L’École des cotes

Buffalo Sabres v Columbus Blue Jackets

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-09 23:13 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

38 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Buffalo Sabres (Local)

Prévision 49.10%2.04cote équitable
EV -1.81%
Avantage -0.903%
Kelly -1.81%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
47.78%49.15%49.10%50.92%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.781.931.932.0056.18%51.77%51.81%50.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Columbus Blue Jackets (Visiteur)

Prévision 50.90%1.96cote équitable
EV -0.739%
Avantage -0.379%
Kelly -0.778%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.95

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
49.08%50.85%50.90%52.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.731.881.881.9557.80%53.26%53.33%51.28%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

22 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.

Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -1.81%E -0.903%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.85%E -3.74%K -8.25%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-09 23:10
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -1.81%E -0.903%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.85%E -3.74%K -8.25%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-09 23:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -1.81%E -0.903%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.85%E -3.74%K -8.25%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-09 23:09
Pinnacle1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -2.30%E -1.15%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -2.27%E -1.18%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-09 23:06
BetOnline.ag1.98I 50.51%NM 48.84%EV -2.79%E -1.41%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.16%EV -3.79%E -2.01%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-09 23:10
LowVig.ag1.98I 50.51%NM 48.84%EV -2.79%E -1.41%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.16%EV -3.79%E -2.01%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-09 23:10
DraftKings1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -2.79%E -1.41%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -5.83%E -3.15%K -6.86%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-09 23:09
FanDuel1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -2.79%E -1.41%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -5.83%E -3.15%K -6.86%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-09 23:09
Bovada1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -3.28%E -1.66%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -5.83%E -3.15%K -6.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-09 23:10
SportsBet1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -3.28%E -1.66%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -6.34%E -3.44%K -7.55%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-09 23:09
BetAnything1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -3.77%E -1.92%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -5.32%E -2.86%K -6.19%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-09 23:06
ReBet1.95I 51.28%NM 49.22%EV -4.26%E -2.18%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.78%EV -3.79%E -2.01%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-09 22:59
Caesars1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.26%E -2.18%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.81%E -2.57%K -5.53%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-09 23:09
Everygame1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.26%E -2.18%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.81%E -2.57%K -5.53%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-09 23:05
BetUS1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.26%E -2.18%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.81%E -2.57%K -5.53%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-09 23:06
theScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.26%E -2.18%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.81%E -2.57%K -5.53%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-09 23:10
TAB1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.26%E -2.18%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.83%E -3.15%K -6.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-09 23:10
GTbets1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.75%E -2.45%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.81%E -2.57%K -5.53%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-09 23:10
PlayUp1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.24%E -2.72%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.30%E -2.29%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-09 23:10
Betsson1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.24%E -2.72%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.81%E -2.57%K -5.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-09 23:09
NordicBet1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.24%E -2.72%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.81%E -2.57%K -5.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-09 23:09
MyBookie.ag1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.73%E -2.99%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.79%E -2.01%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-09 23:03
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.22%E -3.26%K -6.84%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.78%E -1.45%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-09 23:10
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.22%E -3.26%K -6.84%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.78%E -1.45%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-09 23:10
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.22%E -3.26%K -6.84%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.78%E -1.45%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-09 23:07
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.22%E -3.26%K -6.84%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.78%E -1.45%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-09 23:08
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.22%E -3.26%K -6.84%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.78%E -1.45%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-09 23:07
Fliff1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.22%E -3.26%K -6.84%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.78%E -1.45%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-09 23:10
Hard Rock Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.22%E -3.26%K -6.84%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.85%E -3.74%K -8.25%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-09 23:09
Bet Right1.90I 52.63%NM 50.52%EV -6.72%E -3.53%K -7.46%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.48%EV -1.25%E -0.643%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-09 23:10
Betr (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.72%E -3.53%K -7.46%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.28%E -1.73%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-09 23:08
Bet Victor1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -6.72%E -3.53%K -7.46%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -5.83%E -3.15%K -6.86%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-09 23:09
Bally Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -7.70%E -4.09%K -8.75%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -0.739%E -0.379%K -0.778%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-09 23:10
betPARX1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -7.70%E -4.09%K -8.75%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -0.739%E -0.379%K -0.778%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-09 23:09
Neds1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -7.70%E -4.09%K -8.75%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -4.30%E -2.29%K -4.89%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-09 23:08
Ladbrokes (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -7.70%E -4.09%K -8.75%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -4.30%E -2.29%K -4.89%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-09 23:08
BetRivers1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -8.19%E -4.38%K -9.41%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -1.25%E -0.643%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-09 22:56
NetBet (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 49.29%EV -12.61%E -7.08%K -16.16%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 50.71%EV -11.94%E -6.90%K -16.35%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-09 23:01
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (9)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Polymarket1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-04-09 23:10
BetOpenly2.04I 49.02%NM 48.35%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.65%1.4%2026-04-09 22:59
Kalshi2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%2.1%2026-04-09 23:10
ProphetX1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%5.1%2026-04-09 23:08
Smarkets1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%8.1%2026-04-09 23:10
Matchbook1.77I 56.50%NM 50.70%1.82I 54.95%NM 49.30%11.4%2026-04-09 23:08
Novig1.81I 55.25%NM 35.59%1.00I 100.00%NM 64.41%55.2%2026-04-09 23:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%98.0%2026-04-09 23:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%98.0%2026-04-09 23:10

Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (22)

Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.

OpérateurOption 1Option 2Option 3Marge ▲Mise à jour
Unibet (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 39.82%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.94%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.24%3.4%2026-04-09 23:10
LeoVegas (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 39.82%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.94%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.24%3.4%2026-04-09 23:10
Svenska Spel2.43I 41.15%NM 39.82%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.94%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.24%3.4%2026-04-09 23:10
ATG (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 39.82%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.94%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.24%3.4%2026-04-09 23:10
Marathon Bet2.51I 39.84%NM 38.12%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.37%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.51%4.5%2026-04-09 22:59
1xBet2.48I 40.32%NM 38.52%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.47%4.34I 23.04%NM 22.01%4.7%2026-04-09 22:59
Unibet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.91%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.00%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.09%5.3%2026-04-09 23:10
Grosvenor2.38I 42.02%NM 39.91%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.00%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.09%5.3%2026-04-09 23:10
Casumo2.38I 42.02%NM 39.91%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.00%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.09%5.3%2026-04-09 23:10
Unibet (NL)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.91%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.00%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.09%5.3%2026-04-09 23:09
Unibet (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.70%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.51%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.80%5.5%2026-04-09 23:10
Coolbet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.41%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.99%5.7%2026-04-09 23:09
TABtouch2.35I 42.55%NM 39.99%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.90%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.11%6.4%2026-04-09 23:09
Tipico (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.99%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.19%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%6.9%2026-04-09 23:09
LeoVegas2.33I 42.92%NM 39.91%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.14%7.5%2026-04-09 23:10
Betclic (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.57%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.39%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%8.0%2026-04-09 23:10
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 38.57%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.39%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%8.0%2026-04-09 23:10
Unibet (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.66%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.27%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.07%8.4%2026-04-09 22:58
Winamax (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.18%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.46%8.6%2026-04-09 23:10
Codere (IT)2.43I 41.15%NM 37.75%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.03%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.22%9.0%2026-04-09 23:01
Winamax (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.94%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.78%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.28%9.3%2026-04-09 23:10
PMU (FR)2.23I 44.84%NM 39.90%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.86%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%12.4%2026-04-09 23:10