Language:English
Boston Bruins v Buffalo Sabres
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Boston Bruins (Local)
Prediction 46.35%2.16fair odd
EV -0.356%
Edge -0.165%
Kelly -0.309%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.15
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.15%46.29%46.43%48.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.902.052.052.1552.63%48.80%48.78%46.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Buffalo Sabres (Visit)
Prediction 53.65%1.86fair odd
EV -2.35%
Edge -1.29%
Kelly -2.87%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.82
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.00%53.71%53.57%54.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.631.781.801.8261.35%56.03%55.56%54.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Boston Bruins (Local): 46.35%; Buffalo Sabres (Visit): 53.65%. For Boston Bruins (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.16. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.15, with an expected value of -0.356%; they did not produce positive expected value.
21 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (37 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%EV -0.356%E -0.165%K -0.309%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV -5.03%E -2.84%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-01 23:19 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%EV -0.356%E -0.165%K -0.309%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV -5.03%E -2.84%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-01 23:19 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.82%EV -0.819%E -0.383%K -0.719%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.18%EV -2.89%E -1.59%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-05-01 23:29 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.43%EV -2.67%E -1.27%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.57%EV -2.35%E -1.29%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-05-01 23:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.67%E -1.27%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.03%E -2.84%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-01 23:04 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.67%E -1.27%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.03%E -2.84%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-01 23:04 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.67%E -1.27%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.03%E -2.84%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-01 22:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.67%E -1.27%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.03%E -2.84%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-01 23:14 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.67%E -1.27%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.11%E -3.49%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-01 23:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -3.60%E -1.73%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -4.50%E -2.53%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-01 23:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.89%EV -4.99%E -2.43%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.11%EV -2.89%E -1.59%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-01 23:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.89%EV -4.99%E -2.43%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.11%EV -2.89%E -1.59%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-01 23:30 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.89%EV -4.99%E -2.43%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.11%EV -2.89%E -1.59%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-01 22:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.99%E -2.43%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.42%E -1.90%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-01 21:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.99%E -2.43%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.42%E -1.90%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-01 21:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.99%E -2.43%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.42%E -1.90%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-01 21:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.99%E -2.43%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.42%E -1.90%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-01 21:54 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.99%E -2.43%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.42%E -1.90%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-01 21:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.99%E -2.43%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.42%E -1.90%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-01 21:19 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.99%E -2.43%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.42%E -1.90%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-01 22:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.99%E -2.43%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.42%E -1.90%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-01 22:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.99%E -2.43%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.42%E -1.90%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-01 23:34 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.99%E -2.43%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.03%E -2.84%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-01 23:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.99%E -2.43%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.11%E -3.49%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-01 23:19 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -5.45%E -2.67%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -3.42%E -1.90%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-01 23:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -5.92%E -2.91%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -3.96%E -2.21%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-01 22:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -5.92%E -2.91%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -3.96%E -2.21%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-01 22:44 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.38%E -3.16%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.42%E -1.90%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-01 21:44 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.38%E -3.16%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.42%E -1.90%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-01 23:03 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.38%E -3.16%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -3.96%E -2.21%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-01 23:19 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -6.38%E -3.16%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -4.50%E -2.53%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-01 21:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -6.38%E -3.16%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -4.50%E -2.53%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-01 21:54 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.31%E -3.65%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.42%E -1.90%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-01 17:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.31%E -3.65%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.42%E -1.90%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.62%E -4.94%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.42%E -1.90%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-01 23:34 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -9.62%E -4.94%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -6.11%E -3.49%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-01 23:19 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 46.18%EV -11.94%E -6.29%K -13.27%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 53.82%EV -12.54%E -7.70%K -19.91%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-05-01 23:19 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (9)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13% | 0.6% | 2026-05-01 23:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27% | 0.9% | 2026-05-01 23:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27% | 0.9% | 2026-05-01 23:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27% | 0.9% | 2026-05-01 23:30 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 1.0% | 2026-05-01 23:24 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 1.0% | 2026-05-01 23:34 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.05I 48.78%NM 48.23% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.77% | 1.1% | 2026-05-01 23:19 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.70% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.30% | 2.0% | 2026-05-01 23:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93% | 2.1% | 2026-05-01 23:00 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (21)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.36% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.28% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.36% | 2.8% | 2026-05-01 23:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.36% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.28% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.36% | 2.8% | 2026-05-01 23:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.36% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.28% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.36% | 2.8% | 2026-05-01 23:34 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.36% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.28% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.36% | 2.8% | 2026-05-01 23:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.91% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.32% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.77% | 4.6% | 2026-05-01 23:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.76% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.02% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.23% | 4.6% | 2026-05-01 23:34 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.73I 36.63%NM 34.99% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.71% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.30% | 4.7% | 2026-05-01 22:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.69% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.59% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.71% | 4.8% | 2026-05-01 23:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.27% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.32% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.41% | 5.0% | 2026-05-01 23:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.27% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.32% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.41% | 5.0% | 2026-05-01 23:34 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.27% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.32% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.41% | 5.0% | 2026-05-01 23:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.27% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.32% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.41% | 5.0% | 2026-05-01 23:34 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.47% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.15% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38% | 6.4% | 2026-05-01 23:34 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.82% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36% | 6.5% | 2026-05-01 23:34 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.41% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.70% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.89% | 6.6% | 2026-05-01 21:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.53I 39.53%NM 37.06% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.13% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.81% | 6.6% | 2026-05-01 23:34 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.31% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.59% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.10% | 6.9% | 2026-05-01 23:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.37% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19% | 7.3% | 2026-05-01 23:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.95% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.06% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99% | 8.3% | 2026-05-01 23:34 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.75% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.84% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41% | 8.8% | 2026-05-01 23:34 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.52% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.28% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20% | 12.6% | 2026-05-01 23:30 |