A Escola das Odds

Anaheim Ducks v Vancouver Canucks

Início: 2026-04-13 00:16 UTC

Final: Anaheim Ducks 3–4 Vancouver Canucks

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

38 casas de apostas (13 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Anaheim Ducks (Local)

Previsão 72.61%1.38odd justa
EV -1.98%
Vantagem -1.46%
Kelly -5.65%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.35

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
69.98%72.57%72.77%74.70%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.221.321.311.3581.97%76.03%76.34%74.07%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Vancouver Canucks (Visitante)

Previsão 27.39%3.65odd justa
EV +3.53%
Vantagem +0.935%
Kelly +1.27%
Crescimento +0.045%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.78

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.30%27.43%27.23%30.02%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.103.453.483.7832.26%28.95%28.78%26.46%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

22 casas de apostas oferecem um número de opções diferente neste mercado (3 opções, em vez das 2 opções usadas na análise). Os resultados da análise devem ser interpretados com prudência devido a esta disparidade.

Odds das casas de apostas (38 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Caesars1.28I 78.13%NM 74.70%EV -7.06%E -5.51%K -25.21%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.30%EV +3.53%E +0.935%K +1.27%G +0.045%4.6%2026-04-13 00:04
DraftKings1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.88%E -3.73%K -15.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -1.40%E -0.388%K -0.537%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-12 22:00
theScore Bet1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.88%E -3.73%K -15.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -1.40%E -0.388%K -0.537%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-13 00:05
Paddy Power1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.61%E -4.31%K -18.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -1.40%E -0.388%K -0.537%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-12 23:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.61%E -4.31%K -18.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -1.40%E -0.388%K -0.537%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-12 23:40
Pinnacle1.33I 75.19%NM 72.97%EV -3.43%E -2.58%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 27.03%EV -1.67%E -0.465%K -0.645%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-13 00:05
GTbets1.30I 76.92%NM 73.36%EV -5.61%E -4.31%K -18.69%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.64%EV -1.94%E -0.543%K -0.754%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-13 00:10
SportsBet1.30I 76.92%NM 73.25%EV -5.61%E -4.31%K -18.69%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.75%EV -2.49%E -0.700%K -0.974%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-13 00:05
Everygame1.32I 75.76%NM 72.90%EV -4.15%E -3.15%K -12.98%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV -2.77%E -0.779%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-13 00:06
FanDuel1.31I 76.34%NM 73.05%EV -4.88%E -3.73%K -15.74%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.95%EV -2.77%E -0.779%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-12 23:40
BetAnything1.31I 76.34%NM 73.05%EV -4.88%E -3.73%K -15.74%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.95%EV -2.77%E -0.779%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-12 23:45
Fliff1.31I 76.34%NM 73.05%EV -4.88%E -3.73%K -15.74%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.95%EV -2.77%E -0.779%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-13 00:05
Bovada1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -3.43%E -2.58%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -4.14%E -1.18%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-13 00:09
ReBet1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.15%E -3.15%K -12.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -4.14%E -1.18%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-12 23:05
Fanatics1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.88%E -3.73%K -15.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.14%E -1.18%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-12 21:59
PointsBet (AU)1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.88%E -3.73%K -15.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.14%E -1.18%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-13 00:09
BetMGM1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.88%E -3.73%K -15.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.14%E -1.18%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-13 00:09
Betr (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.61%E -4.31%K -18.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.14%E -1.18%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-12 17:19
William Hill1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.61%E -4.31%K -18.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.14%E -1.18%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-12 13:50
Bet Right1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -3.43%E -2.58%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -5.51%E -1.60%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-12 23:59
Neds1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.61%E -4.31%K -18.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.51%E -1.60%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-12 23:44
Ladbrokes (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.61%E -4.31%K -18.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.51%E -1.60%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-12 23:45
LowVig.ag1.35I 74.07%NM 71.82%EV -1.98%E -1.46%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 28.18%EV -5.78%E -1.68%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-13 00:09
BetOnline.ag1.35I 74.07%NM 71.82%EV -1.98%E -1.46%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 28.18%EV -5.78%E -1.68%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-13 00:10
MyBookie.ag1.31I 76.34%NM 72.42%EV -4.88%E -3.73%K -15.74%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.58%EV -5.78%E -1.68%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-12 23:54
Bally Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -2.70%E -2.02%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -6.87%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-12 22:05
betPARX1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -2.70%E -2.02%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -6.87%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-12 22:05
BetUS1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -2.70%E -2.02%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -6.87%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-13 00:06
BetRivers1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.43%E -2.58%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -6.87%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-12 22:04
Coral1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.61%E -4.31%K -18.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.87%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-13 00:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.61%E -4.31%K -18.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.87%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-13 00:09
PlayUp1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.43%E -2.58%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.61%E -2.91%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-13 00:10
Betsson1.34I 74.63%NM 71.06%EV -2.70%E -2.02%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 28.94%EV -9.89%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-13 00:10
NordicBet1.34I 74.63%NM 71.06%EV -2.70%E -2.02%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 28.94%EV -9.89%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-13 00:10
Bet Victor1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.43%E -2.58%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.98%E -3.38%K -4.88%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-12 23:49
TAB1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -2.70%E -2.02%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -12.35%E -3.86%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-13 00:09
NetBet (FR)1.22I 81.97%NM 72.08%EV -11.42%E -9.36%K -51.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.92%EV -13.72%E -4.36%K -6.38%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-12 23:59
Hard Rock Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -3.43%E -2.58%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -15.09%E -4.87%K -7.19%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-13 00:00
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (9)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly1.34I 74.63%NM 74.52%3.92I 25.51%NM 25.48%0.1%2026-04-12 23:50
Matchbook1.37I 72.99%NM 72.15%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.85%1.2%2026-04-13 00:09
Novig1.37I 72.99%NM 72.15%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.85%1.2%2026-04-13 00:10
ProphetX1.37I 72.99%NM 71.87%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.13%1.6%2026-04-13 00:05
Kalshi1.35I 74.07%NM 72.56%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.44%2.1%2026-04-13 00:05
Polymarket1.35I 74.07%NM 72.56%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.44%2.1%2026-04-13 00:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.37I 72.99%NM 71.28%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.72%2.4%2026-04-13 00:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.37I 72.99%NM 71.28%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.72%2.4%2026-04-13 00:10
Smarkets1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%3.9%2026-04-13 00:10

