La scuola delle quote

Buffalo Sabres v Vegas Golden Knights

Inizio: 2026-03-04 00:10 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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36 bookmaker (13 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Buffalo Sabres (Casa)

Previsione 55.86%1.79quota equa
EV -1.69%
Vantaggio -0.960%
Kelly -2.22%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.76

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
53.95%55.88%55.84%57.69%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.571.701.711.7663.69%58.66%58.48%56.82%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Vegas Golden Knights (Trasferta)

Previsione 44.14%2.27quota equa
EV -0.682%
Vantaggio -0.303%
Kelly -0.546%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.25

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
42.31%44.12%44.16%46.05%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.002.172.172.2550.00%46.15%45.98%44.44%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

22 bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.

Quote dei bookmaker (36 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle1.76I 56.82%NM 55.33%EV -1.69%E -0.960%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.67%EV -3.77%E -1.73%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.7%2026-03-04 00:05
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -2.25%E -1.28%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -9.51%E -4.64%K -9.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-04 00:04
LowVig.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -2.81%E -1.61%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -2.89%E -1.31%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-04 00:00
BetOnline.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -2.81%E -1.61%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -2.89%E -1.31%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-04 00:00
BetUS1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -2.81%E -1.61%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -4.65%E -2.15%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-03 23:55
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -2.81%E -1.61%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -5.54%E -2.59%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-03 19:30
Bovada1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -3.92%E -2.28%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -4.21%E -1.94%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-04 00:00
MyBookie.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -3.92%E -2.28%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -5.98%E -2.81%K -5.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 00:03
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.92%E -2.28%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.42%E -3.03%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 00:05
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.92%E -2.28%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.42%E -3.03%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 00:00
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.92%E -2.28%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.42%E -3.03%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 00:05
PointsBet (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.48%E -2.62%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.89%E -1.31%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-03 19:34
GTbets1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.48%E -2.62%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.89%E -1.31%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-03 19:35
Hard Rock Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.48%E -2.62%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.89%E -1.31%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-03 23:00
BetAnything1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.48%E -2.62%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.89%E -1.31%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-03 17:40
Everygame1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.48%E -2.62%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.89%E -1.31%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-03 17:40
Bet Right1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.48%E -2.62%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -3.77%E -1.73%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-04 00:00
Paddy Power1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.48%E -2.62%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -3.77%E -1.73%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-04 00:00
BetMGM1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.48%E -2.62%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -3.77%E -1.73%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-03 19:34
FanDuel1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -4.48%E -2.62%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -4.65%E -2.15%K -4.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-04 00:00
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.48%E -2.62%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.10%E -2.37%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-03 23:20
SportsBet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.04%E -2.96%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -4.65%E -2.15%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 00:00
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.04%E -2.96%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.10%E -2.37%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-03 22:30
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.04%E -2.96%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.10%E -2.37%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-03 19:34
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.04%E -2.96%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.10%E -2.37%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-03 19:35
TAB1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.04%E -2.96%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.30%E -3.48%K -6.64%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-04 00:05
Ladbrokes (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.04%E -2.96%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.30%E -3.48%K -6.64%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-03 19:35
Neds1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.04%E -2.96%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.30%E -3.48%K -6.64%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-03 19:35
theScore Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -5.60%E -3.31%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -0.682%E -0.303%K -0.546%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-03 23:20
Caesars1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -5.60%E -3.31%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -2.01%E -0.904%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-04 00:01
Bally Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -6.16%E -3.67%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -0.682%E -0.303%K -0.546%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-03 23:00
betPARX1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -6.16%E -3.67%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -0.682%E -0.303%K -0.546%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-03 23:00
BetRivers1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -6.72%E -4.02%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -1.56%E -0.702%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-03 23:00
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.72%E -4.02%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.89%E -1.31%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 00:00
Fliff1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.83%E -4.75%K -12.05%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -0.682%E -0.303%K -0.546%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 00:00
NetBet (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 56.02%EV -12.30%E -7.84%K -21.58%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.98%EV -11.72%E -5.86%K -11.72%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-03 22:20
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (8)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
BetOpenly1.81I 55.25%NM 55.31%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.69%-0.1%2026-03-03 23:59
Polymarket1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-03-04 00:00
Matchbook1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%1.0%2026-03-04 00:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.14%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.86%1.3%2026-03-04 00:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.14%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.86%1.3%2026-03-04 00:05
Novig1.79I 55.87%NM 55.14%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.86%1.3%2026-03-04 00:00
ProphetX1.80I 55.56%NM 54.66%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.34%1.6%2026-03-04 00:00
Smarkets1.75I 57.14%NM 55.24%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.76%3.4%2026-03-04 00:05

Altri bookmaker — esclusi dall’analisi (22)

Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.

BookmakerOpzione 1Opzione 2Opzione 3Margine ▲Aggiornamento
Unibet (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 45.82%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.85%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.33%2.9%2026-03-03 23:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 45.82%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.85%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.33%2.9%2026-03-03 23:00
Svenska Spel2.12I 47.17%NM 45.82%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.85%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.33%2.9%2026-03-03 23:00
ATG (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 45.82%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.85%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.33%2.9%2026-03-03 23:00
Unibet (UK)2.22I 45.05%NM 43.26%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.92%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.82%4.1%2026-03-04 00:04
Marathon Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.85%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.66%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.49%4.6%2026-03-03 23:59
1xBet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.43%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.40%4.31I 23.20%NM 22.16%4.7%2026-03-03 23:55
Coolbet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.38%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.90%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.72%4.8%2026-03-03 23:32
Unibet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.81%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.76%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.42%4.9%2026-03-03 23:00
Casumo2.08I 48.08%NM 45.81%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.76%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.42%4.9%2026-03-03 23:00
Grosvenor2.08I 48.08%NM 45.81%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.76%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.42%4.9%2026-03-03 23:00
Unibet (NL)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.81%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.76%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.42%4.9%2026-03-03 23:00
TABtouch2.06I 48.54%NM 45.69%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.90%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.41%6.3%2026-03-04 00:05
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.71%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%6.5%2026-03-03 23:29
LeoVegas2.04I 49.02%NM 45.68%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%7.3%2026-03-03 23:00
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.92%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.03%8.1%2026-03-04 00:05
Parions Sport (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.27%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.16%9.3%2026-03-03 23:55
Codere (IT)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.27%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.16%9.3%2026-03-03 23:24
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.18%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.27%9.3%2026-03-04 00:05
Betclic (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.11%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.82%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.08%10.5%2026-03-04 00:05
Unibet (FR)2.07I 48.31%NM 43.50%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.11%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.39%11.0%2026-03-04 00:00
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.71%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.97%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.32%14.4%2026-03-04 00:05