L’École des cotes

Buffalo Sabres v Seattle Kraken

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-28 21:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

36 opérateurs (12 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Buffalo Sabres (Local)

Prévision 63.84%1.57cote équitable
EV -2.97%
Avantage -1.95%
Kelly -5.71%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.52

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
62.96%63.86%63.86%65.07%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.451.501.501.5268.97%66.75%66.67%65.79%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Seattle Kraken (Visiteur)

Prévision 36.16%2.77cote équitable
EV -0.551%
Avantage -0.201%
Kelly -0.315%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.93%36.14%36.14%37.04%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.552.642.652.7539.22%37.88%37.74%36.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

22 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.

Cotes des opérateurs (36 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
LowVig.ag1.52I 65.79%NM 63.90%EV -2.97%E -1.95%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 36.10%EV -2.72%E -1.01%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-28 02:50
BetOnline.ag1.52I 65.79%NM 63.90%EV -2.97%E -1.95%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 36.10%EV -2.72%E -1.01%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-28 02:50
Pinnacle1.52I 65.79%NM 63.81%EV -2.97%E -1.95%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.19%EV -3.08%E -1.15%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-28 02:30
BetUS1.51I 66.23%NM 63.88%EV -3.61%E -2.39%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 36.12%EV -3.44%E -1.29%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-28 02:25
GTbets1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -3.61%E -2.39%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -4.17%E -1.57%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-28 02:50
Bovada1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -3.61%E -2.39%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -4.17%E -1.57%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-28 02:19
BetAnything1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -3.61%E -2.39%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -4.17%E -1.57%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-28 03:10
DraftKings1.51I 66.23%NM 63.61%EV -3.61%E -2.39%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.39%EV -4.53%E -1.72%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-28 02:55
Caesars1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV -3.61%E -2.39%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV -5.25%E -2.00%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-28 02:54
theScore Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.24%E -2.83%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -2.36%E -0.874%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-28 02:40
Bet Right1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.24%E -2.83%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.17%E -1.57%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-28 01:45
betPARX1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.24%E -2.83%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.17%E -1.57%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-27 17:55
Bally Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.24%E -2.83%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.17%E -1.57%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-27 17:54
PointsBet (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.24%E -2.83%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.17%E -1.57%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-27 16:04
Fanatics1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.24%E -2.83%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.17%E -1.57%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-28 01:35
BetMGM1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.24%E -2.83%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.17%E -1.57%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-28 02:50
Hard Rock Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.24%E -2.83%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.17%E -1.57%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-28 01:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.24%E -2.83%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -5.25%E -2.00%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-28 02:50
Coral1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.24%E -2.83%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -5.25%E -2.00%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-28 02:49
MyBookie.ag1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.24%E -2.83%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -5.25%E -2.00%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-28 02:29
Fliff1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.24%E -2.83%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.98%E -2.30%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-27 16:34
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.24%E -2.83%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.98%E -2.30%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-27 15:44
PlayUp1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.24%E -2.83%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.98%E -2.30%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-28 02:15
NordicBet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.24%EV -4.24%E -2.83%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.76%EV -6.70%E -2.60%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-28 02:15
Betsson1.50I 66.67%NM 63.24%EV -4.24%E -2.83%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.76%EV -6.70%E -2.60%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-28 02:15
Betr (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.24%E -2.83%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.78%E -3.05%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-27 13:55
Neds1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.24%E -2.83%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.78%E -3.05%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-28 02:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.24%E -2.83%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.78%E -3.05%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-28 02:50
BetRivers1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.88%E -3.28%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -4.17%E -1.57%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-27 19:20
ReBet1.49I 67.11%NM 63.92%EV -4.88%E -3.28%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.08%EV -4.53%E -1.72%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-28 02:39
Paddy Power1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -5.52%E -3.73%K -11.50%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -0.551%E -0.201%K -0.315%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-28 02:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -5.52%E -3.73%K -11.50%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -0.551%E -0.201%K -0.315%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-28 02:25
FanDuel1.48I 67.57%NM 64.76%EV -5.52%E -3.73%K -11.50%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.24%EV -1.64%E -0.602%K -0.951%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-28 02:25
TAB1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.52%E -3.73%K -11.50%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.98%E -2.30%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-28 02:20
SportsBet1.46I 68.49%NM 65.07%EV -6.80%E -4.66%K -14.78%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.93%EV -1.64%E -0.602%K -0.951%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-28 02:23
Bet Victor1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -7.44%E -5.13%K -16.53%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -7.78%E -3.05%K -5.02%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-28 02:38
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (8)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-03-28 02:30
Polymarket1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-03-28 02:40
Matchbook1.55I 64.52%NM 63.53%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.47%1.6%2026-03-28 03:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%2.4%2026-03-28 02:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%2.4%2026-03-28 02:55
ProphetX1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%2.4%2026-03-28 02:19
Novig1.52I 65.79%NM 63.64%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.36%3.4%2026-03-28 03:10
Smarkets1.43I 69.93%NM 63.61%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.39%9.9%2026-03-28 02:40

Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (22)

Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.

OpérateurOption 1Option 2Option 3Marge ▲Mise à jour
1xBet1.89I 52.91%NM 51.34%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.95%4.47I 22.37%NM 21.71%3.1%2026-03-28 03:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.60%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.01%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.39%3.9%2026-03-27 19:20
Unibet (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.60%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.01%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.39%3.9%2026-03-27 19:20
Svenska Spel1.83I 54.64%NM 52.60%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.01%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.39%3.9%2026-03-27 19:20
ATG (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.60%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.01%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.39%3.9%2026-03-27 19:20
Unibet (UK)1.84I 54.35%NM 52.26%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.64%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.10%4.0%2026-03-28 02:40
Coolbet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.57%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.74%4.6%2026-03-28 02:25
Marathon Bet1.86I 53.76%NM 51.33%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.97%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.70%4.7%2026-03-28 03:00
Unibet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.43%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.00%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%5.4%2026-03-27 17:40
Unibet (NL)1.81I 55.25%NM 52.43%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.00%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%5.4%2026-03-27 17:40
Casumo1.81I 55.25%NM 52.43%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.00%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%5.4%2026-03-27 17:39
Grosvenor1.81I 55.25%NM 52.43%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.00%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%5.4%2026-03-27 17:39
Tipico (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.49%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.54%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.97%5.8%2026-03-28 01:45
TABtouch1.79I 55.87%NM 52.39%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.56%6.6%2026-03-27 19:20
LeoVegas1.77I 56.50%NM 52.54%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.63%7.5%2026-03-27 19:20
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 51.47%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%7.9%2026-03-28 02:15
Winamax (DE)1.78I 56.18%NM 51.75%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%8.6%2026-03-28 02:39
Codere (IT)1.78I 56.18%NM 51.66%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%8.7%2026-03-28 02:40
Unibet (FR)1.77I 56.50%NM 51.47%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.50%9.8%2026-03-28 02:40
Parions Sport (FR)1.77I 56.50%NM 51.47%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.50%9.8%2026-03-28 02:39
Betclic (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.42%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.08%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%11.1%2026-03-28 02:37
Winamax (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 51.13%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.84%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.03%16.4%2026-03-28 02:40