Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Buffalo Sabres v Seattle Kraken

Kickoff: 2026-03-28 21:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

36 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Buffalo Sabres (Local)

Prediction 63.84%1.57fair odd
EV -2.97%
Edge -1.95%
Kelly -5.71%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.52

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.96%63.86%63.86%65.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.451.501.501.5268.97%66.75%66.67%65.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Seattle Kraken (Visit)

Prediction 36.16%2.77fair odd
EV -0.551%
Edge -0.201%
Kelly -0.315%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.93%36.14%36.14%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.552.642.652.7539.22%37.88%37.74%36.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Buffalo Sabres (Local): 63.84%; Seattle Kraken (Visit): 36.16%. For Seattle Kraken (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.77. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.75, with an expected value of -0.551%; they did not produce positive expected value.

22 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (36 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
LowVig.ag🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.90%EV -2.97%E -1.95%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 36.10%EV -2.72%E -1.01%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-28 02:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.90%EV -2.97%E -1.95%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 36.10%EV -2.72%E -1.01%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-28 02:50
Pinnacle🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.81%EV -2.97%E -1.95%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.19%EV -3.08%E -1.15%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-28 02:30
BetUS🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.88%EV -3.61%E -2.39%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 36.12%EV -3.44%E -1.29%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-28 02:25
GTbets🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -3.61%E -2.39%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -4.17%E -1.57%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-28 02:50
Bovada🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -3.61%E -2.39%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -4.17%E -1.57%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-28 02:19
BetAnything🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -3.61%E -2.39%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -4.17%E -1.57%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-28 03:10
DraftKings🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.61%EV -3.61%E -2.39%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.39%EV -4.53%E -1.72%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-28 02:55
Caesars🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV -3.61%E -2.39%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV -5.25%E -2.00%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-28 02:54
theScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.24%E -2.83%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -2.36%E -0.874%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-28 02:40
Bet Right🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.24%E -2.83%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.17%E -1.57%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-28 01:45
betPARX🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.24%E -2.83%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.17%E -1.57%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-27 17:55
Bally Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.24%E -2.83%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.17%E -1.57%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-27 17:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.24%E -2.83%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.17%E -1.57%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-27 16:04
Fanatics🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.24%E -2.83%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.17%E -1.57%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-28 01:35
BetMGM🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.24%E -2.83%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.17%E -1.57%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-28 02:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.24%E -2.83%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.17%E -1.57%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-28 01:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.24%E -2.83%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -5.25%E -2.00%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-28 02:50
Coral🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.24%E -2.83%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -5.25%E -2.00%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-28 02:49
MyBookie.ag🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.24%E -2.83%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -5.25%E -2.00%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-28 02:29
Fliff🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.24%E -2.83%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.98%E -2.30%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-27 16:34
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.24%E -2.83%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.98%E -2.30%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-27 15:44
PlayUp🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.24%E -2.83%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.98%E -2.30%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-28 02:15
NordicBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.24%EV -4.24%E -2.83%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.76%EV -6.70%E -2.60%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-28 02:15
Betsson🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.24%EV -4.24%E -2.83%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.76%EV -6.70%E -2.60%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-28 02:15
Betr (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.24%E -2.83%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.78%E -3.05%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-27 13:55
Neds🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.24%E -2.83%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.78%E -3.05%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-28 02:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.24%E -2.83%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.78%E -3.05%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-28 02:50
BetRivers🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.88%E -3.28%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -4.17%E -1.57%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-27 19:20
ReBet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.92%EV -4.88%E -3.28%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.08%EV -4.53%E -1.72%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-28 02:39
Paddy Power🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -5.52%E -3.73%K -11.50%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -0.551%E -0.201%K -0.315%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-28 02:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -5.52%E -3.73%K -11.50%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -0.551%E -0.201%K -0.315%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-28 02:25
FanDuel🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.76%EV -5.52%E -3.73%K -11.50%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.24%EV -1.64%E -0.602%K -0.951%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-28 02:25
TAB🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.52%E -3.73%K -11.50%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.98%E -2.30%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-28 02:20
SportsBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.07%EV -6.80%E -4.66%K -14.78%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.93%EV -1.64%E -0.602%K -0.951%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-28 02:23
Bet Victor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -7.44%E -5.13%K -16.53%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -7.78%E -3.05%K -5.02%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-28 02:38
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (8)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-03-28 02:30
Polymarket1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-03-28 02:40
Matchbook1.55I 64.52%NM 63.53%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.47%1.6%2026-03-28 03:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%2.4%2026-03-28 02:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%2.4%2026-03-28 02:55
ProphetX1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%2.4%2026-03-28 02:19
Novig1.52I 65.79%NM 63.64%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.36%3.4%2026-03-28 03:10
Smarkets1.43I 69.93%NM 63.61%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.39%9.9%2026-03-28 02:40

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (22)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
1xBet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 51.34%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.95%4.47I 22.37%NM 21.71%3.1%2026-03-28 03:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.60%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.01%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.39%3.9%2026-03-27 19:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.60%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.01%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.39%3.9%2026-03-27 19:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.60%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.01%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.39%3.9%2026-03-27 19:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.60%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.01%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.39%3.9%2026-03-27 19:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 52.26%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.64%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.10%4.0%2026-03-28 02:40
Coolbet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.57%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.74%4.6%2026-03-28 02:25
Marathon Bet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.33%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.97%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.70%4.7%2026-03-28 03:00
Unibet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.43%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.00%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%5.4%2026-03-27 17:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.43%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.00%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%5.4%2026-03-27 17:40
Casumo🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.43%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.00%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%5.4%2026-03-27 17:39
Grosvenor🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.43%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.00%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%5.4%2026-03-27 17:39
Tipico (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.49%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.54%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.97%5.8%2026-03-28 01:45
TABtouch🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.39%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.56%6.6%2026-03-27 19:20
LeoVegas🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.54%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.63%7.5%2026-03-27 19:20
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.47%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%7.9%2026-03-28 02:15
Winamax (DE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.75%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%8.6%2026-03-28 02:39
Codere (IT)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.66%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%8.7%2026-03-28 02:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.47%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.50%9.8%2026-03-28 02:40
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.47%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.50%9.8%2026-03-28 02:39
Betclic (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.42%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.08%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%11.1%2026-03-28 02:37
Winamax (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 51.13%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.84%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.03%16.4%2026-03-28 02:40