La scuola delle quoteQuote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.26
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.73
21 bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.07%EV -2.93%E -1.30%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.93%EV -2.45%E -1.43%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-04-15 22:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -3.36%E -1.49%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -3.02%E -1.77%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-15 22:19 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -3.36%E -1.49%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -3.02%E -1.77%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-15 22:19 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.36%E -1.49%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.59%E -2.12%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-15 22:44 |
| GTbets | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.36%E -1.49%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.59%E -2.12%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-15 15:49 |
| BetAnything | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.36%E -1.49%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.59%E -2.12%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-15 22:19 |
| theScore Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.36%E -1.49%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.59%E -2.12%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-15 23:04 |
| Bally Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.36%E -1.49%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.16%E -2.47%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-15 17:00 |
| betPARX | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.36%E -1.49%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.16%E -2.47%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-15 17:01 |
| Fanatics | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.36%E -1.49%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.73%E -2.83%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-15 22:39 |
| BetMGM | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.36%E -1.49%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.73%E -2.83%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-15 18:00 |
| Coral | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.36%E -1.49%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.73%E -2.83%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-15 18:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.36%E -1.49%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.73%E -2.83%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-15 18:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.36%E -1.49%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.87%E -3.56%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-15 22:09 |
| DraftKings | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -3.79%E -1.69%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -4.16%E -2.47%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-15 16:00 |
| Bet Right | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -3.79%E -1.69%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -4.16%E -2.47%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-15 21:49 |
| BetRivers | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.22%E -1.89%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.73%E -2.83%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-15 17:00 |
| Bovada | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -4.65%E -2.09%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -3.02%E -1.77%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-15 23:03 |
| ReBet | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -4.65%E -2.09%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -3.59%E -2.12%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-15 22:09 |
| Caesars | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -4.65%E -2.09%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -3.59%E -2.12%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-15 21:54 |
| FanDuel | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -4.65%E -2.09%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -4.16%E -2.47%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-15 22:44 |
| BetUS | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.51%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.45%E -1.43%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-15 21:59 |
| Paddy Power | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.51%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.59%E -2.12%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-15 23:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.51%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.59%E -2.12%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-15 23:04 |
| PlayUp | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.51%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.16%E -2.47%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-15 22:30 |
| MyBookie.ag | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.51%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.16%E -2.47%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-15 16:08 |
| Fliff | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.51%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.73%E -2.83%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-15 19:00 |
| Neds | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.51%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.87%E -3.56%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-15 18:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.51%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.87%E -3.56%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-15 18:00 |
| SportsBet | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -5.94%E -2.71%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -4.16%E -2.47%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-15 23:04 |
| Everygame | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -6.37%E -2.92%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -1.87%E -1.09%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-15 22:19 |
| Betsson | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.37%E -2.92%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.16%E -2.47%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-15 22:54 |
| NordicBet | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.37%E -2.92%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.16%E -2.47%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-15 22:54 |
| TAB | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.66%E -3.56%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.16%E -2.47%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-15 20:34 |
| William Hill | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.80%E -4.67%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.30%E -0.754%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-15 23:04 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -9.80%E -4.67%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -2.45%E -1.43%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-15 23:03 |
| Bet Victor | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -9.80%E -4.67%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.02%E -1.77%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-15 23:02 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.07I 48.31%NM 42.50%EV -11.09%E -5.36%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.50%EV -12.71%E -8.31%K -23.99%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-04-15 22:59 |
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47% | 1.2% | 2026-04-15 20:29 |
| ProphetX | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.36% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.64% | 1.5% | 2026-04-15 23:04 |
| Matchbook | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.22% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.78% | 1.9% | 2026-04-15 23:04 |
| Kalshi | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92% | 2.2% | 2026-04-15 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56% | 2.3% | 2026-04-15 23:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56% | 2.3% | 2026-04-15 23:04 |
| Novig | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.12% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.88% | 5.9% | 2026-04-15 23:04 |
| Smarkets | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.60% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.40% | 7.5% | 2026-04-15 23:04 |
Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.
| Bookmaker | Opzione 1 | Opzione 2 | Opzione 3 | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.70% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.53% | 3.2% | 2026-04-15 17:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.70% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.53% | 3.2% | 2026-04-15 17:01 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.70% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.53% | 3.2% | 2026-04-15 20:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.70% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.53% | 3.2% | 2026-04-15 17:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.63% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.88% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.49% | 4.6% | 2026-04-15 22:54 |
| 1xBet | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.43% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.55% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 22.02% | 4.9% | 2026-04-15 22:54 |
| Unibet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.76% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.81% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.42% | 4.9% | 2026-04-15 17:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.76% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.81% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.42% | 4.9% | 2026-04-15 17:00 |
| Grosvenor | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.76% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.81% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.42% | 4.9% | 2026-04-15 17:01 |
| Casumo | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.76% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.81% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.42% | 4.9% | 2026-04-15 17:00 |
| Coolbet | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.25% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.09% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65% | 5.1% | 2026-04-15 22:59 |
| TABtouch | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.90% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.69% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.41% | 6.3% | 2026-04-15 17:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.50% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.63% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88% | 6.6% | 2026-04-15 16:00 |
| Betway | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.82% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.29% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.89% | 7.5% | 2026-04-15 23:04 |
| LeoVegas | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.43% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61% | 7.9% | 2026-04-15 17:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.23% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.02% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.75% | 8.2% | 2026-04-15 23:03 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.90% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.95% | 8.5% | 2026-04-15 23:04 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.18% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.30% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.52% | 9.0% | 2026-04-15 16:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.04% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.54% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.41% | 9.5% | 2026-04-15 16:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.38% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.44% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.19% | 9.8% | 2026-04-15 23:04 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.72% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 45.79% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.49% | 12.6% | 2026-04-15 17:00 |