L’École des cotes

Boston Bruins v Buffalo Sabres

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-01 23:40 UTC

Score final : Boston Bruins 1–4 Buffalo Sabres

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

37 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Boston Bruins (Local)

Prévision 46.35%2.16cote équitable
EV -0.356%
Avantage -0.165%
Kelly -0.309%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.15

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
45.15%46.29%46.43%48.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.902.052.052.1552.63%48.80%48.78%46.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Buffalo Sabres (Visiteur)

Prévision 53.65%1.86cote équitable
EV -2.35%
Avantage -1.29%
Kelly -2.87%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.82

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
52.00%53.71%53.57%54.85%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.631.781.801.8261.35%56.03%55.56%54.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

21 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.

Cotes des opérateurs (37 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
LowVig.ag2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%EV -0.356%E -0.165%K -0.309%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV -5.03%E -2.84%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-01 23:19
BetOnline.ag2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%EV -0.356%E -0.165%K -0.309%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV -5.03%E -2.84%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-01 23:19
theScore Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 45.82%EV -0.819%E -0.383%K -0.719%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.18%EV -2.89%E -1.59%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-01 23:29
Pinnacle2.10I 47.62%NM 46.43%EV -2.67%E -1.27%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.57%EV -2.35%E -1.29%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-01 23:00
DraftKings2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.67%E -1.27%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.03%E -2.84%K -6.54%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-01 23:04
Caesars2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.67%E -1.27%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.03%E -2.84%K -6.54%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-01 23:04
BetUS2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.67%E -1.27%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.03%E -2.84%K -6.54%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-01 22:54
Bovada2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.67%E -1.27%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.03%E -2.84%K -6.54%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-01 23:14
BetRivers2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.67%E -1.27%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.11%E -3.49%K -8.14%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-01 23:15
Bet Right2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -3.60%E -1.73%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -4.50%E -2.53%K -5.76%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-01 23:30
Bally Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.89%EV -4.99%E -2.43%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.11%EV -2.89%E -1.59%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-01 23:30
betPARX2.05I 48.78%NM 46.89%EV -4.99%E -2.43%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.11%EV -2.89%E -1.59%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-01 23:30
ReBet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.89%EV -4.99%E -2.43%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.11%EV -2.89%E -1.59%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-01 22:59
Paddy Power2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.99%E -2.43%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.42%E -1.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-01 21:20
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.99%E -2.43%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.42%E -1.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-01 21:55
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.99%E -2.43%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.42%E -1.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-01 21:59
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.99%E -2.43%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.42%E -1.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-01 21:54
GTbets2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.99%E -2.43%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.42%E -1.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-01 21:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.99%E -2.43%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.42%E -1.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-01 21:19
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.99%E -2.43%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.42%E -1.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-01 22:00
BetAnything2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.99%E -2.43%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.42%E -1.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-01 22:55
Fanatics2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.99%E -2.43%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.42%E -1.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-01 23:34
Fliff2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.99%E -2.43%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.03%E -2.84%K -6.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-01 23:30
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.99%E -2.43%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.11%E -3.49%K -8.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-01 23:19
FanDuel2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -5.45%E -2.67%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -3.42%E -1.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-01 23:19
NordicBet2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -5.92%E -2.91%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -3.96%E -2.21%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-01 22:45
Betsson2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -5.92%E -2.91%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -3.96%E -2.21%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-01 22:44
PlayUp2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.38%E -3.16%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.42%E -1.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-01 21:44
MyBookie.ag2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.38%E -3.16%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.42%E -1.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-01 23:03
SportsBet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.38%E -3.16%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -3.96%E -2.21%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-01 23:19
Neds2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -6.38%E -3.16%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -4.50%E -2.53%K -5.76%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-01 21:55
Ladbrokes (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -6.38%E -3.16%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -4.50%E -2.53%K -5.76%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-01 21:54
TAB2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.31%E -3.65%K -7.31%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.42%E -1.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-01 17:54
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.31%E -3.65%K -7.31%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.42%E -1.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-30 23:59
Hard Rock Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.62%E -4.94%K -10.13%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.42%E -1.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-01 23:34
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -9.62%E -4.94%K -10.13%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -6.11%E -3.49%K -8.14%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-01 23:19
NetBet (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 46.18%EV -11.94%E -6.29%K -13.27%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 53.82%EV -12.54%E -7.70%K -19.91%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-01 23:19
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (9)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Novig2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%0.6%2026-05-01 23:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27%0.9%2026-05-01 23:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27%0.9%2026-05-01 23:30
Matchbook2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27%0.9%2026-05-01 23:30
ProphetX2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-05-01 23:24
Polymarket2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-05-01 23:34
BetOpenly2.05I 48.78%NM 48.23%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.77%1.1%2026-05-01 23:19
Smarkets2.10I 47.62%NM 46.70%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.30%2.0%2026-05-01 23:30
Kalshi2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%2.1%2026-05-01 23:00

Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (21)

Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.

OpérateurOption 1Option 2Option 3Marge ▲Mise à jour
Unibet (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 35.36%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.28%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.36%2.8%2026-05-01 23:34
LeoVegas (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 35.36%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.28%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.36%2.8%2026-05-01 23:35
ATG (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 35.36%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.28%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.36%2.8%2026-05-01 23:34
Svenska Spel2.75I 36.36%NM 35.36%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.28%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.36%2.8%2026-05-01 23:30
Coolbet2.74I 36.50%NM 34.91%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.32%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.77%4.6%2026-05-01 23:25
Unibet (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.76%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.02%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.23%4.6%2026-05-01 23:34
Marathon Bet2.73I 36.63%NM 34.99%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.71%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.30%4.7%2026-05-01 22:55
1xBet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.69%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.59%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.71%4.8%2026-05-01 23:20
Grosvenor2.70I 37.04%NM 35.27%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.32%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.41%5.0%2026-05-01 23:30
Unibet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.27%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.32%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.41%5.0%2026-05-01 23:34
Unibet (NL)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.27%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.32%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.41%5.0%2026-05-01 23:30
Casumo2.70I 37.04%NM 35.27%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.32%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.41%5.0%2026-05-01 23:34
TABtouch2.65I 37.74%NM 35.47%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.15%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%6.4%2026-05-01 23:34
Winamax (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.82%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%6.5%2026-05-01 23:34
Tipico (DE)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.41%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.70%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.89%6.6%2026-05-01 21:45
Betclic (FR)2.53I 39.53%NM 37.06%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.13%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.81%6.6%2026-05-01 23:34
Unibet (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.31%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.59%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.10%6.9%2026-05-01 23:20
LeoVegas2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.37%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%7.3%2026-05-01 23:30
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 36.95%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.06%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%8.3%2026-05-01 23:34
Winamax (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.75%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.84%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%8.8%2026-05-01 23:34
PMU (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.52%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.28%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%12.6%2026-05-01 23:30