Outras casas de apostas — não incluídas na análise (22)

Estas casas oferecem um número de opções diferente neste mercado e são excluídas da análise. As respetivas odds são apresentadas apenas como referência — as regras de liquidação das apostas podem ser diferentes e implicar incerteza adicional.

Casa de apostasOpção 1Opção 2Opção 3Margem ▲Atualização
Unibet (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.81%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.28%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.91%3.7%2026-04-12 22:04
LeoVegas (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.81%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.28%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.91%3.7%2026-04-12 22:05
Svenska Spel1.56I 64.10%NM 61.81%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.28%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.91%3.7%2026-04-12 22:04
ATG (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.81%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.28%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.91%3.7%2026-04-12 22:04
Marathon Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.91%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.35%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.75%4.6%2026-04-12 23:44
1xBet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.23%4.83I 20.70%NM 19.78%5.03I 19.88%NM 18.99%4.7%2026-04-12 23:55
Coolbet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.47%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.85%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.68%5.0%2026-04-12 23:50
Unibet (UK)1.58I 63.29%NM 60.18%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.02%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.81%5.2%2026-04-13 00:03
Unibet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.64%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.37%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.99%5.3%2026-04-12 22:05
Casumo1.54I 64.94%NM 61.64%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.37%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.99%5.3%2026-04-12 22:05
Unibet (NL)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.64%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.37%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.99%5.3%2026-04-12 22:05
Grosvenor1.54I 64.94%NM 61.64%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.37%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.99%5.3%2026-04-12 22:05
Tipico (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 61.70%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.54%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.76%6.6%2026-04-12 23:25
TABtouch1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.07%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.07%7.0%2026-04-12 22:05
Betway1.56I 64.10%NM 59.70%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%7.4%2026-04-13 00:00
LeoVegas1.50I 66.67%NM 61.78%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.31%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.91%7.9%2026-04-12 22:05
Betclic (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.73%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.70%8.0%2026-04-13 00:03
Unibet (FR)1.51I 66.23%NM 61.25%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.68%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.07%8.1%2026-04-12 23:49
Winamax (DE)1.54I 64.94%NM 59.79%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.41%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.79%8.6%2026-04-12 23:59
Codere (IT)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.29%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.56%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.15%8.8%2026-04-12 13:00
PMU (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 61.91%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.25%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.84%12.9%2026-04-12 22:05
Winamax (FR)1.49I 67.11%NM 59.01%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.45%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.54%13.7%2026-04-12 23:59