La scuola delle quote

Buffalo Sabres v Dallas Stars

Inizio: 2026-04-15 23:10 UTC

Finale: Buffalo Sabres 3–4 Dallas Stars

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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38 bookmaker (13 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Buffalo Sabres (Casa)

Previsione 42.95%2.33quota equa
EV -2.93%
Vantaggio -1.30%
Kelly -2.33%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.26

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
42.31%43.06%42.89%45.17%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.072.212.222.2648.31%45.27%45.05%44.25%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Dallas Stars (Trasferta)

Previsione 57.05%1.75quota equa
EV -1.30%
Vantaggio -0.754%
Kelly -1.79%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.73

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
54.83%56.94%57.11%57.69%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.531.681.681.7365.36%59.49%59.52%57.80%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

21 bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.

Quote dei bookmaker (38 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle2.26I 44.25%NM 43.07%EV -2.93%E -1.30%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.93%EV -2.45%E -1.43%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.7%2026-04-15 22:55
BetOnline.ag2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -3.36%E -1.49%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -3.02%E -1.77%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-15 22:19
LowVig.ag2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -3.36%E -1.49%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -3.02%E -1.77%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-15 22:19
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.36%E -1.49%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.59%E -2.12%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-15 22:44
GTbets2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.36%E -1.49%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.59%E -2.12%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-15 15:49
BetAnything2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.36%E -1.49%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.59%E -2.12%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-15 22:19
theScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.36%E -1.49%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.59%E -2.12%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-15 23:04
Bally Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.36%E -1.49%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.16%E -2.47%K -6.11%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-15 17:00
betPARX2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.36%E -1.49%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.16%E -2.47%K -6.11%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-15 17:01
Fanatics2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.36%E -1.49%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.73%E -2.83%K -7.06%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-15 22:39
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.36%E -1.49%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.73%E -2.83%K -7.06%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-15 18:00
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.36%E -1.49%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.73%E -2.83%K -7.06%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-15 18:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.36%E -1.49%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.73%E -2.83%K -7.06%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-15 18:00
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.36%E -1.49%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.87%E -3.56%K -9.03%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-15 22:09
DraftKings2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -3.79%E -1.69%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -4.16%E -2.47%K -6.11%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-15 16:00
Bet Right2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -3.79%E -1.69%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -4.16%E -2.47%K -6.11%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-15 21:49
BetRivers2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.22%E -1.89%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.73%E -2.83%K -7.06%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-15 17:00
Bovada2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -4.65%E -2.09%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -3.02%E -1.77%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-15 23:03
ReBet2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -4.65%E -2.09%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -3.59%E -2.12%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-15 22:09
Caesars2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -4.65%E -2.09%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -3.59%E -2.12%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-15 21:54
FanDuel2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -4.65%E -2.09%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -4.16%E -2.47%K -6.11%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-15 22:44
BetUS2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.51%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.45%E -1.43%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-15 21:59
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.51%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.59%E -2.12%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-15 23:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.51%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.59%E -2.12%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-15 23:04
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.51%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.16%E -2.47%K -6.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 22:30
MyBookie.ag2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.51%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.16%E -2.47%K -6.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 16:08
Fliff2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.51%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.73%E -2.83%K -7.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 19:00
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.51%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.87%E -3.56%K -9.03%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-15 18:00
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.51%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.87%E -3.56%K -9.03%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-15 18:00
SportsBet2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -5.94%E -2.71%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -4.16%E -2.47%K -6.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 23:04
Everygame2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -6.37%E -2.92%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -1.87%E -1.09%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-15 22:19
Betsson2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.37%E -2.92%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.16%E -2.47%K -6.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-15 22:54
NordicBet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.37%E -2.92%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.16%E -2.47%K -6.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-15 22:54
TAB2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.66%E -3.56%K -6.66%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.16%E -2.47%K -6.11%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-15 20:34
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.80%E -4.67%K -8.91%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.30%E -0.754%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-15 23:04
Hard Rock Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -9.80%E -4.67%K -8.91%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -2.45%E -1.43%K -3.44%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-15 23:03
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -9.80%E -4.67%K -8.91%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.02%E -1.77%K -4.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-15 23:02
NetBet (FR)2.07I 48.31%NM 42.50%EV -11.09%E -5.36%K -10.37%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 57.50%EV -12.71%E -8.31%K -23.99%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-15 22:59
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (8)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Polymarket2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%1.2%2026-04-15 20:29
ProphetX2.22I 45.05%NM 44.36%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.64%1.5%2026-04-15 23:04
Matchbook2.22I 45.05%NM 44.22%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.78%1.9%2026-04-15 23:04
Kalshi2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%2.2%2026-04-15 23:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%2.3%2026-04-15 23:04
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%2.3%2026-04-15 23:04
Novig2.19I 45.66%NM 43.12%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.88%5.9%2026-04-15 23:04
Smarkets2.04I 49.02%NM 45.60%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.40%7.5%2026-04-15 23:04

Altri bookmaker — esclusi dall’analisi (21)

Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.

BookmakerOpzione 1Opzione 2Opzione 3Margine ▲Aggiornamento
LeoVegas (SE)3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.70%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.53%3.2%2026-04-15 17:00
Svenska Spel3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.70%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.53%3.2%2026-04-15 17:01
ATG (SE)3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.70%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.53%3.2%2026-04-15 20:00
Unibet (SE)3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.70%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.53%3.2%2026-04-15 17:00
Marathon Bet2.93I 34.13%NM 32.63%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.88%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.49%4.6%2026-04-15 22:54
1xBet2.77I 36.10%NM 34.43%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.55%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.02%4.9%2026-04-15 22:54
Unibet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.76%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.81%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.42%4.9%2026-04-15 17:00
Unibet (NL)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.76%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.81%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.42%4.9%2026-04-15 17:00
Grosvenor3.00I 33.33%NM 31.76%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.81%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.42%4.9%2026-04-15 17:01
Casumo3.00I 33.33%NM 31.76%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.81%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.42%4.9%2026-04-15 17:00
Coolbet2.95I 33.90%NM 32.25%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.09%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%5.1%2026-04-15 22:59
TABtouch2.95I 33.90%NM 31.90%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.69%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.41%6.3%2026-04-15 17:00
Tipico (DE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.50%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.63%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%6.6%2026-04-15 16:00
Betway2.75I 36.36%NM 33.82%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.29%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.89%7.5%2026-04-15 23:04
LeoVegas2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.43%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%7.9%2026-04-15 17:00
Betclic (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.23%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.02%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.75%8.2%2026-04-15 23:03
Winamax (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.90%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.95%8.5%2026-04-15 23:04
Codere (IT)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.18%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.30%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.52%9.0%2026-04-15 16:00
Unibet (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.04%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.54%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.41%9.5%2026-04-15 16:00
Winamax (DE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.38%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.44%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.19%9.8%2026-04-15 23:04
PMU (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.72%1.94I 51.55%NM 45.79%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.49%12.6%2026-04-15 17:00