La scuola delle quote

Buffalo Sabres v Montréal Canadiens

Inizio: 2026-05-06 23:10 UTC

Finale: Buffalo Sabres 4–2 Montréal Canadiens

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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37 bookmaker (13 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Buffalo Sabres (Casa)

Previsione 56.17%1.78quota equa
EV -2.26%
Vantaggio -1.30%
Kelly -3.05%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.74

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
54.09%56.17%56.04%58.82%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.571.701.711.7463.69%58.80%58.48%57.47%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Montréal Canadiens (Trasferta)

Previsione 43.83%2.28quota equa
EV +0.799%
Vantaggio +0.347%
Kelly +0.615%
Crescita +0.005%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.30

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
41.18%43.83%43.96%45.91%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.002.172.172.3050.00%46.05%46.08%43.48%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

21 bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.

Quote dei bookmaker (37 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
Fliff1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -9.56%E -5.94%K -15.67%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV +0.799%E +0.347%K +0.615%G +0.005%5.6%2026-05-06 23:05
theScore Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -3.38%E -1.97%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -0.078%E -0.034%K -0.061%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-06 23:00
Pinnacle1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -3.94%E -2.31%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -0.516%E -0.227%K -0.406%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-06 23:00
Bovada1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -5.07%E -3.00%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -1.39%E -0.619%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-06 23:01
LowVig.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 56.71%EV -3.94%E -2.31%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.29%EV -1.83%E -0.817%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-06 22:35
BetOnline.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 56.71%EV -3.94%E -2.31%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.29%EV -1.83%E -0.817%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-06 22:40
BetAnything1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -4.50%E -2.65%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -2.71%E -1.22%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-06 23:01
Caesars1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -5.07%E -3.00%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -2.71%E -1.22%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-06 21:03
GTbets1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.94%E -2.31%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.58%E -1.63%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-06 22:35
BetUS1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.94%E -2.31%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.58%E -1.63%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-06 22:35
PointsBet (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.94%E -2.31%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.58%E -1.63%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-06 22:40
DraftKings1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.50%E -2.65%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.58%E -1.63%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-06 21:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.07%E -3.00%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.58%E -1.63%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-06 22:50
ReBet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -3.38%E -1.97%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -4.46%E -2.05%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-06 22:55
Paddy Power1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -3.94%E -2.31%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.46%E -2.05%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-06 23:05
BetMGM1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -3.94%E -2.31%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.46%E -2.05%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-06 22:40
Bet Right1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -3.94%E -2.31%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.46%E -2.05%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-06 22:55
MyBookie.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -5.07%E -3.00%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -4.46%E -2.05%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 22:54
Bally Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV -2.82%E -1.63%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -4.90%E -2.26%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-06 23:00
betPARX1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV -2.82%E -1.63%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -4.90%E -2.26%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-06 23:00
BetRivers1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -3.94%E -2.31%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -4.90%E -2.26%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-06 22:45
FanDuel1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -3.94%E -2.31%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -5.34%E -2.47%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-06 23:05
SportsBet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.94%E -2.31%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.77%E -2.69%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 23:05
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.94%E -2.31%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.77%E -2.69%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 23:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.50%E -2.65%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.77%E -2.69%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 22:40
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.50%E -2.65%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.77%E -2.69%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 22:40
NordicBet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.50%E -2.65%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.77%E -2.69%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 22:55
Betsson1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.50%E -2.65%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.77%E -2.69%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 22:55
PlayUp1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.50%E -2.65%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.77%E -2.69%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 22:55
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.50%E -2.65%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.77%E -2.69%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 19:10
TAB1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.63%E -3.35%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.77%E -2.69%K -5.02%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-06 22:55
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.82%E -1.63%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.97%E -3.79%K -7.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 12:04
Ladbrokes (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.50%E -2.65%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.97%E -3.79%K -7.24%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-06 22:40
Neds1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.50%E -2.65%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.97%E -3.79%K -7.24%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-06 22:40
Hard Rock Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -2.26%E -1.30%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -10.16%E -4.95%K -9.67%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-06 23:01
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -4.50%E -2.65%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -10.16%E -4.95%K -9.67%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-06 23:00
NetBet (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 56.02%EV -11.81%E -7.52%K -20.71%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.98%EV -12.35%E -6.17%K -12.35%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-06 22:00
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (9)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
BetOpenly1.76I 56.82%NM 56.86%2.32I 43.10%NM 43.14%-0.1%2026-05-06 22:55
Novig1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-05-06 23:05
ProphetX1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78%1.1%2026-05-06 23:05
Matchbook1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78%1.1%2026-05-06 23:05
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-05-06 22:45
Polymarket1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-05-06 23:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.00%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.00%1.5%2026-05-06 23:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.00%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.00%1.5%2026-05-06 23:05
Smarkets1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%2.2%2026-05-06 23:05

Altri bookmaker — esclusi dall’analisi (21)

Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.

BookmakerOpzione 1Opzione 2Opzione 3Margine ▲Aggiornamento
Unibet (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 43.42%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.00%3.3%2026-05-06 23:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 43.42%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.00%3.3%2026-05-06 23:01
ATG (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 43.42%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.00%3.3%2026-05-06 23:01
Svenska Spel2.23I 44.84%NM 43.42%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.00%3.3%2026-05-06 23:00
Unibet (UK)2.22I 45.05%NM 43.15%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.02%4.4%2026-05-06 23:01
1xBet2.21I 45.25%NM 43.26%2.81I 35.59%NM 34.03%4.21I 23.75%NM 22.71%4.6%2026-05-06 22:35
Marathon Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.43%2.91I 34.36%NM 32.83%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.74%4.7%2026-05-06 22:55
Coolbet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.33%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.98%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.69%4.9%2026-05-06 23:05
Unibet (NL)2.17I 46.08%NM 43.60%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.40%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.00%5.7%2026-05-06 23:01
Casumo2.17I 46.08%NM 43.60%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.40%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.00%5.7%2026-05-06 23:01
Grosvenor2.17I 46.08%NM 43.60%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.40%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.00%5.7%2026-05-06 23:00
Unibet2.17I 46.08%NM 43.60%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.40%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.00%5.7%2026-05-06 23:00
Winamax (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.98%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.02%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.99%5.7%2026-05-06 23:00
TABtouch2.15I 46.51%NM 43.82%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.26%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%6.1%2026-05-06 23:00
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.71%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%6.5%2026-05-06 22:05
Unibet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.63%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.50%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%6.6%2026-05-06 22:45
Betclic (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.32%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%7.4%2026-05-06 23:05
LeoVegas2.12I 47.17%NM 43.78%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.38%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.84%7.7%2026-05-06 23:01
Winamax (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.92%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.03%8.1%2026-05-06 23:01
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.92%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.03%8.1%2026-05-06 23:05
PMU (FR)2.04I 49.02%NM 43.82%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.38%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.80%11.9%2026-05-06 23:00