A Escola das Odds

Buffalo Sabres v Tampa Bay Lightning

Início: 2026-03-08 22:10 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

40 casas de apostas (14 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Buffalo Sabres (Local)

Previsão 48.27%2.07odd justa
EV -0.564%
Vantagem -0.274%
Kelly -0.532%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.06

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
47.04%48.27%48.17%49.09%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.811.981.982.0655.25%50.58%50.51%48.54%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Tampa Bay Lightning (Visitante)

Previsão 51.73%1.93odd justa
EV -2.75%
Vantagem -1.46%
Kelly -3.12%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.88

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
50.91%51.73%51.83%52.96%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.711.831.831.8858.48%54.51%54.64%53.19%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

22 casas de apostas oferecem um número de opções diferente neste mercado (3 opções, em vez das 2 opções usadas na análise). Os resultados da análise devem ser interpretados com prudência devido a esta disparidade.

Odds das casas de apostas (40 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
BetOnline.ag2.06I 48.54%NM 47.04%EV -0.564%E -0.274%K -0.532%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.96%EV -5.33%E -2.91%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-08 22:00
LowVig.ag2.06I 48.54%NM 47.04%EV -0.564%E -0.274%K -0.532%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.96%EV -5.33%E -2.91%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-08 22:00
Pinnacle2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -1.53%E -0.750%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -3.26%E -1.75%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.5%2026-03-08 21:50
Bovada2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -2.50%E -1.24%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -5.85%E -3.21%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-08 21:50
BetAnything2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -2.50%E -1.24%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -5.85%E -3.21%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-08 21:30
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.46%E -1.73%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.33%E -2.91%K -6.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-08 21:30
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.46%E -1.73%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.33%E -2.91%K -6.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-08 21:30
BetMGM2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.46%E -1.73%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.33%E -2.91%K -6.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-08 21:30
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.46%E -1.73%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.33%E -2.91%K -6.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-08 21:29
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.46%E -1.73%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.33%E -2.91%K -6.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-08 15:13
GTbets2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.46%E -1.73%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.33%E -2.91%K -6.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-08 21:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.46%E -1.73%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.33%E -2.91%K -6.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-08 15:14
BetUS2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.46%E -1.73%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.33%E -2.91%K -6.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-08 21:30
theScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.46%E -1.73%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.33%E -2.91%K -6.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-08 17:14
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.46%E -1.73%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.89%E -3.83%K -8.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-08 20:25
TAB2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.46%E -1.73%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.89%E -3.83%K -8.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-08 21:59
Bet Right1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -4.43%E -2.24%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -3.78%E -2.03%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-08 19:55
FanDuel1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.43%E -2.24%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.30%E -2.32%K -5.06%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-08 21:29
Betsson1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.43%E -2.24%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.33%E -2.91%K -6.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-08 21:59
NordicBet1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.43%E -2.24%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.33%E -2.91%K -6.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-08 22:00
PlayUp1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.43%E -2.24%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.33%E -2.91%K -6.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-08 21:49
Neds1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -4.43%E -2.24%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -6.89%E -3.83%K -8.61%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-08 21:29
Ladbrokes (AU)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -4.43%E -2.24%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -6.89%E -3.83%K -8.61%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-08 21:30
SportsBet1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -4.91%E -2.49%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -4.82%E -2.62%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-08 22:00
MyBookie.ag1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.39%E -2.75%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.30%E -2.32%K -5.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-08 21:49
betPARX1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -5.87%E -3.01%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -2.75%E -1.46%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-08 21:30
Bally Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -5.87%E -3.01%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -2.75%E -1.46%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-08 21:29
DraftKings1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.87%E -3.01%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.26%E -1.75%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-07 17:00
PointsBet (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.87%E -3.01%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.26%E -1.75%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-07 21:00
Caesars1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.87%E -3.01%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.26%E -1.75%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-08 21:49
Everygame1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.87%E -3.01%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.26%E -1.75%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-08 16:44
Betr (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.87%E -3.01%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.30%E -2.32%K -5.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 10:00
888sport1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.87%E -3.01%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.30%E -2.32%K -5.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 10:00
Mr Green (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.87%E -3.01%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.30%E -2.32%K -5.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 09:59
888sport (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.87%E -3.01%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.30%E -2.32%K -5.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 10:00
Fliff1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.87%E -3.01%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.33%E -2.91%K -6.43%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-08 19:54
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.87%E -3.01%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.89%E -3.83%K -8.61%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-08 21:58
Hard Rock Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.87%E -3.01%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.89%E -3.83%K -8.61%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-08 22:00
BetRivers1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -6.36%E -3.28%K -6.76%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -3.26%E -1.75%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-08 21:30
NetBet (FR)1.81I 55.25%NM 48.58%EV -12.63%E -6.98%K -15.59%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 51.42%EV -11.54%E -6.75%K -16.26%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-08 17:55
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (9)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Novig2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87%1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13%0.4%2026-03-08 21:59
ProphetX2.07I 48.31%NM 47.99%1.91I 52.36%NM 52.01%0.7%2026-03-08 22:00
BetOpenly2.07I 48.31%NM 47.99%1.91I 52.36%NM 52.01%0.7%2026-03-08 21:59
Polymarket2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-03-08 21:59
Kalshi2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-03-08 22:00
Matchbook2.04I 49.02%NM 48.35%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.65%1.4%2026-03-08 22:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.35%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.65%1.4%2026-03-08 22:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.35%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.65%1.4%2026-03-08 22:00
Smarkets2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%1.9%2026-03-08 22:00

