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Buffalo Sabres v Boston Bruins
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Buffalo Sabres (Local)
Prediction 64.69%1.55fair odd
EV -2.32%
Edge -1.53%
Kelly -4.54%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.51
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.41%64.89%64.64%66.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.351.471.481.5174.07%67.92%67.57%66.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Boston Bruins (Visit)
Prediction 35.31%2.83fair odd
EV +1.69%
Edge +0.586%
Kelly +0.898%
Growth +0.015%
assuming max odds 2.88
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.18%35.11%35.36%36.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.552.712.732.8839.22%36.86%36.70%34.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Buffalo Sabres (Local): 64.69%; Boston Bruins (Visit): 35.31%. For Boston Bruins (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.83. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.88, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.69%.
21 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -7.49%E -5.24%K -17.42%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV +1.69%E +0.586%K +0.898%G +0.015% | 4.7% | 2026-03-25 22:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -7.49%E -5.24%K -17.42%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV +1.69%E +0.586%K +0.898%G +0.015% | 4.7% | 2026-03-25 22:35 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -6.84%E -4.75%K -15.55%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV +0.629%E +0.221%K +0.340%G +0.002% | 4.5% | 2026-03-25 23:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -7.49%E -5.24%K -17.42%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +0.629%E +0.221%K +0.340%G +0.002% | 5.0% | 2026-03-25 22:35 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -6.20%E -4.27%K -13.77%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -1.14%E -0.406%K -0.632%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-25 23:15 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.41%EV -4.90%E -3.34%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.59%EV -1.84%E -0.663%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-25 23:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.64%EV -2.32%E -1.53%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.36%EV -2.55%E -0.924%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-03-25 23:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%EV -3.61%E -2.42%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -2.90%E -1.06%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-25 23:14 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%EV -3.61%E -2.42%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -2.90%E -1.06%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-25 23:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.26%E -2.88%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -2.90%E -1.06%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-25 23:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.26%E -2.88%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -2.90%E -1.06%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-25 23:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.26%E -2.88%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -2.90%E -1.06%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-25 23:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.26%E -2.88%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -2.90%E -1.06%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-25 23:34 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.26%E -2.88%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -2.90%E -1.06%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-25 23:14 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.20%E -4.27%K -13.77%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -2.90%E -1.06%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-25 22:05 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.20%E -4.27%K -13.77%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -2.90%E -1.06%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-25 23:25 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.24%EV -5.55%E -3.80%K -12.07%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.76%EV -3.26%E -1.19%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-25 23:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.39%EV -2.32%E -1.53%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 35.61%EV -3.61%E -1.32%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-25 23:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.39%EV -2.32%E -1.53%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 35.61%EV -3.61%E -1.32%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-25 23:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.76%EV -4.26%E -2.88%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.24%EV -3.96%E -1.46%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-25 23:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -2.96%E -1.97%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -4.67%E -1.73%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-25 23:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -3.61%E -2.42%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -4.67%E -1.73%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-25 23:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -3.61%E -2.42%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -4.67%E -1.73%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-25 23:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -3.61%E -2.42%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -4.67%E -1.73%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-25 23:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.26%E -2.88%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.67%E -1.73%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-25 23:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.26%E -2.88%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.67%E -1.73%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-25 23:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.26%E -2.88%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.67%E -1.73%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-25 23:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.66%EV -4.90%E -3.34%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 2.69I 37.17%NM 35.34%EV -5.02%E -1.87%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-25 23:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -6.20%E -4.27%K -13.77%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -6.43%E -2.43%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-25 23:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.37%EV -6.20%E -4.27%K -13.77%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV -7.49%E -2.86%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-25 23:23 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.66%EV -3.61%E -2.42%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 36.34%EV -7.85%E -3.01%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-25 23:34 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.66%EV -3.61%E -2.42%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 36.34%EV -7.85%E -3.01%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-25 23:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.96%E -1.97%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.20%E -3.15%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-25 01:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.96%E -1.97%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.20%E -3.15%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-25 23:34 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.26%E -2.88%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.20%E -3.15%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-25 14:34 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.26%E -2.88%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.20%E -3.15%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-25 14:35 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.26%E -2.88%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.20%E -3.15%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-25 23:15 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 65.38%EV -12.67%E -9.38%K -36.19%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.62%EV -9.96%E -3.91%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-03-25 23:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (9)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70% | 0.8% | 2026-03-25 23:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.14% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.86% | 1.0% | 2026-03-25 23:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.14% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.86% | 1.0% | 2026-03-25 23:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.98% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.02% | 1.3% | 2026-03-25 23:35 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.98% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.02% | 1.3% | 2026-03-25 23:20 |
| Novig◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.88% | 2.79I 35.84%NM 35.12% | 2.1% | 2026-03-25 23:35 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.75% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.25% | 2.1% | 2026-03-25 23:36 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.80% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.20% | 2.2% | 2026-03-25 23:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.95% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.05% | 2.6% | 2026-03-25 23:35 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (21)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.38% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.54% | 3.2% | 2026-03-25 22:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.38% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.54% | 3.2% | 2026-03-25 22:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.38% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.54% | 3.2% | 2026-03-25 22:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.38% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.54% | 3.2% | 2026-03-25 22:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.00% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.64% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.36% | 4.0% | 2026-03-25 23:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.19% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.53% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.28% | 4.4% | 2026-03-25 23:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.81% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.41% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.78% | 4.6% | 2026-03-25 23:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.69% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.71% | 4.63I 21.60%NM 20.60% | 4.9% | 2026-03-25 23:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.24% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.17% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.59% | 5.3% | 2026-03-25 22:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.24% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.17% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.59% | 5.3% | 2026-03-25 22:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.24% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.17% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.59% | 5.3% | 2026-03-25 22:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.24% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.17% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.59% | 5.3% | 2026-03-25 22:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.39% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.97% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.65% | 6.2% | 2026-03-25 22:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.50% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83% | 6.7% | 2026-03-25 23:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.54% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.63% | 7.5% | 2026-03-25 23:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.23% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58% | 7.8% | 2026-03-25 22:35 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.44% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.18% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38% | 8.8% | 2026-03-25 23:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.70% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.83% | 9.1% | 2026-03-25 23:30 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.31% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.12% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.57% | 9.1% | 2026-03-25 23:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.37% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.82% | 9.1% | 2026-03-25 23:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.95% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.75% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30% | 9.4% | 2026-03-25 23:30 |