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Buffalo Sabres v Chicago Blackhawks
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Buffalo Sabres (Local)
Prediction 67.28%1.49fair odd
EV -3.11%
Edge -2.16%
Kelly -7.08%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.44
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.63%67.36%67.24%68.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.341.421.421.4474.63%70.62%70.42%69.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Chicago Blackhawks (Visit)
Prediction 32.72%3.06fair odd
EV +0.446%
Edge +0.145%
Kelly +0.216%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 3.07
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.66%32.64%32.76%34.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.752.922.903.0736.36%34.27%34.48%32.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Buffalo Sabres (Local): 67.28%; Chicago Blackhawks (Visit): 32.72%. For Chicago Blackhawks (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.06. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.07, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.446%.
21 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.22%EV -3.79%E -2.65%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.78%EV +0.446%E +0.145%K +0.216%G +0.001% | 2.5% | 2026-10-03 19:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.46%E -3.14%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -1.84%E -0.615%K -0.922%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-03 22:57 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.46%E -3.14%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -1.84%E -0.615%K -0.922%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-03 16:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.46%E -3.14%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -1.84%E -0.615%K -0.922%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-03 16:20 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.46%E -3.14%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -1.84%E -0.615%K -0.922%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-03 20:34 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -5.13%E -3.64%K -12.52%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -1.84%E -0.615%K -0.922%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-03 22:15 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -5.13%E -3.64%K -12.52%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -1.84%E -0.615%K -0.922%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-03 22:19 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -5.13%E -3.64%K -12.52%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -1.84%E -0.615%K -0.922%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-03 22:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.81%E -4.15%K -14.52%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.84%E -0.615%K -0.922%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-03 22:20 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -6.48%E -4.66%K -16.61%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -1.84%E -0.615%K -0.922%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-03 23:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.11%EV -5.81%E -4.15%K -14.52%G +0.000% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 31.89%EV -2.17%E -0.726%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-03 18:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.88%EV -5.13%E -3.64%K -12.52%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.12%EV -2.50%E -0.838%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-03 18:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.20%EV -3.11%E -2.16%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.80%EV -3.48%E -1.18%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-10-03 23:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.20%EV -3.11%E -2.16%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.80%EV -3.48%E -1.18%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-10-03 23:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -3.79%E -2.65%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -3.48%E -1.18%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-03 18:24 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -3.79%E -2.65%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -3.48%E -1.18%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-03 23:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.46%E -3.14%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -3.48%E -1.18%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-03 22:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.81%E -4.15%K -14.52%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -3.48%E -1.18%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-03 15:24 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -3.11%E -2.16%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -5.12%E -1.76%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-03 16:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.79%E -2.65%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -5.12%E -1.76%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-02 16:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.79%E -2.65%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -5.12%E -1.76%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-03 23:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.79%E -2.65%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -5.12%E -1.76%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-02 16:10 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.79%E -2.65%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -5.12%E -1.76%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-03 04:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.46%E -3.14%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.12%E -1.76%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-03 23:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.46%E -3.14%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.12%E -1.76%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-03 23:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.81%E -4.15%K -14.52%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.12%E -1.76%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-03 18:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.81%E -4.15%K -14.52%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.12%E -1.76%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-03 18:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.90%EV -4.46%E -3.14%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 33.10%EV -6.10%E -2.12%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-03 23:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.90%EV -4.46%E -3.14%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 33.10%EV -6.10%E -2.12%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-03 23:05 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -3.79%E -2.65%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -6.75%E -2.37%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-03 22:54 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.46%E -3.14%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -6.75%E -2.37%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-03 23:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.46%E -3.14%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -6.75%E -2.37%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-03 18:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.46%E -3.14%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -6.75%E -2.37%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-03 18:24 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.81%E -4.15%K -14.52%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.39%E -3.00%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-03 23:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.81%E -4.15%K -14.52%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.39%E -3.00%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-03 22:49 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.81%E -4.15%K -14.52%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.39%E -3.00%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-03 22:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.11%E -2.16%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -10.02%E -3.64%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-02 02:25 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 67.24%EV -9.84%E -7.35%K -28.95%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.76%EV -10.02%E -3.64%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-10-03 16:48 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (9)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.95% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 31.05% | 0.0% | 2026-10-03 22:50 |
| Novig◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.34% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 31.66% | 0.9% | 2026-10-03 23:00 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.73% | 1.0% | 2026-10-03 16:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.73% | 1.0% | 2026-10-03 20:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.13% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87% | 1.2% | 2026-10-03 22:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.13% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87% | 1.2% | 2026-10-03 22:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.13% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87% | 1.2% | 2026-10-03 22:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.93% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.07% | 2.2% | 2026-10-03 23:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.93% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.07% | 2.2% | 2026-10-03 23:05 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (21)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.10% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.46% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.44% | 1.3% | 2026-10-03 22:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.11% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.57% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.32% | 3.0% | 2026-10-03 22:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.11% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.57% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.32% | 3.0% | 2026-10-03 22:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.11% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.57% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.32% | 3.0% | 2026-10-03 22:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.60% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.61% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.79% | 4.6% | 2026-10-03 22:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.20% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.58% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.22% | 4.7% | 2026-10-03 15:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.82% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.58% | 4.63I 21.60%NM 20.60% | 4.8% | 2026-10-03 22:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.05% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.24% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.71% | 5.0% | 2026-10-03 23:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.98% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.63% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.39% | 5.1% | 2026-10-03 22:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.98% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.63% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.39% | 5.1% | 2026-10-03 22:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.98% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.63% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.39% | 5.1% | 2026-10-03 22:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.98% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.63% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.39% | 5.1% | 2026-10-03 22:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.98% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.39% | 6.3% | 2026-10-03 22:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.04% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34% | 6.9% | 2026-10-03 21:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75% | 7.1% | 2026-10-03 23:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.93% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.14% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94% | 9.0% | 2026-10-03 23:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.56% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.32% | 9.1% | 2026-10-03 22:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.46% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.66% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 20.88% | 12.7% | 2026-10-03 23:04 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.17% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.51% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.32% | 13.4% | 2026-10-03 22:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.05% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.47% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.48% | 13.5% | 2026-10-03 23:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 53.76% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.34% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.91% | 14.1% | 2026-10-03 22:49 |