L’École des cotes

Calgary Flames v Carolina Hurricanes

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-08 03:10 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

37 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Calgary Flames (Local)

Prévision 34.74%2.88cote équitable
EV +0.739%
Avantage +0.255%
Kelly +0.389%
Croissance +0.003%

avec la cote maximale 2.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.56%34.72%34.81%36.27%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.572.742.752.9038.91%36.50%36.36%34.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Carolina Hurricanes (Visiteur)

Prévision 65.26%1.53cote équitable
EV -1.45%
Avantage -0.963%
Kelly -2.85%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.51

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
63.73%65.28%65.19%67.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.331.461.481.5175.19%68.29%67.57%66.23%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

20 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.

Cotes des opérateurs (37 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV +0.739%E +0.255%K +0.389%G +0.003%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -8.63%E -6.17%K -21.58%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-08 03:00
Bally Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -2.74%E -0.977%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -4.06%E -2.76%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-07 21:44
betPARX2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -2.74%E -0.977%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -4.06%E -2.76%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-07 21:44
DraftKings2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -2.74%E -0.977%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -4.72%E -3.23%K -10.25%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-08 02:59
BetMGM2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -2.74%E -0.977%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.37%E -3.70%K -11.93%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-08 02:58
Ladbrokes (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -2.74%E -0.977%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -6.02%E -4.18%K -13.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-08 02:59
Coral2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -2.74%E -0.977%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -6.02%E -4.18%K -13.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-08 03:00
Bet Victor2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -2.74%E -0.977%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -8.63%E -6.17%K -21.58%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 02:58
LowVig.ag2.79I 35.84%NM 34.81%EV -3.08%E -1.10%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.19%EV -2.76%E -1.85%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-08 00:05
BetOnline.ag2.79I 35.84%NM 34.81%EV -3.08%E -1.10%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.19%EV -2.76%E -1.85%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-08 00:04
Bet Right2.78I 35.97%NM 34.59%EV -3.43%E -1.23%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.41%EV -4.06%E -2.76%K -8.65%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-08 03:00
Caesars2.78I 35.97%NM 34.59%EV -3.43%E -1.23%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.41%EV -4.06%E -2.76%K -8.65%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-08 02:55
Pinnacle2.75I 36.36%NM 35.45%EV -4.47%E -1.63%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 64.55%EV -1.45%E -0.963%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.6%2026-03-08 02:59
BetUS2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -4.47%E -1.63%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%EV -2.76%E -1.85%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-07 23:44
PointsBet (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.47%E -1.63%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.41%E -2.30%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-08 01:39
Paddy Power2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.47%E -1.63%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.41%E -2.30%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-08 03:00
GTbets2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.47%E -1.63%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.41%E -2.30%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-08 02:29
theScore Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.47%E -1.63%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.41%E -2.30%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-08 03:00
Fanatics2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.47%E -1.63%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.41%E -2.30%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-07 22:54
BetAnything2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.47%E -1.63%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.41%E -2.30%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-08 02:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.47%E -1.63%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.41%E -2.30%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-08 02:59
BetRivers2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.47%E -1.63%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.37%E -3.70%K -11.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 21:45
Betr (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.47%E -1.63%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.37%E -3.70%K -11.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 21:44
Fliff2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.47%E -1.63%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.37%E -3.70%K -11.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 02:59
Bovada2.73I 36.63%NM 35.31%EV -5.17%E -1.89%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.69%EV -2.76%E -1.85%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-08 02:59
FanDuel2.72I 36.76%NM 35.24%EV -5.51%E -2.03%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.76%EV -3.41%E -2.30%K -7.11%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-08 03:00
SportsBet2.71I 36.90%NM 35.17%EV -5.86%E -2.16%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.83%EV -4.06%E -2.76%K -8.65%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-08 02:59
Everygame2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -6.21%E -2.30%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -2.11%E -1.40%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-07 22:54
Ladbrokes (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.21%E -2.30%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.37%E -3.70%K -11.93%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-08 02:59
Neds2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.21%E -2.30%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.37%E -3.70%K -11.93%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-08 03:00
Hard Rock Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.21%E -2.30%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.37%E -3.70%K -11.93%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-08 01:29
MyBookie.ag2.68I 37.31%NM 35.58%EV -6.90%E -2.58%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.42%EV -3.41%E -2.30%K -7.11%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-08 02:00
PlayUp2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -7.95%E -3.00%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.41%E -2.30%K -7.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 19:10
Betsson2.64I 37.88%NM 35.92%EV -8.29%E -3.14%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.08%EV -3.41%E -2.30%K -7.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-08 02:58
NordicBet2.64I 37.88%NM 35.92%EV -8.29%E -3.14%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.08%EV -3.41%E -2.30%K -7.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-08 02:59
TAB2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -9.68%E -3.72%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.41%E -2.30%K -7.11%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 23:59
NetBet (FR)2.57I 38.91%NM 34.10%EV -10.72%E -4.17%K -6.83%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 65.90%EV -13.20%E -9.93%K -40.00%G +0.000%14.1%2026-03-08 02:58
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (9)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly3.05I 32.79%NM 32.82%1.49I 67.11%NM 67.18%-0.1%2026-03-08 02:59
ProphetX2.80I 35.71%NM 35.48%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.52%0.6%2026-03-08 02:59
Kalshi2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%0.8%2026-03-08 02:30
Polymarket2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%0.9%2026-03-07 17:49
Matchbook2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%0.9%2026-03-08 03:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 35.33%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.67%1.1%2026-03-08 03:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 35.33%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.67%1.1%2026-03-08 03:00
Novig2.75I 36.36%NM 35.90%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.10%1.3%2026-03-08 03:00
Smarkets2.74I 36.50%NM 35.83%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.17%1.9%2026-03-08 03:00

Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (20)

Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.

OpérateurOption 1Option 2Option 3Marge ▲Mise à jour
LeoVegas (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.13%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.93%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.94%3.6%2026-03-07 21:44
Unibet (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.13%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.93%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.94%3.6%2026-03-07 21:44
ATG (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.13%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.93%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.94%3.6%2026-03-07 21:44
Svenska Spel4.00I 25.00%NM 24.13%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.93%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.94%3.6%2026-03-07 21:44
Unibet (UK)3.80I 26.32%NM 25.38%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.70%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.92%3.7%2026-03-08 01:59
1xBet3.73I 26.81%NM 25.59%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.23%4.73I 21.14%NM 20.18%4.8%2026-03-08 02:59
Marathon Bet3.74I 26.74%NM 25.52%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.44%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.04%4.8%2026-03-08 02:59
Unibet3.95I 25.32%NM 24.08%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.87%5.1%2026-03-07 21:44
Casumo3.95I 25.32%NM 24.08%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.87%5.1%2026-03-07 21:44
Unibet (NL)3.95I 25.32%NM 24.08%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.87%5.1%2026-03-07 21:45
Grosvenor3.95I 25.32%NM 24.08%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.87%5.1%2026-03-07 21:44
TABtouch3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.03%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.86%6.4%2026-03-07 21:44
Tipico (DE)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.31%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.91%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%6.8%2026-03-08 01:59
Betway4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.65%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%7.0%2026-03-08 03:00
LeoVegas3.85I 25.97%NM 24.13%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%7.6%2026-03-07 21:44
Winamax (DE)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.65%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%8.9%2026-03-08 02:59
Parions Sport (FR)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.28%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%9.3%2026-03-08 02:58
Codere (IT)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.28%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%9.3%2026-03-08 02:00
Unibet (FR)3.55I 28.17%NM 25.38%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.09%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.53%11.0%2026-03-08 02:59
Winamax (FR)3.35I 29.85%NM 26.10%1.68I 59.52%NM 52.04%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.86%14.4%2026-03-08 01:59