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-04 02:00
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.61%E -2.20%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.40%E -1.92%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-04 02:00
GTbets2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.61%E -2.20%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.40%E -1.92%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-04 02:00
Bovada2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.61%E -2.20%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.40%E -1.92%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-04 02:00
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.61%E -2.20%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.40%E -1.92%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-04 02:00
BetUS2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.61%E -2.20%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.40%E -1.92%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-04 02:00
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.61%E -2.20%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.04%E -2.90%K -6.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 02:05
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.61%E -2.20%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.58%E -3.23%K -7.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 00:00
Neds2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.61%E -2.20%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.13%E -3.56%K -8.51%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-03 19:45
Ladbrokes (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.61%E -2.20%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.13%E -3.56%K -8.51%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-03 19:45
BetAnything2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.88%E -3.36%K -6.55%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -1.76%E -0.980%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-04 02:00
NordicBet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.88%E -3.36%K -6.55%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.40%E -1.92%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 02:00
Betsson2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.88%E -3.36%K -6.55%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.40%E -1.92%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 02:00
PlayUp2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.88%E -3.36%K -6.55%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.40%E -1.92%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 02:00
TAB2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.88%E -3.36%K -6.55%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.49%E -2.57%K -5.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-04 02:00
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.88%E -3.36%K -6.55%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.49%E -2.57%K -5.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-04 01:59
Hard Rock Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.88%E -3.36%K -6.55%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.04%E -2.90%K -6.81%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-04 02:04
NetBet (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 45.76%EV -12.79%E -6.66%K -13.90%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 54.24%EV -11.59%E -7.15%K -18.69%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-04 01:58
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (8)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly2.17I 46.08%NM 46.02%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.98%0.1%2026-03-04 01:59
Matchbook2.22I 45.05%NM 44.91%1.81I 55.25%NM 55.09%0.3%2026-03-04 02:05
Polymarket2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-03-04 02:05
Novig2.21I 45.25%NM 44.75%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.25%1.1%2026-03-04 02:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.16I 46.30%NM 45.59%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.41%1.5%2026-03-04 02:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.16I 46.30%NM 45.59%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.41%1.5%2026-03-04 02:05
ProphetX2.16I 46.30%NM 45.59%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.41%1.5%2026-03-04 02:05
Smarkets2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55%1.9%2026-03-04 02:05

Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (21)

Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.

OpérateurOption 1Option 2Option 3Marge ▲Mise à jour
Unibet (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 33.57%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.95%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.48%3.4%2026-03-03 20:10
LeoVegas (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 33.57%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.95%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.48%3.4%2026-03-03 20:10
Svenska Spel2.88I 34.72%NM 33.57%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.95%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.48%3.4%2026-03-03 20:10
ATG (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 33.57%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.95%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.48%3.4%2026-03-03 21:00
Unibet (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 34.48%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.97%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.55%3.6%2026-03-04 01:59
Marathon Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.76%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.93%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.31%4.6%2026-03-04 01:59
Coolbet2.80I 35.71%NM 34.13%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.28%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.59%4.7%2026-03-04 02:00
1xBet2.72I 36.76%NM 35.10%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.06%4.18I 23.92%NM 22.84%4.7%2026-03-04 01:59
Unibet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.84%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.87%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.29%5.5%2026-03-03 20:10
Casumo2.80I 35.71%NM 33.84%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.87%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.29%5.5%2026-03-03 20:10
Grosvenor2.80I 35.71%NM 33.84%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.87%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.29%5.5%2026-03-03 20:10
Unibet (NL)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.84%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.87%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.29%5.5%2026-03-03 20:10
TABtouch2.80I 35.71%NM 33.61%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.41%6.3%2026-03-03 20:10
Tipico (DE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.01%6.8%2026-03-04 02:00
LeoVegas2.75I 36.36%NM 33.69%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.71%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%7.9%2026-03-03 20:10
Betway2.65I 37.74%NM 34.88%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%8.2%2026-03-04 02:00
Codere (IT)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.79%9.2%2026-03-04 02:00
Betclic (FR)2.58I 38.76%NM 35.25%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.72%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.03%9.9%2026-03-04 02:05
Winamax (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.97%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.29%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%10.0%2026-03-04 02:00
Unibet (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.00%2.13I 46.95%NM 42.30%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.71%11.0%2026-03-04 02:03
Winamax (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.56%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.79%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%11.3%2026-03-04 02:00