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Calgary Flames v Carolina Hurricanes
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Calgary Flames (Local)
Prediction 34.74%2.88fair odd
EV +0.739%
Edge +0.255%
Kelly +0.389%
Growth +0.003%
assuming max odds 2.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.56%34.72%34.81%36.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.572.742.752.9038.91%36.50%36.36%34.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Carolina Hurricanes (Visit)
Prediction 65.26%1.53fair odd
EV -1.45%
Edge -0.963%
Kelly -2.85%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.51
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.73%65.28%65.19%67.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.331.461.481.5175.19%68.29%67.57%66.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Calgary Flames (Local): 34.74%; Carolina Hurricanes (Visit): 65.26%. For Calgary Flames (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.88. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.90, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.739%.
20 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (37 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV +0.739%E +0.255%K +0.389%G +0.003% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -8.63%E -6.17%K -21.58%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-08 03:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -2.74%E -0.977%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -4.06%E -2.76%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-07 21:44 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -2.74%E -0.977%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -4.06%E -2.76%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-07 21:44 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -2.74%E -0.977%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -4.72%E -3.23%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-08 02:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -2.74%E -0.977%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.37%E -3.70%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-08 02:58 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -2.74%E -0.977%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -6.02%E -4.18%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-08 02:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -2.74%E -0.977%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -6.02%E -4.18%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-08 03:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -2.74%E -0.977%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -8.63%E -6.17%K -21.58%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-08 02:58 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.79I 35.84%NM 34.81%EV -3.08%E -1.10%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.19%EV -2.76%E -1.85%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-08 00:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.79I 35.84%NM 34.81%EV -3.08%E -1.10%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.19%EV -2.76%E -1.85%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-08 00:04 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.59%EV -3.43%E -1.23%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.41%EV -4.06%E -2.76%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-08 03:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.59%EV -3.43%E -1.23%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.41%EV -4.06%E -2.76%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-08 02:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.45%EV -4.47%E -1.63%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.55%EV -1.45%E -0.963%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-03-08 02:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -4.47%E -1.63%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%EV -2.76%E -1.85%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-07 23:44 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.47%E -1.63%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.41%E -2.30%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-08 01:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.47%E -1.63%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.41%E -2.30%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-08 03:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.47%E -1.63%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.41%E -2.30%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-08 02:29 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.47%E -1.63%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.41%E -2.30%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-08 03:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.47%E -1.63%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.41%E -2.30%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-07 22:54 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.47%E -1.63%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.41%E -2.30%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-08 02:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.47%E -1.63%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.41%E -2.30%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-08 02:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.47%E -1.63%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.37%E -3.70%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-07 21:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.47%E -1.63%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.37%E -3.70%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-07 21:44 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.47%E -1.63%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.37%E -3.70%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-08 02:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.73I 36.63%NM 35.31%EV -5.17%E -1.89%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.69%EV -2.76%E -1.85%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-08 02:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.24%EV -5.51%E -2.03%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.76%EV -3.41%E -2.30%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-08 03:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.71I 36.90%NM 35.17%EV -5.86%E -2.16%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.83%EV -4.06%E -2.76%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-08 02:59 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -6.21%E -2.30%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -2.11%E -1.40%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-07 22:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.21%E -2.30%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.37%E -3.70%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-08 02:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.21%E -2.30%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.37%E -3.70%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-08 03:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.21%E -2.30%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.37%E -3.70%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-08 01:29 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.58%EV -6.90%E -2.58%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.42%EV -3.41%E -2.30%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-08 02:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -7.95%E -3.00%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.41%E -2.30%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-07 19:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.92%EV -8.29%E -3.14%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.08%EV -3.41%E -2.30%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-08 02:58 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.92%EV -8.29%E -3.14%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.08%EV -3.41%E -2.30%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-08 02:59 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -9.68%E -3.72%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.41%E -2.30%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-07 23:59 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.57I 38.91%NM 34.10%EV -10.72%E -4.17%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 65.90%EV -13.20%E -9.93%K -40.00%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-03-08 02:58 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (9)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.82% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 67.18% | -0.1% | 2026-03-08 02:59 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.48% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.52% | 0.6% | 2026-03-08 02:59 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30% | 0.8% | 2026-03-08 02:30 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35% | 0.9% | 2026-03-07 17:49 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35% | 0.9% | 2026-03-08 03:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.33% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.67% | 1.1% | 2026-03-08 03:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.33% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.67% | 1.1% | 2026-03-08 03:00 |
| Novig◎ | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.90% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.10% | 1.3% | 2026-03-08 03:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.83% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.17% | 1.9% | 2026-03-08 03:00 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (20)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.13% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.93% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.94% | 3.6% | 2026-03-07 21:44 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.13% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.93% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.94% | 3.6% | 2026-03-07 21:44 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.13% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.93% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.94% | 3.6% | 2026-03-07 21:44 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.13% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.93% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.94% | 3.6% | 2026-03-07 21:44 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.38% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.70% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.92% | 3.7% | 2026-03-08 01:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.59% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.23% | 4.73I 21.14%NM 20.18% | 4.8% | 2026-03-08 02:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.52% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.44% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 22.04% | 4.8% | 2026-03-08 02:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.08% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.87% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 21:44 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.08% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.87% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 21:44 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.08% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.87% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 21:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.08% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.87% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 21:44 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.03% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.86% | 6.4% | 2026-03-07 21:44 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.31% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.91% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78% | 6.8% | 2026-03-08 01:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.65% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99% | 7.0% | 2026-03-08 03:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.13% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86% | 7.6% | 2026-03-07 21:44 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.65% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87% | 8.9% | 2026-03-08 02:59 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.28% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31% | 9.3% | 2026-03-08 02:58 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.28% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31% | 9.3% | 2026-03-08 02:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.38% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.09% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.53% | 11.0% | 2026-03-08 02:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.10% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 52.04% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.86% | 14.4% | 2026-03-08 01:59 |