L’École des cotes

Buffalo Sabres v Boston Bruins

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-25 23:40 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

38 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Buffalo Sabres (Local)

Prévision 64.69%1.55cote équitable
EV -2.32%
Avantage -1.53%
Kelly -4.54%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.51

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
63.41%64.89%64.64%66.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.351.471.481.5174.07%67.92%67.57%66.23%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Boston Bruins (Visiteur)

Prévision 35.31%2.83cote équitable
EV +1.69%
Avantage +0.586%
Kelly +0.898%
Croissance +0.015%

avec la cote maximale 2.88

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.18%35.11%35.36%36.59%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.552.712.732.8839.22%36.86%36.70%34.72%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

21 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.

Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Bally Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -7.49%E -5.24%K -17.42%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV +1.69%E +0.586%K +0.898%G +0.015%4.7%2026-03-25 22:35
betPARX1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -7.49%E -5.24%K -17.42%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV +1.69%E +0.586%K +0.898%G +0.015%4.7%2026-03-25 22:35
Caesars1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -6.84%E -4.75%K -15.55%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV +0.629%E +0.221%K +0.340%G +0.002%4.5%2026-03-25 23:30
BetRivers1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -7.49%E -5.24%K -17.42%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +0.629%E +0.221%K +0.340%G +0.002%5.0%2026-03-25 22:35
BetAnything1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -6.20%E -4.27%K -13.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -1.14%E -0.406%K -0.632%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-25 23:15
ReBet1.47I 68.03%NM 65.41%EV -4.90%E -3.34%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.59%EV -1.84%E -0.663%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-25 23:00
Pinnacle1.51I 66.23%NM 64.64%EV -2.32%E -1.53%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.36%EV -2.55%E -0.924%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.5%2026-03-25 23:25
BetUS1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%EV -3.61%E -2.42%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -2.90%E -1.06%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-25 23:14
Everygame1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%EV -3.61%E -2.42%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -2.90%E -1.06%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-25 23:15
Bet Right1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.26%E -2.88%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -2.90%E -1.06%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-25 23:20
Fanatics1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.26%E -2.88%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -2.90%E -1.06%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-25 23:35
PointsBet (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.26%E -2.88%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -2.90%E -1.06%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-25 23:20
GTbets1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.26%E -2.88%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -2.90%E -1.06%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-25 23:34
Bovada1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.26%E -2.88%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -2.90%E -1.06%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-25 23:14
Betr (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.20%E -4.27%K -13.77%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -2.90%E -1.06%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-25 22:05
Fliff1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.20%E -4.27%K -13.77%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -2.90%E -1.06%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-25 23:25
MyBookie.ag1.46I 68.49%NM 65.24%EV -5.55%E -3.80%K -12.07%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.76%EV -3.26%E -1.19%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-25 23:25
LowVig.ag1.51I 66.23%NM 64.39%EV -2.32%E -1.53%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 35.61%EV -3.61%E -1.32%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-25 23:15
BetOnline.ag1.51I 66.23%NM 64.39%EV -2.32%E -1.53%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 35.61%EV -3.61%E -1.32%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-25 23:15
FanDuel1.48I 67.57%NM 64.76%EV -4.26%E -2.88%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.24%EV -3.96%E -1.46%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-25 23:35
theScore Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -2.96%E -1.97%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -4.67%E -1.73%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-25 23:30
DraftKings1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -3.61%E -2.42%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -4.67%E -1.73%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-25 23:15
Paddy Power1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -3.61%E -2.42%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -4.67%E -1.73%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-25 23:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -3.61%E -2.42%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -4.67%E -1.73%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-25 23:20
Coral1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.26%E -2.88%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.67%E -1.73%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-25 23:15
BetMGM1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.26%E -2.88%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.67%E -1.73%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-25 23:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.26%E -2.88%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.67%E -1.73%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-25 23:15
SportsBet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.66%EV -4.90%E -3.34%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 35.34%EV -5.02%E -1.87%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-25 23:35
Hard Rock Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -6.20%E -4.27%K -13.77%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -6.43%E -2.43%K -3.90%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-25 23:30
Bet Victor1.45I 68.97%NM 64.37%EV -6.20%E -4.27%K -13.77%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV -7.49%E -2.86%K -4.62%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-25 23:23
Betsson1.49I 67.11%NM 63.66%EV -3.61%E -2.42%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 36.34%EV -7.85%E -3.01%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-25 23:34
NordicBet1.49I 67.11%NM 63.66%EV -3.61%E -2.42%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 36.34%EV -7.85%E -3.01%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-25 23:34
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.96%E -1.97%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.20%E -3.15%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-25 01:55
PlayUp1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.96%E -1.97%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.20%E -3.15%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-25 23:34
Ladbrokes (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.26%E -2.88%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.20%E -3.15%K -5.12%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-25 14:34
Neds1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.26%E -2.88%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.20%E -3.15%K -5.12%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-25 14:35
TAB1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.26%E -2.88%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.20%E -3.15%K -5.12%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-25 23:15
NetBet (FR)1.35I 74.07%NM 65.38%EV -12.67%E -9.38%K -36.19%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.62%EV -9.96%E -3.91%K -6.43%G +0.000%13.3%2026-03-25 23:15
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (9)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%0.8%2026-03-25 23:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 65.14%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.86%1.0%2026-03-25 23:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.52I 65.79%NM 65.14%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.86%1.0%2026-03-25 23:15
Matchbook1.52I 65.79%NM 64.98%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.02%1.3%2026-03-25 23:35
BetOpenly1.52I 65.79%NM 64.98%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.02%1.3%2026-03-25 23:20
Novig1.51I 66.23%NM 64.88%2.79I 35.84%NM 35.12%2.1%2026-03-25 23:35
Polymarket1.49I 67.11%NM 65.75%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.25%2.1%2026-03-25 23:36
ProphetX1.51I 66.23%NM 64.80%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.20%2.2%2026-03-25 23:35
Smarkets1.50I 66.67%NM 64.95%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.05%2.6%2026-03-25 23:35

Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (21)

Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.

OpérateurOption 1Option 2Option 3Marge ▲Mise à jour
Unibet (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 55.38%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.54%3.2%2026-03-25 22:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 55.38%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.54%3.2%2026-03-25 22:35
ATG (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 55.38%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.54%3.2%2026-03-25 22:35
Svenska Spel1.75I 57.14%NM 55.38%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.54%3.2%2026-03-25 22:35
Unibet (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 54.00%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.64%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.36%4.0%2026-03-25 23:00
Coolbet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.19%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.53%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.28%4.4%2026-03-25 23:25
Marathon Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.81%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.41%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.78%4.6%2026-03-25 23:20
1xBet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.69%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.71%4.63I 21.60%NM 20.60%4.9%2026-03-25 23:25
Grosvenor1.72I 58.14%NM 55.24%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.17%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.59%5.3%2026-03-25 22:35
Unibet (NL)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.24%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.17%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.59%5.3%2026-03-25 22:35
Unibet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.24%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.17%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.59%5.3%2026-03-25 22:35
Casumo1.72I 58.14%NM 55.24%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.17%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.59%5.3%2026-03-25 22:35
TABtouch1.70I 58.82%NM 55.39%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.97%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.65%6.2%2026-03-25 22:35
Tipico (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.50%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%6.7%2026-03-25 23:00
Betway1.77I 56.50%NM 52.54%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.63%7.5%2026-03-25 23:30
LeoVegas1.68I 59.52%NM 55.23%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%7.8%2026-03-25 22:35
Codere (IT)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.44%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.18%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%8.8%2026-03-25 23:00
Winamax (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 52.70%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.83%9.1%2026-03-25 23:30
Parions Sport (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.31%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.12%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.57%9.1%2026-03-25 23:15
Betclic (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.37%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.82%9.1%2026-03-25 23:30
Winamax (DE)1.76I 56.82%NM 51.95%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.75%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%9.4%2026-03-25 23:30