L’École des cotes

Buffalo Sabres v San Jose Sharks

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-10 23:10 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

37 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Buffalo Sabres (Local)

Prévision 64.30%1.56cote équitable
EV -2.26%
Avantage -1.49%
Kelly -4.35%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.52

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
62.96%64.29%64.44%65.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.361.491.491.5273.53%67.20%67.11%65.79%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

San Jose Sharks (Visiteur)

Prévision 35.70%2.80cote équitable
EV -1.82%
Avantage -0.663%
Kelly -1.04%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.52%35.71%35.56%37.04%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.472.672.692.7540.49%37.49%37.17%36.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

22 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.

Cotes des opérateurs (37 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
LowVig.ag1.52I 65.79%NM 63.90%EV -2.26%E -1.49%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 36.10%EV -3.97%E -1.47%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-10 22:24
BetOnline.ag1.52I 65.79%NM 63.90%EV -2.26%E -1.49%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 36.10%EV -3.97%E -1.47%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-10 22:25
Pinnacle1.51I 66.23%NM 64.47%EV -2.91%E -1.93%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.53%EV -2.18%E -0.796%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.7%2026-03-10 22:10
BetAnything1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -2.91%E -1.93%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -5.39%E -2.04%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-10 14:44
GTbets1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.55%E -2.37%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.61%E -1.34%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-10 12:14
theScore Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.55%E -2.37%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.61%E -1.34%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-10 23:00
Everygame1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.55%E -2.37%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.61%E -1.34%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-10 12:39
Bet Right1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.55%E -2.37%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.39%E -2.04%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-10 04:00
BetMGM1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.55%E -2.37%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.39%E -2.04%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-10 14:15
Fanatics1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.55%E -2.37%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.39%E -2.04%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-10 05:54
Coral1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -3.55%E -2.37%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -6.47%E -2.47%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-10 14:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -3.55%E -2.37%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -6.47%E -2.47%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-10 14:15
Betr (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.55%E -2.37%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -8.96%E -3.52%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-10 04:54
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.55%E -2.37%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -8.96%E -3.52%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-10 22:58
Neds1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.55%E -2.37%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -8.96%E -3.52%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-10 14:15
Ladbrokes (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.55%E -2.37%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -8.96%E -3.52%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-10 14:15
Hard Rock Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.55%E -2.37%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -8.96%E -3.52%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-10 23:00
BetUS1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%EV -4.19%E -2.81%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -1.82%E -0.663%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-10 22:59
Bovada1.49I 67.11%NM 64.69%EV -4.19%E -2.81%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 35.31%EV -2.54%E -0.930%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-10 21:43
ReBet1.49I 67.11%NM 64.69%EV -4.19%E -2.81%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 35.31%EV -2.54%E -0.930%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-10 22:59
Paddy Power1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.19%E -2.81%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -3.61%E -1.34%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-10 23:00
DraftKings1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.19%E -2.81%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -3.61%E -1.34%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-09 16:14
Caesars1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.19%E -2.81%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -3.61%E -1.34%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-10 22:25
MyBookie.ag1.49I 67.11%NM 64.10%EV -4.19%E -2.81%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.90%EV -5.04%E -1.89%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-10 22:59
PointsBet (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.84%E -3.27%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -1.82%E -0.663%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-10 23:00
Bally Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.84%E -3.27%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -1.82%E -0.663%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-10 22:20
betPARX1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.84%E -3.27%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -1.82%E -0.663%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-10 22:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.84%E -3.27%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -1.82%E -0.663%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-10 23:00
FanDuel1.48I 67.57%NM 64.76%EV -4.84%E -3.27%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.24%EV -2.90%E -1.06%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-10 23:00
PlayUp1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.84%E -3.27%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.39%E -2.04%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-10 23:00
NordicBet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.08%EV -4.84%E -3.27%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.92%EV -5.75%E -2.18%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-10 23:00
Betsson1.48I 67.57%NM 64.08%EV -4.84%E -3.27%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.92%EV -5.75%E -2.18%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-10 23:00
TAB1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.84%E -3.27%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.18%E -2.76%K -4.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-10 16:34
BetRivers1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -5.48%E -3.73%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -1.82%E -0.663%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-10 22:55
SportsBet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.48%E -3.73%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -3.61%E -1.34%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-10 23:00
Fliff1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.77%E -4.67%K -15.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -1.82%E -0.663%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-10 22:20
NetBet (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 64.49%EV -12.55%E -9.23%K -34.87%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 35.51%EV -11.82%E -4.79%K -8.04%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-10 20:09
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (9)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.53I 65.36%NM 65.46%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.54%-0.2%2026-03-10 22:59
ProphetX1.54I 64.94%NM 64.84%2.84I 35.21%NM 35.16%0.1%2026-03-10 22:00
Kalshi1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%0.8%2026-03-10 19:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 64.50%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.50%1.3%2026-03-10 22:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 64.50%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.50%1.3%2026-03-10 22:30
Matchbook1.53I 65.36%NM 64.50%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.50%1.3%2026-03-10 23:00
Novig1.53I 65.36%NM 64.25%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.75%1.7%2026-03-10 23:00
Polymarket1.52I 65.79%NM 64.65%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.35%1.8%2026-03-10 23:00
Smarkets1.52I 65.79%NM 64.32%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.68%2.3%2026-03-10 23:00

Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (22)

Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.

OpérateurOption 1Option 2Option 3Marge ▲Mise à jour
LeoVegas (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.97%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.91%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.12%2.9%2026-03-10 22:20
Unibet (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.97%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.91%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.12%2.9%2026-03-10 22:20
Svenska Spel1.80I 55.56%NM 53.97%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.91%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.12%2.9%2026-03-10 22:20
ATG (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.97%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.91%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.12%2.9%2026-03-10 22:20
Unibet (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.28%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.35%4.1%2026-03-10 22:59
TABtouch1.78I 56.18%NM 53.82%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.89%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.29%4.4%2026-03-10 23:00
Marathon Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.14%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.65%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.20%4.8%2026-03-10 22:59
Coolbet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.01%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.79%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.20%4.8%2026-03-10 22:23
1xBet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.69%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.71%4.63I 21.60%NM 20.60%4.9%2026-03-10 22:59
Grosvenor1.76I 56.82%NM 54.11%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.73%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16%5.0%2026-03-10 23:00
Unibet (NL)1.76I 56.82%NM 54.11%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.73%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16%5.0%2026-03-10 23:00
Unibet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.11%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.73%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16%5.0%2026-03-10 23:00
Casumo1.76I 56.82%NM 54.11%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.73%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16%5.0%2026-03-10 23:00
Tipico (DE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.46%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26%6.9%2026-03-10 08:49
LeoVegas1.72I 58.14%NM 54.07%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.80%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%7.5%2026-03-10 22:20
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 51.60%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%7.7%2026-03-10 23:00
Winamax (DE)1.78I 56.18%NM 51.87%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.98%8.3%2026-03-10 23:00
Winamax (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 51.55%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%9.0%2026-03-10 23:00
Parions Sport (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 52.64%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.80%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.55%9.2%2026-03-10 23:00
Codere (IT)1.74I 57.47%NM 52.51%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.74%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.75%9.4%2026-03-10 23:00
Unibet (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 52.32%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.01%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.67%9.9%2026-03-10 22:30
Betclic (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 52.39%3.48I 28.74%NM 25.89%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.71%11.0%2026-03-10 22:54