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Buffalo Sabres v Chicago Blackhawks
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Buffalo Sabres (Local)
Predicción 67.28%1.49momio equitativo
EV -3.11%
Ventaja -2.16%
Kelly -7.08%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.44
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
65.63%67.36%67.24%68.34%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.341.421.421.4474.63%70.62%70.42%69.44%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Chicago Blackhawks (Visitante)
Predicción 32.72%3.06momio equitativo
EV +0.446%
Ventaja +0.145%
Kelly +0.216%
Crecimiento +0.001%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.07
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.66%32.64%32.76%34.37%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.752.922.903.0736.36%34.27%34.48%32.57%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Buffalo Sabres (Local): 67.28%; Chicago Blackhawks (Visitante): 32.72%. Para Chicago Blackhawks (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.06. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.07, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.446%.
21 corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para este mercado (3 vías, frente al formato de 2 vías empleado en el análisis). Esta disparidad exige interpretar los resultados con cautela.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (38 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.22%EV -3.79%E -2.65%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.78%EV +0.446%E +0.145%K +0.216%G +0.001% | 2.5% | 2026-10-03 19:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.46%E -3.14%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -1.84%E -0.615%K -0.922%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-03 22:57 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.46%E -3.14%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -1.84%E -0.615%K -0.922%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-03 16:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.46%E -3.14%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -1.84%E -0.615%K -0.922%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-03 16:20 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.46%E -3.14%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -1.84%E -0.615%K -0.922%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-03 20:34 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -5.13%E -3.64%K -12.52%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -1.84%E -0.615%K -0.922%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-03 22:15 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -5.13%E -3.64%K -12.52%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -1.84%E -0.615%K -0.922%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-03 22:19 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -5.13%E -3.64%K -12.52%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -1.84%E -0.615%K -0.922%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-03 22:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.81%E -4.15%K -14.52%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.84%E -0.615%K -0.922%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-03 22:20 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -6.48%E -4.66%K -16.61%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -1.84%E -0.615%K -0.922%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-03 23:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.11%EV -5.81%E -4.15%K -14.52%G +0.000% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 31.89%EV -2.17%E -0.726%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-03 18:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.88%EV -5.13%E -3.64%K -12.52%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.12%EV -2.50%E -0.838%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-03 18:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.20%EV -3.11%E -2.16%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.80%EV -3.48%E -1.18%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-10-03 23:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.20%EV -3.11%E -2.16%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.80%EV -3.48%E -1.18%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-10-03 23:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -3.79%E -2.65%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -3.48%E -1.18%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-03 18:24 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -3.79%E -2.65%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -3.48%E -1.18%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-03 23:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.46%E -3.14%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -3.48%E -1.18%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-03 22:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.81%E -4.15%K -14.52%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -3.48%E -1.18%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-03 15:24 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -3.11%E -2.16%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -5.12%E -1.76%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-03 16:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.79%E -2.65%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -5.12%E -1.76%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-02 16:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.79%E -2.65%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -5.12%E -1.76%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-03 23:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.79%E -2.65%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -5.12%E -1.76%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-02 16:10 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.79%E -2.65%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -5.12%E -1.76%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-03 04:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.46%E -3.14%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.12%E -1.76%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-03 23:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.46%E -3.14%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.12%E -1.76%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-03 23:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.81%E -4.15%K -14.52%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.12%E -1.76%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-03 18:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.81%E -4.15%K -14.52%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.12%E -1.76%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-03 18:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.90%EV -4.46%E -3.14%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 33.10%EV -6.10%E -2.12%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-03 23:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.90%EV -4.46%E -3.14%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 33.10%EV -6.10%E -2.12%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-03 23:05 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -3.79%E -2.65%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -6.75%E -2.37%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-03 22:54 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.46%E -3.14%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -6.75%E -2.37%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-03 23:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.46%E -3.14%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -6.75%E -2.37%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-03 18:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.46%E -3.14%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -6.75%E -2.37%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-03 18:24 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.81%E -4.15%K -14.52%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.39%E -3.00%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-03 23:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.81%E -4.15%K -14.52%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.39%E -3.00%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-03 22:49 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.81%E -4.15%K -14.52%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.39%E -3.00%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-03 22:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.11%E -2.16%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -10.02%E -3.64%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-02 02:25 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 67.24%EV -9.84%E -7.35%K -28.95%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.76%EV -10.02%E -3.64%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-10-03 16:48 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (9)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.95% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 31.05% | 0.0% | 2026-10-03 22:50 |
| Novig◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.34% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 31.66% | 0.9% | 2026-10-03 23:00 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.73% | 1.0% | 2026-10-03 16:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.73% | 1.0% | 2026-10-03 20:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.13% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87% | 1.2% | 2026-10-03 22:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.13% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87% | 1.2% | 2026-10-03 22:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.13% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87% | 1.2% | 2026-10-03 22:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.93% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.07% | 2.2% | 2026-10-03 23:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.93% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.07% | 2.2% | 2026-10-03 23:05 |
Otros corredores — no incluidos en el análisis (21)
Estos corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para el mercado y, por ello, quedan excluidos del análisis. Sus momios se muestran únicamente como referencia: las reglas de liquidación de esas apuestas pueden ser diferentes e introducen incertidumbre adicional.
| Corredor | Opción 1 | Opción 2 | Opción 3 | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.10% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.46% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.44% | 1.3% | 2026-10-03 22:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.11% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.57% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.32% | 3.0% | 2026-10-03 22:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.11% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.57% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.32% | 3.0% | 2026-10-03 22:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.11% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.57% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.32% | 3.0% | 2026-10-03 22:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.60% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.61% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.79% | 4.6% | 2026-10-03 22:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.20% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.58% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.22% | 4.7% | 2026-10-03 15:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.82% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.58% | 4.63I 21.60%NM 20.60% | 4.8% | 2026-10-03 22:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.05% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.24% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.71% | 5.0% | 2026-10-03 23:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.98% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.63% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.39% | 5.1% | 2026-10-03 22:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.98% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.63% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.39% | 5.1% | 2026-10-03 22:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.98% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.63% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.39% | 5.1% | 2026-10-03 22:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.98% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.63% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.39% | 5.1% | 2026-10-03 22:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.98% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.39% | 6.3% | 2026-10-03 22:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.04% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34% | 6.9% | 2026-10-03 21:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75% | 7.1% | 2026-10-03 23:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.93% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.14% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94% | 9.0% | 2026-10-03 23:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.56% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.32% | 9.1% | 2026-10-03 22:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.46% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.66% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 20.88% | 12.7% | 2026-10-03 23:04 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.17% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.51% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.32% | 13.4% | 2026-10-03 22:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.05% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.47% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.48% | 13.5% | 2026-10-03 23:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 53.76% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.34% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.91% | 14.1% | 2026-10-03 22:49 |