L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Buffalo Sabres v Tampa Bay Lightning
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Buffalo Sabres (Local)
Prévision 48.27%2.07cote équitable
EV -0.564%
Avantage -0.274%
Kelly -0.532%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.06
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
47.04%48.27%48.17%49.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.811.981.982.0655.25%50.58%50.51%48.54%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Tampa Bay Lightning (Visiteur)
Prévision 51.73%1.93cote équitable
EV -2.75%
Avantage -1.46%
Kelly -3.12%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.88
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.91%51.73%51.83%52.96%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.711.831.831.8858.48%54.51%54.64%53.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
22 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.
Cotes des opérateurs (40 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.04%EV -0.564%E -0.274%K -0.532%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.96%EV -5.33%E -2.91%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-08 22:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.04%EV -0.564%E -0.274%K -0.532%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.96%EV -5.33%E -2.91%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-08 22:00 |
| Pinnacle | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -1.53%E -0.750%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -3.26%E -1.75%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-03-08 21:50 |
| Bovada | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -2.50%E -1.24%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -5.85%E -3.21%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-08 21:50 |
| BetAnything | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -2.50%E -1.24%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -5.85%E -3.21%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-08 21:30 |
| Fanatics | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.46%E -1.73%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.33%E -2.91%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-08 21:30 |
| Coral | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.46%E -1.73%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.33%E -2.91%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-08 21:30 |
| BetMGM | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.46%E -1.73%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.33%E -2.91%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-08 21:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.46%E -1.73%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.33%E -2.91%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-08 21:29 |
| Paddy Power | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.46%E -1.73%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.33%E -2.91%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-08 15:13 |
| GTbets | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.46%E -1.73%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.33%E -2.91%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-08 21:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.46%E -1.73%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.33%E -2.91%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-08 15:14 |
| BetUS | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.46%E -1.73%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.33%E -2.91%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-08 21:30 |
| theScore Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.46%E -1.73%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.33%E -2.91%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-08 17:14 |
| William Hill | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.46%E -1.73%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.89%E -3.83%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-08 20:25 |
| TAB | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.46%E -1.73%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.89%E -3.83%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-08 21:59 |
| Bet Right | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -4.43%E -2.24%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -3.78%E -2.03%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-08 19:55 |
| FanDuel | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.43%E -2.24%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.30%E -2.32%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-08 21:29 |
| Betsson | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.43%E -2.24%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.33%E -2.91%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-08 21:59 |
| NordicBet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.43%E -2.24%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.33%E -2.91%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-08 22:00 |
| PlayUp | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.43%E -2.24%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.33%E -2.91%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-08 21:49 |
| Neds | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -4.43%E -2.24%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -6.89%E -3.83%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-08 21:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -4.43%E -2.24%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -6.89%E -3.83%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-08 21:30 |
| SportsBet | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -4.91%E -2.49%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -4.82%E -2.62%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-08 22:00 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.39%E -2.75%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.30%E -2.32%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-08 21:49 |
| betPARX | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -5.87%E -3.01%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -2.75%E -1.46%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-08 21:30 |
| Bally Bet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -5.87%E -3.01%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -2.75%E -1.46%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-08 21:29 |
| DraftKings | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.87%E -3.01%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.26%E -1.75%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-07 17:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.87%E -3.01%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.26%E -1.75%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-07 21:00 |
| Caesars | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.87%E -3.01%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.26%E -1.75%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-08 21:49 |
| Everygame | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.87%E -3.01%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.26%E -1.75%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-08 16:44 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.87%E -3.01%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.30%E -2.32%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-08 10:00 |
| 888sport | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.87%E -3.01%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.30%E -2.32%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-08 10:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.87%E -3.01%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.30%E -2.32%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-08 09:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.87%E -3.01%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.30%E -2.32%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-08 10:00 |
| Fliff | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.87%E -3.01%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.33%E -2.91%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-08 19:54 |
| Bet Victor | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.87%E -3.01%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.89%E -3.83%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-08 21:58 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.87%E -3.01%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.89%E -3.83%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-08 22:00 |
| BetRivers | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -6.36%E -3.28%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -3.26%E -1.75%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-08 21:30 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 48.58%EV -12.63%E -6.98%K -15.59%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 51.42%EV -11.54%E -6.75%K -16.26%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-03-08 17:55 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (9)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13% | 0.4% | 2026-03-08 21:59 |
| ProphetX | 2.07I 48.31%NM 47.99% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 52.01% | 0.7% | 2026-03-08 22:00 |
| BetOpenly | 2.07I 48.31%NM 47.99% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 52.01% | 0.7% | 2026-03-08 21:59 |
| Polymarket | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 1.0% | 2026-03-08 21:59 |
| Kalshi | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52% | 1.1% | 2026-03-08 22:00 |
| Matchbook | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.35% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.65% | 1.4% | 2026-03-08 22:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.35% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.65% | 1.4% | 2026-03-08 22:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.35% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.65% | 1.4% | 2026-03-08 22:00 |
| Smarkets | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91% | 1.9% | 2026-03-08 22:00 |
Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (22)
Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.
| Opérateur | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.97% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.52% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.52% | 3.3% | 2026-03-08 21:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.97% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.52% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.52% | 3.3% | 2026-03-08 22:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.97% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.52% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.52% | 3.3% | 2026-03-08 21:50 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.97% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.52% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.52% | 3.3% | 2026-03-08 22:00 |
| TABtouch | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.84% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.71% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.44% | 3.6% | 2026-03-08 22:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.10% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.20% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.70% | 3.7% | 2026-03-08 20:24 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.07% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.69% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24% | 4.6% | 2026-03-08 21:59 |
| 1xBet | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.27% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.60% | 4.31I 23.20%NM 22.14% | 4.8% | 2026-03-08 21:59 |
| Casumo | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.02% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.61% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.37% | 5.2% | 2026-03-08 21:49 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.02% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.61% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.37% | 5.2% | 2026-03-08 21:50 |
| Grosvenor | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.02% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.61% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.37% | 5.2% | 2026-03-08 21:49 |
| Unibet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.02% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.61% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.37% | 5.2% | 2026-03-08 21:50 |
| Coolbet | 2.57I 38.91%NM 36.96% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.42% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.62% | 5.3% | 2026-03-08 21:49 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.79% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81% | 6.9% | 2026-03-08 21:29 |
| Betway | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.28% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.52% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19% | 7.3% | 2026-03-08 22:00 |
| LeoVegas | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.88% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.49% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.63% | 7.8% | 2026-03-08 21:49 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.61% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.96% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43% | 8.5% | 2026-03-08 21:59 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.45% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.89% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.66% | 9.0% | 2026-03-08 21:49 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.46I 40.65%NM 37.19% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 39.95% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.87% | 9.3% | 2026-03-08 21:30 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.42I 41.32%NM 37.20% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.01% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.79% | 11.1% | 2026-03-08 21:59 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.42I 41.32%NM 37.20% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.01% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.79% | 11.1% | 2026-03-08 21:49 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.31% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.78% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.92% | 14.1% | 2026-03-08 21:59 |