L’École des cotesFrançais
Buffalo Sabres v Montréal Canadiens
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Buffalo Sabres (Local)
Prévision 56.17%1.78cote équitable
EV -2.26%
Avantage -1.30%
Kelly -3.05%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.74
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.09%56.17%56.04%58.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.571.701.711.7463.69%58.80%58.48%57.47%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Montréal Canadiens (Visiteur)
Prévision 43.83%2.28cote équitable
EV +0.799%
Avantage +0.347%
Kelly +0.615%
Croissance +0.005%
avec la cote maximale 2.30
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.18%43.83%43.96%45.91%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.002.172.172.3050.00%46.05%46.08%43.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
21 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.
Cotes des opérateurs (37 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fliff | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -9.56%E -5.94%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV +0.799%E +0.347%K +0.615%G +0.005% | 5.6% | 2026-05-06 23:05 |
| theScore Bet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -3.38%E -1.97%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -0.078%E -0.034%K -0.061%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-05-06 23:00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -3.94%E -2.31%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -0.516%E -0.227%K -0.406%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-06 23:00 |
| Bovada | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -5.07%E -3.00%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -1.39%E -0.619%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-06 23:01 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.71%EV -3.94%E -2.31%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.29%EV -1.83%E -0.817%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-06 22:35 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.71%EV -3.94%E -2.31%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.29%EV -1.83%E -0.817%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-06 22:40 |
| BetAnything | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -4.50%E -2.65%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -2.71%E -1.22%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-06 23:01 |
| Caesars | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -5.07%E -3.00%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -2.71%E -1.22%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-06 21:03 |
| GTbets | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.94%E -2.31%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.58%E -1.63%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-06 22:35 |
| BetUS | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.94%E -2.31%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.58%E -1.63%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-06 22:35 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.94%E -2.31%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.58%E -1.63%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-06 22:40 |
| DraftKings | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.50%E -2.65%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.58%E -1.63%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-06 21:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.07%E -3.00%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.58%E -1.63%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-06 22:50 |
| ReBet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -3.38%E -1.97%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -4.46%E -2.05%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-06 22:55 |
| Paddy Power | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -3.94%E -2.31%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.46%E -2.05%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-06 23:05 |
| BetMGM | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -3.94%E -2.31%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.46%E -2.05%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-06 22:40 |
| Bet Right | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -3.94%E -2.31%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.46%E -2.05%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-06 22:55 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -5.07%E -3.00%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -4.46%E -2.05%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-06 22:54 |
| Bally Bet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV -2.82%E -1.63%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -4.90%E -2.26%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-06 23:00 |
| betPARX | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV -2.82%E -1.63%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -4.90%E -2.26%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-06 23:00 |
| BetRivers | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -3.94%E -2.31%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -4.90%E -2.26%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-06 22:45 |
| FanDuel | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -3.94%E -2.31%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -5.34%E -2.47%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-06 23:05 |
| SportsBet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.94%E -2.31%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.77%E -2.69%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-06 23:05 |
| Fanatics | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.94%E -2.31%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.77%E -2.69%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-06 23:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.50%E -2.65%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.77%E -2.69%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 22:40 |
| Coral | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.50%E -2.65%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.77%E -2.69%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 22:40 |
| NordicBet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.50%E -2.65%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.77%E -2.69%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 22:55 |
| Betsson | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.50%E -2.65%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.77%E -2.69%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 22:55 |
| PlayUp | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.50%E -2.65%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.77%E -2.69%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 22:55 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.50%E -2.65%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.77%E -2.69%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 19:10 |
| TAB | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.63%E -3.35%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.77%E -2.69%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-06 22:55 |
| William Hill | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.82%E -1.63%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.97%E -3.79%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 12:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.50%E -2.65%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.97%E -3.79%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-06 22:40 |
| Neds | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.50%E -2.65%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.97%E -3.79%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-06 22:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -2.26%E -1.30%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -10.16%E -4.95%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-06 23:01 |
| Bet Victor | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -4.50%E -2.65%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -10.16%E -4.95%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-06 23:00 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.02%EV -11.81%E -7.52%K -20.71%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.98%EV -12.35%E -6.17%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-05-06 22:00 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (9)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.86% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 43.14% | -0.1% | 2026-05-06 22:55 |
| Novig | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56% | 0.7% | 2026-05-06 23:05 |
| ProphetX | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78% | 1.1% | 2026-05-06 23:05 |
| Matchbook | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78% | 1.1% | 2026-05-06 23:05 |
| Kalshi | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53% | 1.2% | 2026-05-06 22:45 |
| Polymarket | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53% | 1.2% | 2026-05-06 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.00% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.00% | 1.5% | 2026-05-06 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.00% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.00% | 1.5% | 2026-05-06 23:05 |
| Smarkets | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08% | 2.2% | 2026-05-06 23:05 |
Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (21)
Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.
| Opérateur | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE) | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.42% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.00% | 3.3% | 2026-05-06 23:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.42% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.00% | 3.3% | 2026-05-06 23:01 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.42% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.00% | 3.3% | 2026-05-06 23:01 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.42% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.00% | 3.3% | 2026-05-06 23:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.15% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.02% | 4.4% | 2026-05-06 23:01 |
| 1xBet | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.26% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 34.03% | 4.21I 23.75%NM 22.71% | 4.6% | 2026-05-06 22:35 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.43% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 32.83% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.74% | 4.7% | 2026-05-06 22:55 |
| Coolbet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.33% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 32.98% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.69% | 4.9% | 2026-05-06 23:05 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.60% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.40% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.00% | 5.7% | 2026-05-06 23:01 |
| Casumo | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.60% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.40% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.00% | 5.7% | 2026-05-06 23:01 |
| Grosvenor | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.60% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.40% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.00% | 5.7% | 2026-05-06 23:00 |
| Unibet | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.60% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.40% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.00% | 5.7% | 2026-05-06 23:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.98% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.02% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.99% | 5.7% | 2026-05-06 23:00 |
| TABtouch | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.82% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.26% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91% | 6.1% | 2026-05-06 23:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.71% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35% | 6.5% | 2026-05-06 22:05 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.63% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.50% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88% | 6.6% | 2026-05-06 22:45 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.32% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18% | 7.4% | 2026-05-06 23:05 |
| LeoVegas | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.78% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.38% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.84% | 7.7% | 2026-05-06 23:01 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.92% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.03% | 8.1% | 2026-05-06 23:01 |
| Betway | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.92% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.03% | 8.1% | 2026-05-06 23:05 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.04I 49.02%NM 43.82% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.38% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.80% | 11.9% | 2026-05-06 23:00 |