The School of Odds
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Buffalo Sabres v San Jose Sharks

Kickoff: 2026-03-10 23:10 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

37 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Buffalo Sabres (Local)

Prediction 64.30%1.56fair odd
EV -2.26%
Edge -1.49%
Kelly -4.35%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.52

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.96%64.29%64.44%65.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.361.491.491.5273.53%67.20%67.11%65.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

San Jose Sharks (Visit)

Prediction 35.70%2.80fair odd
EV -1.82%
Edge -0.663%
Kelly -1.04%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.52%35.71%35.56%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.472.672.692.7540.49%37.49%37.17%36.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Buffalo Sabres (Local): 64.30%; San Jose Sharks (Visit): 35.70%. For San Jose Sharks (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.80. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.75, with an expected value of -1.82%; they did not produce positive expected value.

22 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (37 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
LowVig.ag🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.90%EV -2.26%E -1.49%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 36.10%EV -3.97%E -1.47%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-10 22:24
BetOnline.ag🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.90%EV -2.26%E -1.49%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 36.10%EV -3.97%E -1.47%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-10 22:25
Pinnacle🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 64.47%EV -2.91%E -1.93%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.53%EV -2.18%E -0.796%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.7%2026-03-10 22:10
BetAnything🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -2.91%E -1.93%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -5.39%E -2.04%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-10 14:44
GTbets🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.55%E -2.37%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.61%E -1.34%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-10 12:14
theScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.55%E -2.37%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.61%E -1.34%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-10 23:00
Everygame🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.55%E -2.37%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.61%E -1.34%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-10 12:39
Bet Right🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.55%E -2.37%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.39%E -2.04%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-10 04:00
BetMGM🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.55%E -2.37%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.39%E -2.04%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-10 14:15
Fanatics🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.55%E -2.37%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.39%E -2.04%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-10 05:54
Coral🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -3.55%E -2.37%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -6.47%E -2.47%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-10 14:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -3.55%E -2.37%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -6.47%E -2.47%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-10 14:15
Betr (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.55%E -2.37%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -8.96%E -3.52%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-10 04:54
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.55%E -2.37%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -8.96%E -3.52%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-10 22:58
Neds🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.55%E -2.37%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -8.96%E -3.52%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-10 14:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.55%E -2.37%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -8.96%E -3.52%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-10 14:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.55%E -2.37%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -8.96%E -3.52%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-10 23:00
BetUS🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%EV -4.19%E -2.81%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -1.82%E -0.663%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-10 22:59
Bovada🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.69%EV -4.19%E -2.81%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 35.31%EV -2.54%E -0.930%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-10 21:43
ReBet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.69%EV -4.19%E -2.81%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 35.31%EV -2.54%E -0.930%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-10 22:59
Paddy Power🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.19%E -2.81%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -3.61%E -1.34%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-10 23:00
DraftKings🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.19%E -2.81%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -3.61%E -1.34%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-09 16:14
Caesars🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.19%E -2.81%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -3.61%E -1.34%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-10 22:25
MyBookie.ag🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.10%EV -4.19%E -2.81%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.90%EV -5.04%E -1.89%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-10 22:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.84%E -3.27%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -1.82%E -0.663%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-10 23:00
Bally Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.84%E -3.27%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -1.82%E -0.663%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-10 22:20
betPARX🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.84%E -3.27%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -1.82%E -0.663%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-10 22:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.84%E -3.27%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -1.82%E -0.663%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-10 23:00
FanDuel🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.76%EV -4.84%E -3.27%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.24%EV -2.90%E -1.06%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-10 23:00
PlayUp🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.84%E -3.27%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.39%E -2.04%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-10 23:00
NordicBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.08%EV -4.84%E -3.27%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.92%EV -5.75%E -2.18%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-10 23:00
Betsson🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.08%EV -4.84%E -3.27%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.92%EV -5.75%E -2.18%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-10 23:00
TAB🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.84%E -3.27%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.18%E -2.76%K -4.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-10 16:34
BetRivers🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -5.48%E -3.73%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -1.82%E -0.663%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-10 22:55
SportsBet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.48%E -3.73%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -3.61%E -1.34%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-10 23:00
Fliff🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.77%E -4.67%K -15.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -1.82%E -0.663%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-10 22:20
NetBet (FR)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 64.49%EV -12.55%E -9.23%K -34.87%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 35.51%EV -11.82%E -4.79%K -8.04%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-10 20:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (9)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly◎1.53I 65.36%NM 65.46%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.54%-0.2%2026-03-10 22:59
ProphetX◎1.54I 64.94%NM 64.84%2.84I 35.21%NM 35.16%0.1%2026-03-10 22:00
Kalshi◎1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%0.8%2026-03-10 19:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.53I 65.36%NM 64.50%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.50%1.3%2026-03-10 22:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.53I 65.36%NM 64.50%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.50%1.3%2026-03-10 22:30
Matchbook◎1.53I 65.36%NM 64.50%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.50%1.3%2026-03-10 23:00
Novig◎1.53I 65.36%NM 64.25%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.75%1.7%2026-03-10 23:00
Polymarket◎1.52I 65.79%NM 64.65%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.35%1.8%2026-03-10 23:00
Smarkets◎1.52I 65.79%NM 64.32%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.68%2.3%2026-03-10 23:00

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (22)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.97%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.91%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.12%2.9%2026-03-10 22:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.97%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.91%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.12%2.9%2026-03-10 22:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.97%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.91%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.12%2.9%2026-03-10 22:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.97%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.91%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.12%2.9%2026-03-10 22:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.28%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.35%4.1%2026-03-10 22:59
TABtouch🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.82%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.89%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.29%4.4%2026-03-10 23:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.14%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.65%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.20%4.8%2026-03-10 22:59
Coolbet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.01%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.79%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.20%4.8%2026-03-10 22:23
1xBet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.69%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.71%4.63I 21.60%NM 20.60%4.9%2026-03-10 22:59
Grosvenor🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.11%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.73%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16%5.0%2026-03-10 23:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.11%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.73%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16%5.0%2026-03-10 23:00
Unibet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.11%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.73%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16%5.0%2026-03-10 23:00
Casumo🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.11%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.73%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16%5.0%2026-03-10 23:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.46%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26%6.9%2026-03-10 08:49
LeoVegas🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.07%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.80%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%7.5%2026-03-10 22:20
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.60%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%7.7%2026-03-10 23:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.87%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.98%8.3%2026-03-10 23:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.55%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%9.0%2026-03-10 23:00
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.64%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.80%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.55%9.2%2026-03-10 23:00
Codere (IT)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.51%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.74%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.75%9.4%2026-03-10 23:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.32%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.01%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.67%9.9%2026-03-10 22:30
Betclic (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.39%3.48I 28.74%NM 25.89%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.71%11.0%2026-03-10 22:54