L’École des cotes

Buffalo Sabres v Vegas Golden Knights

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-04 00:10 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

36 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Buffalo Sabres (Local)

Prévision 55.86%1.79cote équitable
EV -1.69%
Avantage -0.960%
Kelly -2.22%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.76

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
53.95%55.88%55.84%57.69%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.571.701.711.7663.69%58.66%58.48%56.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Vegas Golden Knights (Visiteur)

Prévision 44.14%2.27cote équitable
EV -0.682%
Avantage -0.303%
Kelly -0.546%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.31%44.12%44.16%46.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.002.172.172.2550.00%46.15%45.98%44.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

22 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.

Cotes des opérateurs (36 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.76I 56.82%NM 55.33%EV -1.69%E -0.960%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.67%EV -3.77%E -1.73%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.7%2026-03-04 00:05
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -2.25%E -1.28%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -9.51%E -4.64%K -9.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-04 00:04
LowVig.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -2.81%E -1.61%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -2.89%E -1.31%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-04 00:00
BetOnline.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -2.81%E -1.61%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -2.89%E -1.31%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-04 00:00
BetUS1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -2.81%E -1.61%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -4.65%E -2.15%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-03 23:55
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -2.81%E -1.61%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -5.54%E -2.59%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-03 19:30
Bovada1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -3.92%E -2.28%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -4.21%E -1.94%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-04 00:00
MyBookie.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -3.92%E -2.28%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -5.98%E -2.81%K -5.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 00:03
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.92%E -2.28%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.42%E -3.03%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 00:05
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.92%E -2.28%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.42%E -3.03%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 00:00
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.92%E -2.28%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.42%E -3.03%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 00:05
PointsBet (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.48%E -2.62%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.89%E -1.31%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-03 19:34
GTbets1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.48%E -2.62%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.89%E -1.31%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-03 19:35
Hard Rock Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.48%E -2.62%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.89%E -1.31%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-03 23:00
BetAnything1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.48%E -2.62%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.89%E -1.31%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-03 17:40
Everygame1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.48%E -2.62%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.89%E -1.31%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-03 17:40
Bet Right1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.48%E -2.62%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -3.77%E -1.73%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-04 00:00
Paddy Power1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.48%E -2.62%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -3.77%E -1.73%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-04 00:00
BetMGM1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.48%E -2.62%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -3.77%E -1.73%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-03 19:34
FanDuel1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -4.48%E -2.62%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -4.65%E -2.15%K -4.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-04 00:00
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.48%E -2.62%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.10%E -2.37%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-03 23:20
SportsBet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.04%E -2.96%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -4.65%E -2.15%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 00:00
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.04%E -2.96%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.10%E -2.37%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-03 22:30
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.04%E -2.96%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.10%E -2.37%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-03 19:34
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.04%E -2.96%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.10%E -2.37%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-03 19:35
TAB1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.04%E -2.96%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.30%E -3.48%K -6.64%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-04 00:05
Ladbrokes (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.04%E -2.96%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.30%E -3.48%K -6.64%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-03 19:35
Neds1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.04%E -2.96%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.30%E -3.48%K -6.64%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-03 19:35
theScore Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -5.60%E -3.31%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -0.682%E -0.303%K -0.546%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-03 23:20
Caesars1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -5.60%E -3.31%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -2.01%E -0.904%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-04 00:01
Bally Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -6.16%E -3.67%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -0.682%E -0.303%K -0.546%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-03 23:00
betPARX1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -6.16%E -3.67%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -0.682%E -0.303%K -0.546%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-03 23:00
BetRivers1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -6.72%E -4.02%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -1.56%E -0.702%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-03 23:00
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.72%E -4.02%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.89%E -1.31%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 00:00
Fliff1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.83%E -4.75%K -12.05%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -0.682%E -0.303%K -0.546%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 00:00
NetBet (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 56.02%EV -12.30%E -7.84%K -21.58%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.98%EV -11.72%E -5.86%K -11.72%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-03 22:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (8)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.81I 55.25%NM 55.31%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.69%-0.1%2026-03-03 23:59
Polymarket1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-03-04 00:00
Matchbook1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%1.0%2026-03-04 00:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.14%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.86%1.3%2026-03-04 00:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.14%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.86%1.3%2026-03-04 00:05
Novig1.79I 55.87%NM 55.14%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.86%1.3%2026-03-04 00:00
ProphetX1.80I 55.56%NM 54.66%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.34%1.6%2026-03-04 00:00
Smarkets1.75I 57.14%NM 55.24%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.76%3.4%2026-03-04 00:05

Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (22)

Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.

OpérateurOption 1Option 2Option 3Marge ▲Mise à jour
Unibet (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 45.82%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.85%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.33%2.9%2026-03-03 23:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 45.82%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.85%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.33%2.9%2026-03-03 23:00
Svenska Spel2.12I 47.17%NM 45.82%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.85%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.33%2.9%2026-03-03 23:00
ATG (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 45.82%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.85%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.33%2.9%2026-03-03 23:00
Unibet (UK)2.22I 45.05%NM 43.26%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.92%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.82%4.1%2026-03-04 00:04
Marathon Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.85%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.66%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.49%4.6%2026-03-03 23:59
1xBet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.43%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.40%4.31I 23.20%NM 22.16%4.7%2026-03-03 23:55
Coolbet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.38%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.90%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.72%4.8%2026-03-03 23:32
Unibet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.81%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.76%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.42%4.9%2026-03-03 23:00
Casumo2.08I 48.08%NM 45.81%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.76%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.42%4.9%2026-03-03 23:00
Grosvenor2.08I 48.08%NM 45.81%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.76%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.42%4.9%2026-03-03 23:00
Unibet (NL)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.81%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.76%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.42%4.9%2026-03-03 23:00
TABtouch2.06I 48.54%NM 45.69%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.90%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.41%6.3%2026-03-04 00:05
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.71%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%6.5%2026-03-03 23:29
LeoVegas2.04I 49.02%NM 45.68%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%7.3%2026-03-03 23:00
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.92%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.03%8.1%2026-03-04 00:05
Parions Sport (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.27%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.16%9.3%2026-03-03 23:55
Codere (IT)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.27%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.16%9.3%2026-03-03 23:24
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.18%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.27%9.3%2026-03-04 00:05
Betclic (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.11%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.82%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.08%10.5%2026-03-04 00:05
Unibet (FR)2.07I 48.31%NM 43.50%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.11%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.39%11.0%2026-03-04 00:00
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.71%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.97%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.32%14.4%2026-03-04 00:05