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Buffalo Sabres v Ottawa Senators

2026-11-05 00:40 UTC — NHL

Head to Head

31 sportsbooks (11 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Buffalo Sabres (Local)

Prediction 54.45%1.84fair odd
EV -1.99%
Edge -1.11%
Kelly -2.49%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.25%54.38%54.64%55.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.751.751.8058.82%57.14%57.14%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Ottawa Senators (Visit)

Prediction 45.55%2.20fair odd
EV -2.07%
Edge -0.962%
Kelly -1.80%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.16%45.62%45.36%46.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.092.102.1550.00%47.87%47.62%46.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Buffalo Sabres (Local): 54.45%; Ottawa Senators (Visit): 45.55%. For Buffalo Sabres (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.84. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.80, with an expected value of -1.99%; they do not produce positive expected value.

19 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (31 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -1.99%E -1.11%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.62%E -3.23%K -6.31%G +0.000%4.3%2026-11-03 17:58
theScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -1.99%E -1.11%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.62%E -3.23%K -6.31%G +0.000%4.3%2026-11-03 18:35
FanDuel🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -2.53%E -1.42%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -6.62%E -3.23%K -6.31%G +0.000%4.6%2026-11-03 18:20
Bet Right🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -3.08%E -1.73%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -5.26%E -2.53%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-11-03 17:55
SportsBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -3.08%E -1.73%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -7.08%E -3.47%K -6.81%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-03 17:54
LowVig.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV -3.62%E -2.05%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%EV -2.07%E -0.962%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.0%2026-11-03 17:29
BetOnline.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV -3.62%E -2.05%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%EV -2.07%E -0.962%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.0%2026-11-03 17:30
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.62%E -2.05%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.35%E -2.07%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.1%2026-11-03 17:59
BetUS🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.62%E -2.05%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.35%E -2.07%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.1%2026-11-03 17:35
BetRivers🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.62%E -2.05%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.35%E -2.07%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.1%2026-11-03 18:09
Bally Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.62%E -2.05%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.35%E -2.07%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.1%2026-11-03 18:10
betPARX🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.62%E -2.05%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.35%E -2.07%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.1%2026-11-03 18:09
Caesars🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -4.17%E -2.37%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -3.43%E -1.62%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.0%2026-11-03 18:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.71%E -2.69%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.35%E -2.07%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.8%2026-11-03 17:59
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.71%E -2.69%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.35%E -2.07%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.8%2026-11-03 18:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.71%E -2.69%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.62%E -3.23%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-11-03 16:25
GTbets🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.26%E -3.02%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.07%E -0.962%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.0%2026-11-03 18:00
DraftKings🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -5.26%E -3.02%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -2.52%E -1.18%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.2%2026-11-03 17:59
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.26%E -3.02%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.35%E -2.07%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-03 18:00
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.80%E -3.35%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.35%E -2.07%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-03 16:10
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.80%E -3.35%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.35%E -2.07%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-03 16:09
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.80%E -3.35%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.35%E -2.07%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-03 16:09
Neds🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.80%E -3.35%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.62%E -3.23%K -6.31%G +0.000%6.6%2026-11-03 18:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.80%E -3.35%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.62%E -3.23%K -6.31%G +0.000%6.6%2026-11-03 18:00
betano_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.80%E -3.35%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.90%E -4.45%K -8.90%G +0.000%7.8%2026-11-03 18:28
Bet Victor🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.80%E -3.35%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.90%E -4.45%K -8.90%G +0.000%7.8%2026-11-03 18:28
Betsson🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.35%E -3.69%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -3.43%E -1.62%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-03 18:00
NordicBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.35%E -3.69%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -3.43%E -1.62%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-03 17:59
PlayUp🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.35%E -3.69%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -3.43%E -1.62%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-03 17:59
ReBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.16%EV -6.89%E -4.03%K -9.70%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.84%EV -7.99%E -3.95%K -7.83%G +0.000%8.0%2026-11-03 18:29
TAB🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.43%E -4.37%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -2.07%E -0.962%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-03 19:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Polymarket◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-11-03 18:10
Kalshi◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-11-03 17:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.83I 54.64%NM 53.20%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.80%2.7%2026-11-03 18:59
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.83I 54.64%NM 53.20%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.80%2.7%2026-11-03 19:00
Smarkets◎1.68I 59.52%NM 54.10%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.90%10.0%2026-11-03 18:30

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (19)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
Unibet (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 42.65%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.73%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.62%2.8%2026-11-03 18:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 42.65%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.73%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.62%2.8%2026-11-03 18:09
ATG (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 42.65%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.73%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.62%2.8%2026-11-03 18:10
Svenska Spel🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 42.65%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.73%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.62%2.8%2026-11-03 18:10
1xBet🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.89%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.87%4.36I 22.94%NM 22.23%3.2%2026-11-03 18:15
Marathon Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.87%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.89%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.23%4.6%2026-11-03 18:14
Unibet (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.09%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.11%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.79%5.5%2026-11-03 18:30
Casumo🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.43%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.04%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%5.7%2026-11-03 18:10
Unibet (NL)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.43%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.04%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%5.7%2026-11-03 18:10
Unibet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.43%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.04%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%5.7%2026-11-03 18:10
TABtouch🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.76%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.84%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%6.3%2026-11-03 18:10
Tipico (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.60%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%6.7%2026-11-03 18:15
Betclic (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.92%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.03%8.1%2026-11-03 18:13
Codere (IT)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.87%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.29%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.84%9.0%2026-11-03 18:30
picklebet_au🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.33%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.67%9.9%2026-11-03 18:00
Grosvenor🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.64%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.77%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.60%10.6%2026-11-03 18:09
Winamax (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.44%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%10.6%2026-11-03 18:30
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.63%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.96%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.41%14.4%2026-11-03 18:15
Winamax (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 42.74%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.62%3.95I 25.32%NM 21.64%17.0%2026-11-03 18:30