Outras casas de apostas — não incluídas na análise (22)

Estas casas oferecem um número de opções diferente neste mercado e são excluídas da análise. As respetivas odds são apresentadas apenas como referência — as regras de liquidação das apostas podem ser diferentes e implicar incerteza adicional.

Casa de apostasOpção 1Opção 2Opção 3Margem ▲Atualização
LeoVegas (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.97%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.52%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.52%3.3%2026-03-08 21:50
Svenska Spel2.55I 39.22%NM 37.97%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.52%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.52%3.3%2026-03-08 22:00
Unibet (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.97%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.52%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.52%3.3%2026-03-08 21:50
ATG (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.97%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.52%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.52%3.3%2026-03-08 22:00
TABtouch2.55I 39.22%NM 37.84%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.71%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.44%3.6%2026-03-08 22:00
Unibet (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 37.10%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.20%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.70%3.7%2026-03-08 20:24
Marathon Bet2.58I 38.76%NM 37.07%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.69%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%4.6%2026-03-08 21:59
1xBet2.56I 39.06%NM 37.27%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.60%4.31I 23.20%NM 22.14%4.8%2026-03-08 21:59
Casumo2.50I 40.00%NM 38.02%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.61%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.37%5.2%2026-03-08 21:49
Unibet (NL)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.02%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.61%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.37%5.2%2026-03-08 21:50
Grosvenor2.50I 40.00%NM 38.02%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.61%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.37%5.2%2026-03-08 21:49
Unibet2.50I 40.00%NM 38.02%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.61%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.37%5.2%2026-03-08 21:50
Coolbet2.57I 38.91%NM 36.96%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.42%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.62%5.3%2026-03-08 21:49
Tipico (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.79%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%6.9%2026-03-08 21:29
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 37.28%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.52%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%7.3%2026-03-08 22:00
LeoVegas2.45I 40.82%NM 37.88%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.49%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.63%7.8%2026-03-08 21:49
Winamax (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.61%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.96%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%8.5%2026-03-08 21:59
Parions Sport (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.45%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.89%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.66%9.0%2026-03-08 21:49
Codere (IT)2.46I 40.65%NM 37.19%2.29I 43.67%NM 39.95%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.87%9.3%2026-03-08 21:30
Unibet (FR)2.42I 41.32%NM 37.20%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.01%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.79%11.1%2026-03-08 21:59
Betclic (FR)2.42I 41.32%NM 37.20%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.01%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.79%11.1%2026-03-08 21:49
Winamax (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.31%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.78%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.92%14.1%2026-03-08 21:59