La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Buffalo Sabres v Tampa Bay Lightning
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Buffalo Sabres (Local)
Predicción 48.27%2.07momio equitativo
EV -0.564%
Ventaja -0.274%
Kelly -0.532%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.06
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
47.04%48.27%48.17%49.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.811.981.982.0655.25%50.58%50.51%48.54%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Tampa Bay Lightning (Visitante)
Predicción 51.73%1.93momio equitativo
EV -2.75%
Ventaja -1.46%
Kelly -3.12%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.88
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.91%51.73%51.83%52.96%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.711.831.831.8858.48%54.51%54.64%53.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
22 corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para este mercado (3 vías, frente al formato de 2 vías empleado en el análisis). Esta disparidad exige interpretar los resultados con cautela.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (40 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.04%EV -0.564%E -0.274%K -0.532%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.96%EV -5.33%E -2.91%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-08 22:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.04%EV -0.564%E -0.274%K -0.532%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.96%EV -5.33%E -2.91%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-08 22:00 |
| Pinnacle | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -1.53%E -0.750%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -3.26%E -1.75%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-03-08 21:50 |
| Bovada | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -2.50%E -1.24%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -5.85%E -3.21%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-08 21:50 |
| BetAnything | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -2.50%E -1.24%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -5.85%E -3.21%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-08 21:30 |
| Fanatics | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.46%E -1.73%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.33%E -2.91%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-08 21:30 |
| Coral | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.46%E -1.73%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.33%E -2.91%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-08 21:30 |
| BetMGM | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.46%E -1.73%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.33%E -2.91%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-08 21:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.46%E -1.73%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.33%E -2.91%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-08 21:29 |
| Paddy Power | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.46%E -1.73%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.33%E -2.91%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-08 15:13 |
| GTbets | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.46%E -1.73%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.33%E -2.91%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-08 21:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.46%E -1.73%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.33%E -2.91%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-08 15:14 |
| BetUS | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.46%E -1.73%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.33%E -2.91%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-08 21:30 |
| theScore Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.46%E -1.73%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.33%E -2.91%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-08 17:14 |
| William Hill | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.46%E -1.73%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.89%E -3.83%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-08 20:25 |
| TAB | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.46%E -1.73%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.89%E -3.83%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-08 21:59 |
| Bet Right | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -4.43%E -2.24%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -3.78%E -2.03%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-08 19:55 |
| FanDuel | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.43%E -2.24%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.30%E -2.32%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-08 21:29 |
| Betsson | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.43%E -2.24%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.33%E -2.91%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-08 21:59 |
| NordicBet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.43%E -2.24%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.33%E -2.91%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-08 22:00 |
| PlayUp | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.43%E -2.24%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.33%E -2.91%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-08 21:49 |
| Neds | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -4.43%E -2.24%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -6.89%E -3.83%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-08 21:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -4.43%E -2.24%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -6.89%E -3.83%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-08 21:30 |
| SportsBet | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -4.91%E -2.49%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -4.82%E -2.62%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-08 22:00 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.39%E -2.75%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.30%E -2.32%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-08 21:49 |
| betPARX | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -5.87%E -3.01%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -2.75%E -1.46%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-08 21:30 |
| Bally Bet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -5.87%E -3.01%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -2.75%E -1.46%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-08 21:29 |
| DraftKings | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.87%E -3.01%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.26%E -1.75%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-07 17:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.87%E -3.01%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.26%E -1.75%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-07 21:00 |
| Caesars | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.87%E -3.01%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.26%E -1.75%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-08 21:49 |
| Everygame | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.87%E -3.01%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.26%E -1.75%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-08 16:44 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.87%E -3.01%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.30%E -2.32%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-08 10:00 |
| 888sport | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.87%E -3.01%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.30%E -2.32%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-08 10:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.87%E -3.01%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.30%E -2.32%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-08 09:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.87%E -3.01%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.30%E -2.32%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-08 10:00 |
| Fliff | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.87%E -3.01%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.33%E -2.91%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-08 19:54 |
| Bet Victor | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.87%E -3.01%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.89%E -3.83%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-08 21:58 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.87%E -3.01%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.89%E -3.83%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-08 22:00 |
| BetRivers | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -6.36%E -3.28%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -3.26%E -1.75%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-08 21:30 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 48.58%EV -12.63%E -6.98%K -15.59%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 51.42%EV -11.54%E -6.75%K -16.26%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-03-08 17:55 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (9)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13% | 0.4% | 2026-03-08 21:59 |
| ProphetX | 2.07I 48.31%NM 47.99% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 52.01% | 0.7% | 2026-03-08 22:00 |
| BetOpenly | 2.07I 48.31%NM 47.99% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 52.01% | 0.7% | 2026-03-08 21:59 |
| Polymarket | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 1.0% | 2026-03-08 21:59 |
| Kalshi | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52% | 1.1% | 2026-03-08 22:00 |
| Matchbook | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.35% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.65% | 1.4% | 2026-03-08 22:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.35% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.65% | 1.4% | 2026-03-08 22:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.35% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.65% | 1.4% | 2026-03-08 22:00 |
| Smarkets | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91% | 1.9% | 2026-03-08 22:00 |
Otros corredores — no incluidos en el análisis (22)
Estos corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para el mercado y, por ello, quedan excluidos del análisis. Sus momios se muestran únicamente como referencia: las reglas de liquidación de esas apuestas pueden ser diferentes e introducen incertidumbre adicional.
| Corredor | Opción 1 | Opción 2 | Opción 3 | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.97% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.52% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.52% | 3.3% | 2026-03-08 21:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.97% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.52% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.52% | 3.3% | 2026-03-08 22:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.97% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.52% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.52% | 3.3% | 2026-03-08 21:50 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.97% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.52% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.52% | 3.3% | 2026-03-08 22:00 |
| TABtouch | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.84% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.71% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.44% | 3.6% | 2026-03-08 22:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.10% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.20% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.70% | 3.7% | 2026-03-08 20:24 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.07% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.69% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24% | 4.6% | 2026-03-08 21:59 |
| 1xBet | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.27% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.60% | 4.31I 23.20%NM 22.14% | 4.8% | 2026-03-08 21:59 |
| Casumo | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.02% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.61% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.37% | 5.2% | 2026-03-08 21:49 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.02% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.61% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.37% | 5.2% | 2026-03-08 21:50 |
| Grosvenor | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.02% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.61% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.37% | 5.2% | 2026-03-08 21:49 |
| Unibet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.02% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.61% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.37% | 5.2% | 2026-03-08 21:50 |
| Coolbet | 2.57I 38.91%NM 36.96% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.42% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.62% | 5.3% | 2026-03-08 21:49 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.79% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81% | 6.9% | 2026-03-08 21:29 |
| Betway | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.28% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.52% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19% | 7.3% | 2026-03-08 22:00 |
| LeoVegas | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.88% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.49% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.63% | 7.8% | 2026-03-08 21:49 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.61% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.96% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43% | 8.5% | 2026-03-08 21:59 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.45% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.89% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.66% | 9.0% | 2026-03-08 21:49 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.46I 40.65%NM 37.19% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 39.95% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.87% | 9.3% | 2026-03-08 21:30 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.42I 41.32%NM 37.20% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.01% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.79% | 11.1% | 2026-03-08 21:59 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.42I 41.32%NM 37.20% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.01% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.79% | 11.1% | 2026-03-08 21:49 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.31% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.78% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.92% | 14.1% | 2026-03-08 21:59 |