The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Buffalo Sabres v Columbus Blue Jackets

Kickoff: 2026-04-09 23:13 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

38 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Buffalo Sabres (Local)

Prediction 49.10%2.04fair odd
EV -1.81%
Edge -0.903%
Kelly -1.81%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.78%49.15%49.10%50.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.781.931.932.0056.18%51.77%51.81%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Columbus Blue Jackets (Visit)

Prediction 50.90%1.96fair odd
EV -0.739%
Edge -0.379%
Kelly -0.778%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.08%50.85%50.90%52.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.731.881.881.9557.80%53.26%53.33%51.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Buffalo Sabres (Local): 49.10%; Columbus Blue Jackets (Visit): 50.90%. For Columbus Blue Jackets (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.96. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.95, with an expected value of -0.739%; they did not produce positive expected value.

22 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -1.81%E -0.903%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.85%E -3.74%K -8.25%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-09 23:10
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -1.81%E -0.903%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.85%E -3.74%K -8.25%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-09 23:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -1.81%E -0.903%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.85%E -3.74%K -8.25%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-09 23:09
Pinnacle🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -2.30%E -1.15%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -2.27%E -1.18%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-09 23:06
BetOnline.ag🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.84%EV -2.79%E -1.41%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.16%EV -3.79%E -2.01%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-09 23:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.84%EV -2.79%E -1.41%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.16%EV -3.79%E -2.01%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-09 23:10
DraftKings🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -2.79%E -1.41%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -5.83%E -3.15%K -6.86%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-09 23:09
FanDuel🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -2.79%E -1.41%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -5.83%E -3.15%K -6.86%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-09 23:09
Bovada🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -3.28%E -1.66%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -5.83%E -3.15%K -6.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-09 23:10
SportsBet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -3.28%E -1.66%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -6.34%E -3.44%K -7.55%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-09 23:09
BetAnything🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -3.77%E -1.92%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -5.32%E -2.86%K -6.19%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-09 23:06
ReBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.22%EV -4.26%E -2.18%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.78%EV -3.79%E -2.01%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-09 22:59
Caesars🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.26%E -2.18%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.81%E -2.57%K -5.53%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-09 23:09
Everygame🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.26%E -2.18%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.81%E -2.57%K -5.53%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-09 23:05
BetUS🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.26%E -2.18%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.81%E -2.57%K -5.53%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-09 23:06
theScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.26%E -2.18%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.81%E -2.57%K -5.53%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-09 23:10
TAB🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.26%E -2.18%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.83%E -3.15%K -6.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-09 23:10
GTbets🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.75%E -2.45%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.81%E -2.57%K -5.53%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-09 23:10
PlayUp🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.24%E -2.72%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.30%E -2.29%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-09 23:10
Betsson🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.24%E -2.72%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.81%E -2.57%K -5.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-09 23:09
NordicBet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.24%E -2.72%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.81%E -2.57%K -5.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-09 23:09
MyBookie.ag🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.73%E -2.99%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.79%E -2.01%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-09 23:03
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.22%E -3.26%K -6.84%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.78%E -1.45%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-09 23:10
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.22%E -3.26%K -6.84%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.78%E -1.45%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-09 23:10
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.22%E -3.26%K -6.84%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.78%E -1.45%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-09 23:07
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.22%E -3.26%K -6.84%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.78%E -1.45%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-09 23:08
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.22%E -3.26%K -6.84%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.78%E -1.45%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-09 23:07
Fliff🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.22%E -3.26%K -6.84%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.78%E -1.45%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-09 23:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.22%E -3.26%K -6.84%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.85%E -3.74%K -8.25%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-09 23:09
Bet Right🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.52%EV -6.72%E -3.53%K -7.46%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.48%EV -1.25%E -0.643%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-09 23:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.72%E -3.53%K -7.46%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.28%E -1.73%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-09 23:08
Bet Victor🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -6.72%E -3.53%K -7.46%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -5.83%E -3.15%K -6.86%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-09 23:09
Bally Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -7.70%E -4.09%K -8.75%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -0.739%E -0.379%K -0.778%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-09 23:10
betPARX🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -7.70%E -4.09%K -8.75%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -0.739%E -0.379%K -0.778%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-09 23:09
Neds🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -7.70%E -4.09%K -8.75%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -4.30%E -2.29%K -4.89%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-09 23:08
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -7.70%E -4.09%K -8.75%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -4.30%E -2.29%K -4.89%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-09 23:08
BetRivers🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -8.19%E -4.38%K -9.41%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -1.25%E -0.643%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-09 22:56
NetBet (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 49.29%EV -12.61%E -7.08%K -16.16%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 50.71%EV -11.94%E -6.90%K -16.35%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-09 23:01
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (9)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Polymarket◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-04-09 23:10
BetOpenly◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.35%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.65%1.4%2026-04-09 22:59
Kalshi◎2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%2.1%2026-04-09 23:10
ProphetX◎1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%5.1%2026-04-09 23:08
Smarkets◎1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%8.1%2026-04-09 23:10
Matchbook◎1.77I 56.50%NM 50.70%1.82I 54.95%NM 49.30%11.4%2026-04-09 23:08
Novig◎1.81I 55.25%NM 35.59%1.00I 100.00%NM 64.41%55.2%2026-04-09 23:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%98.0%2026-04-09 23:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%98.0%2026-04-09 23:10

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (22)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
Unibet (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.82%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.94%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.24%3.4%2026-04-09 23:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.82%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.94%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.24%3.4%2026-04-09 23:10
Svenska Spel🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.82%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.94%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.24%3.4%2026-04-09 23:10
ATG (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.82%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.94%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.24%3.4%2026-04-09 23:10
Marathon Bet🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 38.12%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.37%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.51%4.5%2026-04-09 22:59
1xBet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.52%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.47%4.34I 23.04%NM 22.01%4.7%2026-04-09 22:59
Unibet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.91%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.00%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.09%5.3%2026-04-09 23:10
Grosvenor🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.91%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.00%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.09%5.3%2026-04-09 23:10
Casumo🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.91%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.00%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.09%5.3%2026-04-09 23:10
Unibet (NL)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.91%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.00%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.09%5.3%2026-04-09 23:09
Unibet (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.70%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.51%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.80%5.5%2026-04-09 23:10
Coolbet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.41%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.99%5.7%2026-04-09 23:09
TABtouch🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.99%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.90%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.11%6.4%2026-04-09 23:09
Tipico (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.99%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.19%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%6.9%2026-04-09 23:09
LeoVegas🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.91%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.14%7.5%2026-04-09 23:10
Betclic (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.57%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.39%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%8.0%2026-04-09 23:10
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.57%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.39%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%8.0%2026-04-09 23:10
Unibet (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.66%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.27%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.07%8.4%2026-04-09 22:58
Winamax (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.18%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.46%8.6%2026-04-09 23:10
Codere (IT)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.75%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.03%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.22%9.0%2026-04-09 23:01
Winamax (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.94%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.78%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.28%9.3%2026-04-09 23:10
PMU (FR)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 39.90%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.86%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%12.4%2026-04-09 23:10