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Buffalo Sabres v Dallas Stars
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Buffalo Sabres (Local)
Prediction 42.95%2.33fair odd
EV -2.93%
Edge -1.30%
Kelly -2.33%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.26
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.31%43.06%42.89%45.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.072.212.222.2648.31%45.27%45.05%44.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Dallas Stars (Visit)
Prediction 57.05%1.75fair odd
EV -1.30%
Edge -0.754%
Kelly -1.79%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.73
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.83%56.94%57.11%57.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.531.681.681.7365.36%59.49%59.52%57.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Buffalo Sabres (Local): 42.95%; Dallas Stars (Visit): 57.05%. For Dallas Stars (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.75. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.73, with an expected value of -1.30%; they did not produce positive expected value.
21 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.07%EV -2.93%E -1.30%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.93%EV -2.45%E -1.43%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-04-15 22:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -3.36%E -1.49%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -3.02%E -1.77%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-15 22:19 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -3.36%E -1.49%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -3.02%E -1.77%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-15 22:19 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.36%E -1.49%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.59%E -2.12%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-15 22:44 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.36%E -1.49%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.59%E -2.12%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-15 15:49 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.36%E -1.49%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.59%E -2.12%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-15 22:19 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.36%E -1.49%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.59%E -2.12%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-15 23:04 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.36%E -1.49%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.16%E -2.47%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-15 17:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.36%E -1.49%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.16%E -2.47%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-15 17:01 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.36%E -1.49%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.73%E -2.83%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-15 22:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.36%E -1.49%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.73%E -2.83%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-15 18:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.36%E -1.49%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.73%E -2.83%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-15 18:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.36%E -1.49%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.73%E -2.83%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-15 18:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.36%E -1.49%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.87%E -3.56%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-15 22:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -3.79%E -1.69%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -4.16%E -2.47%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-15 16:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -3.79%E -1.69%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -4.16%E -2.47%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-15 21:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.22%E -1.89%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.73%E -2.83%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-15 17:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -4.65%E -2.09%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -3.02%E -1.77%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-15 23:03 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -4.65%E -2.09%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -3.59%E -2.12%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-15 22:09 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -4.65%E -2.09%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -3.59%E -2.12%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-15 21:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -4.65%E -2.09%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -4.16%E -2.47%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-15 22:44 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.51%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.45%E -1.43%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-15 21:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.51%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.59%E -2.12%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-15 23:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.51%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.59%E -2.12%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-15 23:04 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.51%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.16%E -2.47%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-15 22:30 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.51%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.16%E -2.47%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-15 16:08 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.51%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.73%E -2.83%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-15 19:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.51%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.87%E -3.56%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-15 18:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.51%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.87%E -3.56%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-15 18:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -5.94%E -2.71%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -4.16%E -2.47%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-15 23:04 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -6.37%E -2.92%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -1.87%E -1.09%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-15 22:19 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.37%E -2.92%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.16%E -2.47%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-15 22:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.37%E -2.92%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.16%E -2.47%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-15 22:54 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.66%E -3.56%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.16%E -2.47%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-15 20:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.80%E -4.67%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.30%E -0.754%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-15 23:04 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -9.80%E -4.67%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -2.45%E -1.43%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-15 23:03 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -9.80%E -4.67%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.02%E -1.77%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-15 23:02 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 42.50%EV -11.09%E -5.36%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.50%EV -12.71%E -8.31%K -23.99%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-04-15 22:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket◎ | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47% | 1.2% | 2026-04-15 20:29 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.36% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.64% | 1.5% | 2026-04-15 23:04 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.22% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.78% | 1.9% | 2026-04-15 23:04 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92% | 2.2% | 2026-04-15 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56% | 2.3% | 2026-04-15 23:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56% | 2.3% | 2026-04-15 23:04 |
| Novig◎ | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.12% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.88% | 5.9% | 2026-04-15 23:04 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.60% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.40% | 7.5% | 2026-04-15 23:04 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (21)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.70% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.53% | 3.2% | 2026-04-15 17:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.70% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.53% | 3.2% | 2026-04-15 17:01 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.70% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.53% | 3.2% | 2026-04-15 20:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.70% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.53% | 3.2% | 2026-04-15 17:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.63% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.88% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.49% | 4.6% | 2026-04-15 22:54 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.43% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.55% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 22.02% | 4.9% | 2026-04-15 22:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.76% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.81% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.42% | 4.9% | 2026-04-15 17:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.76% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.81% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.42% | 4.9% | 2026-04-15 17:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.76% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.81% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.42% | 4.9% | 2026-04-15 17:01 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.76% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.81% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.42% | 4.9% | 2026-04-15 17:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.25% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.09% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65% | 5.1% | 2026-04-15 22:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.90% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.69% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.41% | 6.3% | 2026-04-15 17:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.50% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.63% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88% | 6.6% | 2026-04-15 16:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.82% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.29% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.89% | 7.5% | 2026-04-15 23:04 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.43% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61% | 7.9% | 2026-04-15 17:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.23% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.02% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.75% | 8.2% | 2026-04-15 23:03 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.90% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.95% | 8.5% | 2026-04-15 23:04 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.18% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.30% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.52% | 9.0% | 2026-04-15 16:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.04% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.54% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.41% | 9.5% | 2026-04-15 16:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.38% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.44% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.19% | 9.8% | 2026-04-15 23:04 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.72% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 45.79% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.49% | 12.6% | 2026-04-15 17:00 |